AFL 2025 Grand Final - Geelong vs Brisbane

[balmainforever]

 

[Geelong_Bisons_#36]

I think that last goal scorer is always a good one to bet on. Especially if it is a blow-out, could always be a backman sneaking down to get a GF goal in the last quarter

 

[Rank]

Lowman 2
Stengle 2
Wilmot 20 d
Close 15 d
Ah Chee 15 d
Blicavs 15 d @95.50 SB

Lowman 2
Morris 1
Gallup 1
Stengle 1
Close 1
Close 15 d
Ah Chee 15 d @67 Bet365

Bailey NS @26
Ah Chee NS @81
Lowman NS @81 all SB
Andrews NS @41

Bailey/Andrews NS Quinella @501 SB

 

[Geelong_Bisons_#36]

Is see L. Neale is 21s for the Norm.
I know there is a question mark on his calf, but this is massive overs IMO.
Mullin goes to McLuggage again surely, so Neale won't get a hard tag, if he is fit and can last the game he's a big chance

 

[Geelong_Bisons_#36]

Ladbrokes is offering $2.50 for Danger 21+ disp and 1 goal.
Free money if you ask me.
Max $50 bet

 

[sohohoho]

Ladbrokes is offering $2.50 for Danger 21+ disp and 1 goal.
Free money if you ask me.
Max $50 bet

Can just back it for same price in a SGM elsewhere, it's a terrible offer

 

[Geelong_Bisons_#36]

Can just back it for same price in a SGM elsewhere, it's a terrible offer

Ha didn't even think of that TBH.
Thought he would be way less than 1.95 for 21 disposals after 30+ in the last final.
Carry on

 

[FFB1]

Ladbrokes is offering $2.50 for Danger 21+ disp and 1 goal.
Free money if you ask me.
Max $50 bet

For the sake of $15 better off having $50 at $2.20 (20+ disp) at 365 and if misses get the $50 back in a bonus bet/s and put it on the NRL GF or spring carnival futures.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

How do Brisbane win when they got belted by Geelong 3 weeks ago with the same side on paper?

 

[X_box_X]

How do Brisbane win when they got belted by Geelong 3 weeks ago with the same side on paper?

Isn't that a good thing for Brisbane?

How often has a premiership team won the premiership beating their GF opponent's twice in finals?

West Coast in 2018 is the only time it has happened.

2015 = Hawthorn lost to WCE in week one but beat them in the GF.
2006 = WCE lost to Sydney in week one but beat them in the GF.
2005 = Sydney lost to WCE in week one but beat them in the GF.
2003 = Brisbane lost to Collingwood in week one but beat them in the GF.


They are the only five occasions a Grand Final matchup has occurred with the same two teams playing earlier in the same final series. The week one loser has won 4/5 (based on current finals system).

I'd much rather be coaching the team who lost in week one. You learn more from losses.

The only exception to this rule would obviously be if there is a clear stand out team, I.e. Essendon in 2000 or Geelong in 2007.

In an even competition, no ****ing way. Give me the week one loser any day of the week. Same rings true for local footy. I had it happen to me this year with my u15s team and also experienced it twice as a player.

 

[sohohoho]

How do Brisbane win when they got belted by Geelong 3 weeks ago with the same side on paper?

Loser from QF is 4-1 in the rematch since 2000.

Lions learn a lot more from the QF than Cats do.

 

[FadingTheFave]

Isn't that a good thing for Brisbane?

How often has a premiership team won the premiership beating their GF opponent's twice in finals?

West Coast in 2018 is the only time it has happened.

2015 = Hawthorn lost to WCE in week one but beat them in the GF.
2006 = WCE lost to Sydney in week one but beat them in the GF.
2005 = Sydney lost to WCE in week one but beat them in the GF.
2003 = Brisbane lost to Collingwood in week one but beat them in the GF.

I think this stat is pretty meaningless. Those West Coast/Sydney games were decided by less than a goal, while Hawthorn lost to West Coast in Perth and then obviously ended up playing the GF at the MCG which is quite the advantage.

In any case where do the Lions improve? McCluggage & Rayner struggled to beat hard tags, they lose Berry and Neale isn’t 100%. Their forwards look pretty impotent as well, with Charlie Cameron in terrible form and carried by a hugely inexperienced Ty Gallop.

 

[X_box_X]

I think this stat is pretty meaningless. Those West Coast/Sydney games were decided by less than a goal, while Hawthorn lost to West Coast in Perth and then obviously ended up playing the GF at the MCG which is quite the advantage.

In any case where do the Lions improve? McCluggage & Rayner struggled to beat hard tags, they lose Berry and Neale isn’t 100%. Their forwards look pretty impotent as well, with Charlie Cameron in terrible form and carried by a hugely inexperienced Ty Gallop.

I'm not suggesting BL will win.

I'm saying it's flawed logic to solely base it on a result between the same two teams three weeks ago. If that's the only thing you're basing it off, then it leaves plenty of room for disappointment, whether that be this game or the hundreds of games the follow in years to come.

 

[sohohoho]

I think this stat is pretty meaningless. Those West Coast/Sydney games were decided by less than a goal, while Hawthorn lost to West Coast in Perth and then obviously ended up playing the GF at the MCG which is quite the advantage.

In any case where do the Lions improve? McCluggage & Rayner struggled to beat hard tags, they lose Berry and Neale isn’t 100%. Their forwards look pretty impotent as well, with Charlie Cameron in terrible form and carried by a hugely inexperienced Ty Gallop.

Stewart is also out for Geelong so don't just list off all these problems for Brisbane.

The line has moved over a goal from that game so not like you are alone in thinking this.

I think Cats win as they have less issues atm but I it's bad to just think it's going to happen, these Lions are winners and won't have stage fright like so many other teams in GFs.

 

[NonPhixion]

Geelong 61+ $11.5 PB

Will be too good. Brisbane won't be able to defend the fast ball movement of the cats

 

[dontlimitme]

jez norm

charlie 10 disp into 2+/3+/4+

go sport

 

[Jugada]

People putting way too much stock into that QF result. Brisbane did beat Geelong in the other 2 matches they played this year

 

[magpie_marty]

Cats + 40 $100

 

[X_box_X]

I think people are forgetting how good the BL are. At their best, they overpower any other opponent. They should be going for three premierships in a row. Geelong will have to be near their best to beat them IMO.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Anyone know if there will be any props for Snoop Dogg like what colour jacket he will be wearing?

 

[Rank]

Charlie 3 g
Wilmot 25 d @17 bet365

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

Despite his performance in the QF - McCluggage $1.40 for 20+ is great value.

Neale 2
Bailey 2
Dempsey AGS
Ah Chee AGS
Bailey 15+
Andrews 15+
Miers 15+
Dunkley 20+
Holmes 20+
Wilmot 20+
Smith 25+

$200 @ $84

 

[DT_35]

Neale under 23.5 disp? There’s some talk he may be the sub. What’s the ruling if you bet on a disp market for a player then they are sub? Is the bet then void?

 

[shep90]

Neale under 23.5 disp? There’s some talk he may be the sub. What’s the ruling if you bet on a disp market for a player then they are sub? Is the bet then void?

Looks like it, Sportsbet website says "Bets on substitutes are void. If a player is not in the starting 22, bets on head-to-heads, over/under, and specific goal/disposal markets are void."

 

[DT_35]

Looks like it, Sportsbet website says "Bets on substitutes are void. If a player is not in the starting 22, bets on head-to-heads, over/under, and specific goal/disposal markets are void."

Suppose the best we can hope for is Neale being subbed off