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Both of the last 2 starts of Sir D, other jocks have got going early on their nags - Buckaroo in the Underwood and Antino on the weekend. Antino might be more with where it was sitting in the run, but I reckon the Buckaroo ride was tactics after seeing Sir D looking to hit a flat spot before they straightened. Both didn't matter in the end as it powered on home.. but I reckon jocks/trainers will be thinking this is the way to beat it rather than going head to head with it's turn of foot.

In saying all that, the Cox Plate is on a long way from home in any edition and it might not matter if Via turns up like last year anyway.
 
If they paid the late nom for Observer after that Guineas run I feel like that's where my money would go at the moment
Surely a chance after that run, especially with the way the race shapes up - Hardly any speed in it, Observer can take up the running and give them something to chase.
 
Observer and any 3yo has zero, the 3yos were miles off the Toorak time and the Toorak was hardly Cox plate class.

I have a feeling Via sistina might blow them away like last year. its a bit one dimensional in that it needs pace, but with Globe likely to run and make the pace and Waller shenanigans i feel like it might win easily again this year. If it runs withing 5 lengths of last years performance it will win comfortably
 

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The 3yos were miles off the Toorak the year SYT and Manhattan Rain dominated the Cox Plate too. Comparing overall race times is for twitter and podcast nerds not actual punters
SYT and Manhattan rain had ability. These 3yos do not. You need to be classy to even be competitive. Broadsiding would destroy this crop of 3yos and it finished 10 lengths of VS.
 

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Barrier draw done

TTM draws perfect

I'm happy to let her go around without my money. I can't forgive last start, goes around at $1.30 and can't get past Globe. I don't care how the race was run, it was a 4 horse field she loomed up and just couldn't go on with it. The TTM that we know would've gone straight past Globe prior to this prep IMO.

I know Matt Laurie has faith in the horse, but from what we've seen I couldn't put money on her.
 
Via is now an 8yo mare, probably explains why she has raced a little dour in the lead ups. She still has one hell of a big motor and will be ready to peak. Talk of Antino taking off at the 800 etc. I think it will be Via taking off af the 800 and good luck to them matching motors with her.
 
Race has a real whiff of a WTF result coming up but have landed on my best three at the odds being

1 - Aeliana
2 - Buckaroo
3 - NEPOGOAT

AELIANA I think would be much shorter if it wasnt for the media noise around Waller saying her coat looked awful after last run. First 2 runs this time in were fantastic and last start was perfectly fine in a race not run to suit at all. Waller takes zero chances sonif she is lining up ill assume she has come on really well over the last two weeks.

Can forgive BUCKAROO one bad run in that sit sprint on the hard track last time. Before that was a great first up run and then looked to have Sir Delius cold before condition gave out late. Getting too big of a price now.

NEPOTISM. Wins.

Via way too short for me this prep on what she has shown and tend to think an 8yo mare is more just on a downward trend than about to "grand final peak"

Antino the hardest to beat as he is going rock solid and has tactical speed if needed to sit close but just rock bottom odds.

Treasurethe Moment cannot forgive 2 flops in a row after a set back. If she wins then great for racing but not getting any of mine.
 

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