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AFLW Round 11 - 2025 AFLW Season

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North Melbourne
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Afghanistan women's cricket team
All times are AEDT.


Friday 24 October

Adelaide (7th, 6-4)
vs Port Adelaide (12th, 4-6)
7.35pm, Norwood Oval
Seven (SA); 7mate (VIC, WA, NSW, QLD)


Saturday 25 October

Sydney (9th, 5-5)
vs West Coast (6th, 6-4)
1.05pm, Henson Park
7two (NSW, WA)

Essendon (14th, 3-7) vs Hawthorn (3rd, 8-2)
3.05pm, Windy Hill
Exclusive to Foxtel/Kayo

Fremantle (10th, 5-5)
vs Richmond (16th, 2-8)
5.05pm, Fremantle Oval
7two (WA)

Brisbane (4th, 7-3) vs Melbourne (2nd, 8-2)
7.15pm, Brighton Homes Arena
7mate (QLD, VIC, SA, WA, NSW)


Sunday 26 October

W. Bulldogs (11th, 4-6)
vs Geelong (13th, 4-6)
1.05pm, Mars Stadium
7mate (VIC, SA, QLD)

North Melb. (1st, 10-0) vs St Kilda (5th, 7-3)
1.05pm, North Hobart Oval
Exclusive to Foxtel/Kayo

Carlton (8th, 6-4)
vs GWS Giants (15th, 2-8)
3.05pm, Ikon Park
7mate (VIC, NSW, SA)

Gold Coast (18th, 1-9) vs Collingwood (17th, 2-8)
5.05pm, Bond University
7mate (QLD)


Not the first time teams have played an 11th H&A game, nevertheless it is the first time we've had a Round 11.

While Adelaide are yet to lose a Showdown, their winning margin against Port Adelaide has progressively gotten smaller, approximately by half on each occasion (60 points in 2022, then 30 points in 2023, and 14 points in 2024).

Sydney host West Coast at Henson Park for the third season in a row. A loss for the Swans here will see them eliminated from finals contention by the end of the round if Adelaide and Carlton win their matches.

Essendon are on a 7-match losing streak, but have never lost to Hawthorn before, albeit from just the 2 starts.

Fremantle and Richmond play each other in Western Australia for the first time.

North Melbourne have won 22 in a row and are undefeated in their past 24 matches. They come up against St Kilda who have won their past 6, which is a club record and the competition's second-longest active winning streak.

After 6 meetings in either NSW or ACT, the Blues and Giants face off at Ikon Park. Gotta go all the way back to Round 2 of 2017 for the last time.

Gold Coast and Collingwood play each other in Queensland for the first time. While the Pies have the most AFLW wooden spoons, a win here would all but guarantee the Suns go on to equal them with their 2nd (having finished on the bottom in 2021).


Head-to-head records
Adelaide 3 - Port Adelaide 0 (last met: R1 2024, Adel won by 14)
Sydney 2 - West Coast 0 (last met: R10 2024, Syd won by 46)
Essendon 2 - Hawthorn 0 (last met: R1 2023, Ess won by 19)
Fremantle 2 - Richmond 0 (last met: R5 2023, Frem won by 7)
Brisbane 4 - Melbourne 6 (last met: R2 2024, BL won by 18)
W. Bulldogs 3 - Geelong 2 (last met: R1 2023, Geel won by 48)
North Melb. 2 - St Kilda 0 (last met: R1 2023, NM won by 40)
Carlton 5 - GWS Giants 2 (last met: R8 2023, GWS won by 2)
Gold Coast 1 - Collingwood 1 (last met: R5 2024, Coll won by 3)
 
Hope the Bulldogs keep up the good form, it'll be nice when they can finally shake the looming constant poaching of talent.
 
Coming into the who cares time for the aflw now.

Anyway heres my tips for round 11 or what ever we are up too:

crows over port by 3 points
eagles over swans by 14 points
hawks over essendon by 26 points
freo over tigers by 28 points
melbourne over lions by 6 points
dogs over cats by 8 points
north over stkilda by 29 points
gws over blues by 11 points
suns over pies by 24 points
 
C'mon Saints - hoping they back up the couple of upsets they've had this season with the biggest one of all! But seriously - I will be stoked if we keep the margin to within 5 goals, with us being down to bare bones with our injuries. Bec Ott the latest out for the season. Hopefully Lambert comes back to give us some extra oomph in midfield.
 

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Should this not be the turning point in Adelaide's season, you can already imagine the bitter one-year-too-many taste Matthew Clarke's tenure will unfortunately leave behind.

For now, things are still somewhat salvageable without needing a miracle, in part because of Hawthorn's injuries keeping a top 4 finish (be it after H&A or after finals) delectably up for grabs.

Eloise Jones has kicked multiple goals in back-to-back games only once before (Rounds 4-5, 2023 vs GWS and GC). She did the hard part last week with 3 goals vs North Melbourne. Now, with a home game against crosstown punching bags, she just needs to do the easy follow-up work to beat the yo-yo accusations.

Indy Tahau is on track to break the record for most goals in a H&A season, even without needing the extra game afforded by this year's fixture. However, her season has been reminiscent of the Tsiolkovsky rocket equation, and if you have a normal functioning brain, you can easily understand what that means and why I hardly need to make it clearer that I'm tipping Adelaide to win this match.
 
I decided to convert the coaches votes (5-4-3-2-1) into a (3-2-1) brownlow system.
If two players are tied with 9 points each, instead of them both getting the 3 votes;
they will now get 2.5 votes.
(1st = 3 votes, 2nd = 2 votes - 3 + 2 = 5 votes to share between the two which is 2.5 votes each.)

The Gold Coast Suns V Western Bulldogs game had 4 players tied for 1st position. (All 4 on 5 votes). One of the coaches gave a player 5 votes while the other coach didn't give them a single vote.

This is the leaderboard after 10 rounds.

Rank VotesPlayer (Club)
1
24
Ash Riddell (NMFC)
2​
20​
Jasmine Garner (NMFC)
3​
18.5​
Georgie Prespakis (GEEL)
4​
17.5​
Ella Roberts (WCE)
5​
13​
Brittany Bonnici (COLL)
6​
12.5​
Tyla Hanks (MELB)
7​
11.5​
Ebony Marinoff (ADEL)
8​
11.3​
Kiara Bowers (FRE)
9​
11​
Tyanna Smith (STK)
10​
10.5​
Courtney Hodder (BL)
10​
10.5​
Kate Hore (MELB)
12​
10​
Laura Gardiner (SYD)
 
Syd v WCE
Meeting again late in the season, and the Swans are without Molloy like last year's encounter which they still won easily. But that was against a West Coast team out of steam, following a heavy loss to Geelong.

This time the Eagles are coming off a trouncing of the Cats, though still not favourites presumably due to geography. The odds may change before the first bounce (as was the case with Syd v Carl, which ended up pulling a reverse Uno), though I doubt Sydney will have tidied up some glaring defensive weaknesses by then.


Ess v Haw
The Bombers get a couple of no-excuse games to finish off the year against fellow Class of '22 clubs, neither of whom are having much luck in the medical room. I tipped Essendon to win 5 games this year, but even if they get to that mediocre tally by playing slow crap around the boundary, they will still appear to be miles behind their expansion stablemates.

Hawthorn have already far exceeded my prescribed pass mark (scrape into finals with 6 wins) while somehow playing much worse than I expected, and their bizarre season is set to continue with glassware extraordinaire Nat Exon coming in as an injury replacement. That's like having a toddler as your backup babysitter.


Frem v Rich
A month or so ago, we did the sums on the Richmond board which showed these two teams had the worst disposals:clangers ratio (Tigers dead last). The gap has since narrowed between them in that regard, and both have jumped above Port.

But just when it looked like Richmond were learning to live beyond Eilish Sheerin, they must now find a way to win without Ellie McKenzie. If they want to. Do they want to? Being cautious and giving McKenzie the week off due to knee soreness probably isn't going to hurt their draft hand.


BL v Melb
I have hope for a good match, but based on the past 2 months, Melbourne have no hope at all (think I've already done the stats, about Casey Fields vs elsewhere, to death at this point).
 
Forecast says a bit of rain about for Sunday's games, which feature at least 4 teams who already look like they'd prefer to be on summer holidays.

Carl-GWS is the only matchup with a surface level mixture of season-shaping stakes and semi-unpredictability, partly because it's the Blues who have looked the more checked-out team in the past 2 weeks.

Big picture: it would be good for Carlton to dominate hitouts and clearances again, only to lose to again, thereby (theoretically) prompting some serious actions to correct their ruck and forward-line deployments.
 

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Tahau and Houghton have scored more than 50% (38 of 73 before tonight's game) of Port's goals this season, and tonight they have kicked 4 of Port's 6 in the first half.
 
So it would seem the turnaround in injury fortune was shortlived for Adelaide.

Niamh Kelly (BOG in the Showdown 2 seasons ago) out for not only tonight but also next week's match against Fremantle, which is shaping up to be crucial given the way this one's heading.
 
Adelaide's 3rd quarter:

Coming out of D50, kick it on top of a teal-swamped Hatchard in the middle.

But with 15 seconds left, ball in the centre circle, chip it sideways.
 
Adelaide a different team when India Rasheed gets involved, and I'm not sure Matthew Clarke realises it 11 rounds deep.

Best on ground
3 - Abbey Dowrick
Works for me.
2 - Anne Hatchard & 1 - Ebony Marinoff
Their flaws, while plain and clear to see, were nevertheless not the reason for the Crows' loss tonight.

Worst on ground
1 - Eloise Jones & 2 - Danielle Ponter
It's a warped picture when Grace Kelly is getting 19 & 2 (albeit one of the least impressive 19 & 2 performances ever) while the creme de la creme are relegated to cameo status yet again.
3 - Teah Charlton
In the spirit of Halloween nearing, played the match with a pumpkin on her neck. Didn't seem to even be processing what was happening out on the ground.
 
One of the games of the season.

People complain about the parity but these last 2 seasons Demons/Crows/Lions have proven to be mortal even if still very good.

I don't think North matter, they're in the middle of a dynasty run, they're meant to be that good and hopefully they set some records for teams in the future to target.
 

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What an odd season for Port - one they might look back as a huge opportunity missed. Interesting article on the AFL site this morning about them, about Arnell saying they were aware this season might end up being a downer after making prelims last year, I'm sure it's good to be realistic but it vaguely felt to me of not truly believing their own success and building on it? Would have thought they'd go in with more confidence than being aware last year was going to be hard to repeat etc.

Anyway it certainly means Adelaide have crumbled significantly from their former status...if they miss the 8 that'd be a shocker of a way to farewell Clarke.
 
What an odd season for Port - one they might look back as a huge opportunity missed. Interesting article on the AFL site this morning about them, about Arnell saying they were aware this season might end up being a downer after making prelims last year, I'm sure it's good to be realistic but it vaguely felt to me of not truly believing their own success and building on it? Would have thought they'd go in with more confidence than being aware last year was going to be hard to repeat etc.

Anyway it certainly means Adelaide have crumbled significantly from their former status...if they miss the 8 that'd be a shocker of a way to farewell Clarke.
It’s been a really odd, up-and-down season for a few clubs. Everything did go right for Port last year, and it always felt like they may struggle to back up to the same heights.

It would be an enormously sad end for Doc’s time at the Crows. Has always come across as a first-class human being and has been a fantastic contributor to the league.
 
Speaking of Port Adelaide, I doubt I'm the only one to suspect West Coast are tracking to mimic the Power's finals run of last year:

Win a home EF (against a "Big 4" Vic team), beat Hawthorn in a SF, get smashed in a PF ?
 
What an odd season for Port - one they might look back as a huge opportunity missed. Interesting article on the AFL site this morning about them, about Arnell saying they were aware this season might end up being a downer after making prelims last year, I'm sure it's good to be realistic but it vaguely felt to me of not truly believing their own success and building on it? Would have thought they'd go in with more confidence than being aware last year was going to be hard to repeat etc.

Anyway it certainly means Adelaide have crumbled significantly from their former status...if they miss the 8 that'd be a shocker of a way to farewell Clarke.
An almost season for Port in some ways.

Form against the top teams (we’ve played all the top 8 I think) has pretty good
Beaten Melbourne, Hawthorn and Adelaide.

A 4 goal lead v St Kilda at 3QT to get beat at the death.
A “debatable” deliberate rushed to gift Geelong a win has really cost.
A bit of luck there and would be sitting in 4th / 5th in a mirror of last year.

And a game plan that’s obviously risk/reward, concede a lot but score heavy as well.

But coulda woulda shoulda didn’t. Barring a miracle, here’s to 2026.
 
Great game last night! Is ponter in trouble for kneeing a player tho! Was a dirty play after she got spoiled
 

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