A Wait and See Approach

[Evil Toucan]

Am I the only one that thinks this way?

We have trades for a reason! Too often in this forum I am seeing people try and find the next break out premium. The likes of Boak, Jack, Varcoe, SJ etc are all coming to mind.

Okay, so they might rise in price a little before you get on board. But that's IF they are a success. I would much rather have to pay a little extra and use up a trade, than to have that player be a flop and then try and use up trades to get rid of them. Not to mention the frustration you will suffer because this player is likely to be a unique selection and could easily separate you from the contenders early on in the piece.

If you are a smart trader, then there is absolutely nothing wrong with the wait and see approach. Don't try and pick these hidden gems from the start. I'm not saying pick players that everyone else has and that all teams should be similar, far from that! But pick reliable players that you know are going to score well. Or, go for rookies that offer good value.

I just see no value in those awkwardly priced players that are neither premium nor a cash cow.

Don't forget we have 4 extra trades this year!! Pick your rookies well and manage the bye rounds, prepare for the bye rounds and then you will have plenty of trades up your sleeve to pick up a gem that you may have missed from round 1.

Bottom line, the risk is too high in trying to find the next breakout premium, take the wait and see approach!

ET

 

[Daniels]

I'm pretty much thinking of the same approach now.

My thinking is why spend say 250-400k on a player who is maybe going to have a possible "break out year" when you can just scoop a rookie that will prob almost get the same result / output overall points wise and cow wise in long term (if you play your cards right) And just splash that extra cash elsewhere on proven guns. You have the same headaches if these particular "break out players" players don't fire anyway.

Like you said if there is a obvious gem you have missed just scoop them asap.

Thinking the old school premium / rookie approach is looking even more solid this year with all those trades...

 

[Ed D]

Other seasons I've always come to the end and wished I had another couple of trades, that's what is stopping me from using this approach. In saying that I'm pretty much avoiding mid priced players anyway.

 

[Yoda_]

And people were saying I was silly the way I was going

 

[Super Gusto]

Looking at past stats, it's the players that are already established Supercoach scorers that will have the large increases in scores - say from 100 pts average to 120 pts average.

Rarely do the 70-80 ppt averages have a large increase. Dale Thomas was an exception last years going from 70 to 90 pts odd average.

Alot of Rookies or cheapies (under 200k) have gone on to average 80+ in that year.

So yes alot of Merit in going for the Rookies and waiting to see how the hyped up players fair throughout the year.