AFL Brownlow 2026

[the_big_sav]

If 30 is the new minimum here are some thoughts (odds are sportsbet)

Daicos ($5) will only need to fart and have 2 votes, just needs pies to stay top 6

Bont ($10) had 6 votes at round 15 and finished with 25. Treloar fit will pinch a few as a proven vote getter but a fit bont and 14+ wins from dogs could get 30

Bailey ($18). Just needs another top 4 season from Geelong and he'll go close. Unless Holmes breaks out.

Cerong ($34) and Brayshaw ($41) steal from each other too much for either to get 30 unless freo have a 16-18 win season

Gulden ($41) is a big vote getter and Sydney should have a bit of spike back to 14-15 wins. Heeney and Warner probably make it like freo and make it hard for 1 to get 30

As a cash out option if offered Davies-Uniacke ($101). We play Port home, Eagles away, Ess, Carl, Bris and Rich in the first 6 and could be 4/2 or 5/1. LDU is a down hill skier and could poll well in these games before going back to playing a quarter here and there when we start to play real sides after that. Maybe even a sneaky leader at round 5 or 6 bet when it's offered

 

[sohohoho]

Rowell just won it with Nando as a team mate so think you can throw out the steal votes thing.

one thing is obvious you need to overpoll your expected votes by a considerable amount to win this these days and that is what looks to be Nick's biggest handicap.

He polls basically what he should each year, Bont is another who never overpolls as his strong games are so good, he doesn't poll in the others.

 

[the_big_sav]

Rowell just won it with Nando as a team mate so think you can throw out the steal votes thing.

one thing is obvious you need to overpoll your expected votes by a considerable amount to win this these days and that is what looks to be Nick's biggest handicap.

He polls basically what he should each year, Bont is another who never overpolls as his strong games are so good, he doesn't poll in the others.

The trend seems to be the winner under polls the next year. Rowell ando touk and petrecca surely none of those get to 30.

I dont know who else could over poll so much from a top team

Merrett is unchallenged but not enough wins

Newcombe to me isn't a 30 plus roller

Green and Callaghan got in each other's way and dont see gws being a top 4 team to get the extra votes