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Bailey ladder predictor

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you pick one

you pick one

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I've just completed the ladder predictor fully expecting to see the result as being Cats v Hawthorn/Carlton in our first final.

Didn't come out that way for me at all it was Cats v West Coast,I was surprised.

Be interested to see others results.

1 Collingwood
2 Geelong
3 West Coast
4 Hawthorn
5 Carlton
6 Sydney
7 Freo
8 St. Kilda
 
you pick one said:
I've just completed the ladder predictor fully expecting to see the result as being Cats v Hawthorn/Carlton in our first final.

Didn't come out that way for me at all it was Cats v West Coast,I was surprised.

Be interested to see others results.
Click to expand...

I Agree with you -i just assumed with the form Carlton were in they would finish top4 . But Eagles and Hawks have basically unlosable games till end of season. So this year -for the 1st time ever nearly you are going to have a bit of quality in bottom half of 8 in Blues and saints .



If we play West Coast in week one -no disrespect to Eagles thats a massive advantage to us. Contrast that to Collingwood who say play Hawthorn -Franklin and Rioli turn it on and Pies might have to front up to
Carlton in week 2 -jeez i wouldnt be looking forward to that !

Somebody posted that it doesnt matter who you play in finals -thats utter garbage. Go back to 1997 -StKilda finished on top marginally ahead of us on percentage -One played 8 and 2 played 7 back then -they played Brisbane Bears an absolute gift we had to play N Melb with Carey and all their guns and lost

Ifwe had just a liitle bit more percentage -we play bears and in all likelihood make the GF and perhaps win the flag
So i reckon a bit of luck with who we draw in the finals is extremely important this year
 
you pick one said:
I've just completed the ladder predictor fully expecting to see the result as being Cats v Hawthorn/Carlton in our first final.

Didn't come out that way for me at all it was Cats v West Coast,I was surprised.

Be interested to see others results.
Click to expand...

Hmm, thats assuming Hawks drop a few games, there are few toughies there!!

I had mine:
Pies
Cats
Hawks
Eagles
Blues
Saints
Swans
Dockers

My results from there are, cats/pies advance to Prelim, saints/hawks carlton/westcoast week 2.

From there its cats and either westcoast/carlton - too hard to call
And on the other side, Pies and either hawks/saints - I wouldnt like to be coming up against either of them come a Prelim!!

So if we can survive first week against the Hawks, we may have a favourable matchup come Prelim - although Blues and Eagles will be no easybeats by no means, but I would rather them than a Sants or Hawks outfit given their sniping style of play against us.

Least the Blues or Eagles would be hard but fair.
 
And furthermore, I dont think I would like to be either Geelong or Collingwood up against Saints in a prelim.
If they were getting beaten soundly I wouldnt put it past them to snipe Cats or Pies players - we have seen them play with spite before, its a recipie for ruining a teams flag chances and the further away we can keep from them in the finals draw the better!!

I dont have any doubts we could beat them, but the sniping is the bit that worrys me!!
 

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Well the predictor doesnt take into account %
But % wont matter from my calcs

I have it like this


Geelong - 80 pts
Collingwood - 76 pts
Hawthorn - 72 pts
West Coast - 68 pts

Carlton - 62 pts
Sydney - 54 pts
Fremantle - 48 pts
St Kilda. - 46 pts



And that wont end up correct. Naturally.
 
geez it's still impossible to predict. I've gone over the baileys ladder many times during th year and even now, no one can guess it correctly.
I see Hawthorn winning and only dropping perhaps a game but I also see the Eagles losing a couple of games to Melbourne and possibly Essendon. The upcoming Bulldogs game for them is a pretty big match and Dogs will be up for it.
Saints will lose to Collingwood, Sydney and potentially Carlton. I actually reckon Melbourne have a sneaky shot at taking St Kilda's final 8 spot.
Essendon have a genuine shot at beating Collingwood this week along with Sydney, Dogs and Port so they could finish as high as 7th.
Freo will beat the Hawks, Blues and Dogs.

I reckon we get the following finals:
Friday 7:30pm MCG Geelong v Hawthorn
Saturday 7:30pm MCG Collingwood v West Coast
Sunday 2:30pm MCG Carlton v Melbourne
Sunday 4:30pm PS Fremantle v Sydney

Geelong & Collingwood win get the bye.
Blues & Freo win. Blues travel to Patterson stadium to play the Eagles whilst Fremantle travel to the MCG to play Hawks.
I'm seeing a Geelong v West Coast & Collingwood v Hawthorn preliminary finals:D
 
vinum coupe said:
Well the predictor doesnt take into account %
But % wont matter from my calcs

I have it like this


Geelong - 80 pts
Collingwood - 76 pts
Hawthorn - 72 pts
West Coast - 68 pts

Carlton - 62 pts
Sydney - 54 pts
Fremantle - 48 pts
St Kilda. - 46 pts



And that wont end up correct. Naturally.
Click to expand...

I am curious as to who the other team to beat Collingwood are in your calculations (I have assumed a Cats win in round 24)
 
1. GEE 20-2
2. COL 19-3
3. HAW 17-5
4. WC 17-5
5. CAR 15-1-6
6. STK 12-1-9
7. SYD 12-1-9
8. ESS 10-1-11

GEE V COLL GF

Collingwood lose to StKilda in a saints style submission match at etihad and to cats in the biggest non-event of the season in r24.
Freo stumble against bulldogs after a very tough draw to finish to give the bombers a spot. bombers have a much easy draw and despite losing a couple of games things go their way
 
Spermbird said:
I am curious as to who the other team to beat Collingwood are in your calculations (I have assumed a Cats win in round 24)
Click to expand...

They were separate thought processes actually.
I just 'guessed' that Freo will be up and about by the time they play them over there. So ticked them as possible win.

And as for Geelong. Well I figured Geelong will want to win that rnd 24 game more. (Having said that I didn't know that top spot and a game against WC in the first final was on the line)

I never looked at the ladder as it changed during my selections.
 
vinum coupe said:
They were separate thought processes actually.
I just 'guessed' that Freo will be up and about by the time they play them over there. So ticked them as possible win.

And as for Geelong. Well I figured Geelong will want to win that rnd 24 game more. (Having said that I didn't know that top spot and a game against WC in the first final was on the line)

I never looked at the ladder as it changed during my selections.
Click to expand...

That's how I did it to, no analyzing games,just gut feeling see what it spits out.
 

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Tried to be as gut feel as possible (and not tempted by traditional bias ) and ended up with:

1. Coll
2. Gee
3. WC
4. Carl
5. Haw
6. Syd
7. NM
8. Fre

Prelims:
Pies v Swans
Cats v Carl

Let's then call it a Coll v Gee GF
 
Picked it on who I'd tip in the game was a bit harsh on Hawthorn e.g. I reckon Freo will win this week, but it's 50/50

1. Coll
2. Geel
3. W.C.
4. Haw
5. Carl
6. St.K
7. Syd
8. Frem

Prelims
Coll vs W.C.
Geel vs Haw

Coll vs Geel Grand Final
 

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