First score type betting?

[SydneyBomber]

possibly a stupid question (I'm bit of an amateur at punting, so apologies in advance!), but I was wondering if anyone had any suggestions where to find historical stats on first score type?
i.e. point vs. goal & home vs. away team?

I'd be interested to see any trends in stats of whether historically points or goals are kicked more often first up, and then obviously if they're kicked more often by the home team.

cheers

 

[Daytripper]

possibly a stupid question (I'm bit of an amateur at punting, so apologies in advance!), but I was wondering if anyone had any suggestions where to find historical stats on first score type?
i.e. point vs. goal & home vs. away team?

I'd be interested to see any trends in stats of whether historically points or goals are kicked more often first up, and then obviously if they're kicked more often by the home team.

cheers

Don't bother. Its a bet type for the desparate gambler and the %'s offered are usually terrible.

 

[SydneyBomber]

Don't bother. Its a bet type for the desparate gambler and the %'s offered are usually terrible.

true, it's certainly more gambling than punting (if that makes sense?), however can be a nice little earner if luck is on your side?

I nailed richmond with first behind ($4.15), geelong with first behind ($3.35) & roos with first goal ($4.00) on the weekend, which was quite handy.
(missed similar bets for brisbane & west coast, but still came out a fair way in front)

(* very small bets though - remember I am an amateur, and I was testing the waters ha!)

so luck aside, was curious if anyone could point me in the right direction of some trends/stats on first scores that may make this slightly more than an 'educated guess'?

 

[GoodesStuff]

true, it's certainly more gambling than punting (if that makes sense?), however can be a nice little earner if luck is on your side?

I nailed richmond with first behind ($4.15), geelong with first behind ($3.35) & roos with first goal ($4.00) on the weekend, which was quite handy.
(missed similar bets for brisbane & west coast, but still came out a fair way in front)

(* reasonably small bets though - remember I am an amateur ha!)

so luck aside, was curious if anyone could point me in the right direction of some trends/stats on first scores that may make this slightly more than an 'educated guess'?

I think the underdog getting the first behind or even score in the game offers most value. Ive seen this happen quite often recently actually.

 

[SydneyBomber]

I think the underdog getting the first behind or even score in the game offers most value. Ive seen this happen quite often recently actually.

yeah, that's what I was thinking to be honest - perfect example was the richmond game

 

[Kahuna]

I have no stats to back this up or anything but I would think betting on either team to score a behind first would end up profitable in the end?. More chances of kicking a point, early in the game might still be a little rusty.

I sometimes bet on say Geelong to either kick and point or goal first if they are playing some absolute terrible team. Offcourse odd's have to be over $2.00 for each to make this work.

 

[dr nick]

I think the underdog getting the first behind or even score in the game offers most value. Ive seen this happen quite often recently actually.

agree. Systematically backing odds of near $5 as they sometimes offer or laying odds of $3 for any one of the options will see you win in the long run imo.

 

[SirJimi05]

Either team to score behind and you should finish ahead.

Balls are not kicked in pre game.

I wouldn't be touching it though tbh.

 

[dr nick]

well your not ghey then are you

 

[Rubins]

"...backing odds of near $5 as they sometimes offer or laying odds of $3 for any one of the options will see you win in the long run imo."

"...Either team to score behind and you should finish ahead"

Are you guys serious?
How do think the bookies framed that market? The reason a goal being scored first is shorter odds is because it happens more often.
The odds are set to ensure a margin for the bookies - if you can find a betting market where systemically betting on the same thing has you finishing up ahead then you should quit your job and live of the profits.