Prediction Ladder Predictor

[Stoods]

Well we are well and truly getting down to business now with only a few games to go. Surely I am not the only one having a go at the ladder predictor, here's what I have come up with:

1. Adelaide
2. Geelong
3. Collingwood
4. Brisbane
5. Gold Coast
6. Fremantle
7. Bulldogs
8. GWS
9. Hawthorn

I had us beating Hawthorn and Melbourne and losing to Adelaide. Curious to see what other people think?

 

[frizzle]

I have us 5th & facing Freo at the MCG in week 1 elimination final. Hope we do better than that, but our form for many weeks now has been average at best.

 

[domus]

Well we are well and truly getting down to business now with only a few games to go. Surely I am not the only one having a go at the ladder predictor, here's what I have come up with:

1. Adelaide
2. Geelong
3. Collingwood
4. Brisbane
5. Gold Coast
6. Fremantle
7. Bulldogs
8. GWS
9. Hawthorn

I had us beating Hawthorn and Melbourne and losing to Adelaide. Curious to see what other people think?

I'm more confident about beating the Crows.

 

[YouBeauty]

on current form we are only beating Melbourne

 

[PiCkLeJuiCe]

Win all 3 and we're on top. Lose one or 2 games and I have us 5th, either facing Freo or Hawthorn.

The tough one is Freo v Brisbane.

We can't hope for any upsets. As pointed out on First Crack, in recent games of top 9 vs bottom 9, it's 50 wins, 1 loss.

 

[hellfire]

I think we’ll finish 5th, unfortunately.

 

[Houston25]

I think we’ll finish 5th, unfortunately.

From 10 points clean on top to 5th would be an absolute disaster. Complete bottle job.

 

[Kes1984]

Very hard to know based on our form

I just did two scenarios:

1) We beat Hawthorn, lose to Adelaide, beat Melbourne
2) We lose to Hawthorn, lose to Adelaide, beat Melbourne

So I have us losing to Adelaide and beating Melbourne in both. Difference is this game.

Beat Hawthorn - finish 2nd (playing Gold Coast at the G for a change), or 3rd (if they bypass our percentage and play them up there!)

Lose to Hawthorn - finish 5th (and I have Hawthorn finishing 8th - so no home ground advantage)

Our percentage is vulnerable now.

 

[shizzle]

I have us in 5th playing GWS in week 1

 

[leon123]

I have us playing adelaide in the gf... i like this game

 

[Kes1984]

I think we’ll finish 5th, unfortunately.

quite possible on recent form, which is horrific really when we were so clear on top about a month ago!
Would also be out first week on that basis too then because haven't been able to beat any tops sides for a while.

The response this week to Hawthorn will be very telling. Win - season is still on
Lose and we'll play finals and likely just make up the numbers, instead of genuinely challenging like we should be.

 

[ksardog]

we switch on , we finish top
lets just switch on

i fear no side if we get back to our best

 

[Peters_Nuts]

I have us going 2-1 from here and the following happening:

• Freo beat Brisbane at Optus
• Dogs beat Freo at Marvel
• GC not dropping another game

We finish 3rd and play Geelong. Adelaide play GC.

 

[Kes1984]

I have us going 2-1 from here and the following happening:

• Freo beat Brisbane at Optus
• Dogs beat Freo at Marvel
• GC not dropping another game

We finish 3rd and play Geelong. Adelaide play GC.

that's ok if pans out like that
Geelong haven't been tested for a while, and that'll be at the G.

 

[PIEWITHSAUCE]

I have us going 2-1 from here and the following happening:

• Freo beat Brisbane at Optus
• Dogs beat Freo at Marvel
• GC not dropping another game

We finish 3rd and play Geelong. Adelaide play GC.

If you're right then all the management etc......has been worth it and we come into finals better placed. If the Freo/GC losses come back to bite us and we finish outside Top 4 then it's looking very iffy.

 

[manicpie]

I have us going 2-1 from here and the following happening:

• Freo beat Brisbane at Optus
• Dogs beat Freo at Marvel
• GC not dropping another game

We finish 3rd and play Geelong. Adelaide play GC.

TBH, I'd love a final against Geelong

 

[Horaceg]

I have us playing GCS in the first week of finals, I have us undefeated for the rest of the year.

 

[Jafo]

I sure hope we make the top 4

 

[domus]

I think we’ll finish 5th, unfortunately.

It sadly is not out of the question. How did we get here?

 

[stormskye]

It sadly is not out of the question. How did we get here?

We sit 2nd.

I think that’s a question for blues fans

 

[manicpie]

It sadly is not out of the question. How did we get here?

5th or 6th is better than 7th or 8th, at least we get a home final. Brisbane won it from 6th last year

 

[Kes1984]

View attachment 2385559
I sure hope we make the top 4

well they have us 5th now too. With how tight it is just beneath us now, it is highly possible.

 

[stormskye]

5th or 6th is better than 7th or 8th, at least we get a home final. Brisbane won it from 6th last year

If our worse case scenario is playing Freo at the mcg I’ll happily take it. Bring it on

 

[LuckyLee]

For the worst case scenario of losing our final three H&A games (and 6 of our final 7), I have us ending on 60pts, tied with all of Dogs, Hawks, Giants and Freo, with one of Freo and GWS missing out on percentage:

1. Crows 72
2. Lions 70
3. Cats 68
4. Suns 68
5. Dogs 60
6. Pies 60
7. Hawks 60
8. Giants 60
9. Freo 60
10. Swans 44

For best case, it looks dramatically different and highlights how all-or-nothing Thursday night's game is for the Hawks:

1. Pies 72
2. Lions 70
3. Crows 68
4. Cats 68
5. Suns 68
6. Dogs 60
7. Giants 60
8. Freo 60
9. Hawks 56
10. Swans 44

Hawks are in better form and have more to play for than us on Thursday night. They should be favourites.

 

[Doc1763]

the butchering of the Freo game is going to cost us