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Ladder predictor

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This is how mine looked after 22 rounds.

1 St Kilda 22 22 0 0 2257 1468 153.75 88
2 Geelong 22 21 1 0 2479 1717 144.38 84
3 W Bulldogs 22 16 6 0 2350 1869 125.74 64
4 Adelaide 22 15 7 0 1915 1849 103.57 60
5 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2083 1793 116.17 56
6 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 1879 2042 92.02 52
7 Bris Lions 22 12 10 0 1911 1876 101.87 48
8 Carlton 22 11 11 0 2231 1950 114.41 44
9 Essendon 22 11 11 0 1978 1994 99.20 44
10 Sydney 22 8 14 0 1819 1975 92.10 32
11 West Coast 22 8 14 0 1846 2008 91.93 32
12 Hawthorn 22 7 15 0 1842 2158 85.36 28
13 Richmond 22 7 15 0 1814 2145 84.57 28
14 Nth Melb 22 5 17 0 1638 2098 78.07 20
15 Fremantle 22 4 18 0 1722 2188 78.70 16
16 Melbourne 22 2 20 0 1550 2184 70.97 8
 
Nice to know but it's all depenent on which CFC turns up on the day
 

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Here's my attempt:
  1. Saints - 88pts
  2. Cats - 84 pts
  3. Dogs - 60pts
  4. Crows - 60pts
  5. Lions - 56pts
  6. Pies - 52
  7. Blues - 48
  8. Port - 48
  9. Bummers - 40
  10. Sydney - 36
  11. Hawks - 32
  12. WCE - 24
  13. Roos - 24
  14. Tigers - 20
  15. Freo - 20
  16. Dees - 12
Now, a few things.
Firstly I don't think the Saints will go undefeated. Not sure which one they will drop, but maybe vs Roos?
Secondly, I don't think that the Tiges and Freo will be dumb enough to win 5 games......although now I think about which clubs are involved....anything could happen.

I have gone for who I think are the favourites going into each game.

1st week of finals:
  1. Saint vs Crows
  2. Cats vs Dogs
  3. Lions vs Port
  4. Pies vs Blues
Saints and Cats in prelim, Port and Pipes Eliminated :D:

That leaves us probably playing thr Doggies, as they would be the highest placed loser playing the lowest placed winner, but not sure.

If we played the Dogs I'd feel 50/50 about making a prelim vs playing the Crows in Adelaide (10% Chance).

Then we would go into the Saints side of the draw taking the Dogs spot......or the Cats side of the draw taking the Crows spot........

Dreaming to get here let alone beyond, but the Cats have been less than convincing in their prelim finals and we could do a '99 prelim again. :eek:

Wow, sorted, bring on the GF vs Saints. :D
 
This was my attempt, however keep in mind, as a previous poster mentioned, it depends on which CFC turns up on the day.
1St Kilda22220023371489156.9588
2Geelong22202025241769142.6880
3W Bulldogs22175024041885127.5368
4Carlton22148022282004111.1856
5Collingwood22139021141909110.7452
6Bris Lions221210020281985102.1748
7Adelaide22121001953197898.7448
8Port Adel22121002075211798.0248
9Hawthorn22121001987208395.3948
10Essendon22101202069208199.4240
11Sydney2281401914206592.6932
12West Coast2261601881214287.8224 13Fremantle2261601871230881.0724
14Richmond2251701828227180.4920
15Nth Melb2251701702216078.8020
16Melbourne2222001691236071.658
 
reg_lower91 said:
This was my attempt, however keep in mind, as a previous poster mentioned, it depends on which CFC turns up on the day.
1St Kilda22220023371489156.9588 2Geelong22202025241769142.6880 3W Bulldogs22175024041885127.5368 4Carlton22148022282004111.1856 5Collingwood22139021141909110.7452 6Bris Lions221210020281985102.1748 7Adelaide22121001953197898.7448 8Port Adel22121002075211798.0248 9Hawthorn22121001987208395.3948 10Essendon22101202069208199.4240 11Sydney2281401914206592.6932 12West Coast2261601881214287.8224 13Fremantle2261601871230881.0724 14Richmond2251701828227180.4920 15Nth Melb2251701702216078.8020 16Melbourne2222001691236071.658
Click to expand...

Help, I'm stuck in the matrix!
 
Bluebear said:
Dreaming to get here let alone beyond, but the Cats have been less than convincing in their prelim finals and we could do a '99 prelim again. :eek:

Wow, sorted, bring on the GF vs Saints. :D
Click to expand...

I know most will brush it off, and it seems a bit of a stretch, but unless we play the Crows over in Adelaide in week 1, I like our chances against the other teams fighting for 5th-8th.

As you say, week 2 could likely put us against the Dogs or even the Pies and considering our recent record we would not be without a chance in either game.

I secretly think a prelim this year is not out of the question - the only hurdle it seems is making the finals, and then it all gets pretty easy :o
 
This is my shot, hopefully we have a hard and desperate team that turns up each week to get us here!

1 St Kilda 22 21 1 0 2377 1509 157.52 84
2 Geelong 22 20 2 0 2464 1784 138.12 80
3 WBulldogs 22 18 4 0 2464 1925 128.00 72
4 Adelaide 22 15 7 0 2053 1928 106.48 60
5 Collingwood 22 13 9021641909113.3652
6 Carlton 22 13 9 0 2268 2034 111.50 52
7 Bris Lions 22 12 10 0 2088 1995 104.66 48
8 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2075 2157 96.20 48
9 Essendon 22 11 11 0 2079 2101 98.95 44
10 Sydney 22 9 13 0 1954 2095 93.27 36
11 Hawthorn 22 8 14 0 1932 2213 87.30 32
12 West Coast 22 6 16 0 1891 2162 87.47 24
13 Nth Melb 22 6 16 0 1742 2180 79.91 24
14 Richmond 22 5 17 0 1848 2281 81.02 20
15 Fremantle 22 4 18 0 1841 2338 78.74 16
16 Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1711 2340 73.12 12
 
So its looking like:

Maggies vs blues MCG (or vice verser)
LIons vs Blues GAbba ( or vice verser)
Adel Vs Blues AMMI ( or vice verser)

They're my opinions on what will happen if we make the elimnation finals.
 

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Carlton Villa said:
Found this was fun to do.

This is a possibility if we play to potential and finally get away from up one week down the next.
All the games I have penciled in a win are winable, but ??????
1
St Kilda22202023001548148.58 802Geelong22202026091810144.14 803Collingwood22166022991923119.55 644W Bulldogs22157024131999120.71 605Carlton22139021802123102.68 52:)6Adelaide22139019951974101.06 527Hawthorn221210021032213 95.03 488Bris Lions221111021432091102.49 449Essendon221111022052174101.43 4410Port Adel22913020322261 89.87 3611West Coast22814023612111118.8 3212Sydney22814019422113 91.91 3213Richmond22616019703185 61.85 2414Fremantle22517018862351 80.22 2015Nth Melb22517017352267 76.53 2016Melbourne22418017852315 77.11 16
Click to expand...
 

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This is what I have come up with. Port, Hawks & Sydney all may win one more or so than predicted, but I wouldn't think it'd be much more than that.

At worse, one of those teams MAY end on the same number of wins as us, and our percentage gets us in - though obviously I think it'll pan out as my ladder predicts.

This wouldn't really be a great scenerio for us at all - travelling to both Brisbane & Adelaide would be a horror run. We'd be lucky to get a win against the Lions but then the Crows would smash us you'd think - still, anything can happen once finals start...

EDIT: Funnily enough, if we drop a game we should win (i.e. Sydney) there will be a lot of criticism and suggestions we aren't good enough for finals, yet it could actually mean we face the Pies & Dogs in Melbourne which would give us a better chance than the above scenerio. (Assuming I am able to accurately predict all remaining games of the season of course;))

Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts
St Kilda 22 21 1 0 2247 1469 152.96 84
Geelong 22 20 2 0 2379 1757 135.40 80
Adelaide 22 16 6 0 2053 1786 114.95 64
Bulldogs 22 15 7 0 2354 1896 124.16 60
Collingw 22 15 7 0 2180 1904 114.50 60
B. Lions 22 14 8 0 2036 1850 110.05 56
Carlton 22 12 10 0 2182 2023 107.86 48
Bombers 22 12 10 0 2016 1943 103.76 48

Port Adel 22 10 12 0 1950 2098 92.95 40
Hawthorn 22 9 13 0 1870 2057 90.91 36
Sydney 22 8 14 0 1836 2022 90.80 32
Eagles 22 7 15 0 1861 2042 91.14 28
Nth Melb 22 6 16 0 1666 2103 79.22 24
Melbourne 22 5 17 0 1637 2140 76.50 20
Richmond 22 3 19 0 1737 2250 77.20 12
Fremantle 22 3 19 0 1574 2238 70.33 12
 
I have done the ladder predictor a few times, and i just can't find a way for us to make the 8, unless we win the 3 winnables, Sydney, North & Melbourne, plus either Collingwood, Geelong, Port (@ AAMI), Adelaide. I'm not sure we can do it, we also need Essendon and Port to drop 1 or 2 they shouldn't.

Prove me wrong blues!
 

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