TigerFury.net preview of Sunday's Melbourne match : {url=http://richmondtigers.rivals.net/default.asp?sid=1495&p=2&stid=8094291]The Journey Starts[/url]
This should be one of the closer games in the round, between two fairly evenly matched teams.
The key to this game is Melbourne superior midfield/rucking division, and how the Tigers manage it.
Melbourne's centre square group has the edge over its Richmond counterpart in terms of pace and toughness. The challenge for Richmond is to simply break even with White, Rigoni, Woewoden and Leoncelli. If Richmond draws in the middle their superiority around the rest of the ground should ensure a win.
If White is dominating the ruck, Richmond must blanket Rigoni, who will receive the majority of hit outs. If Rigoni is under pressure then Woewoden and Leoncelli won't get easy possessions.
Richmond should consider playing two defensive players in the centre square - King on Rigoni, and another (maybe Torney or Hilton) on Woewoden. If White is winning and the Demons are getting first possession, there is absolutely no point in having both Knights and Campbell at the same time in at the centre bounce.
The key period is the first 10 minutes of the game, when Melbourne's pace advantage is most obvious. After that Richmond's height will come into play more - as they say - quick players get slower but tall players don't get any shorter.
Melbourne's forward line looks incapable of kicking a big score, especially if Neitz has to play back to cover Richmond's tall forwards in Richardson, Gale, and possibly Holland. Melbourne's midfield will have to kick half of their team's score for the Demons to win.
If Richmond is unable to contain the Melbourne on-ballers, the Demons will win comfortably, but if they make it a decent contest in the middle Richmond will win.
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