Media SFA Ladder Predictor

[MWPP]

CHAOS LADDER

This is how the ladder looks if every remaining result is flipped against the above Squiggle predictions- essentially a full alternate universe where every projected winner loses instead. In other words: a chaos ladder. Given how compressed the ladder still is, it doesn’t actually take many upsets to completely reshape the season. A couple of unexpected results could swing home finals, percentage positions, elimination matchups, or even the minor premiership itself. The gap between “contender” and “scrambling to survive” is still remarkably thin.

 

[MWPP]

UPDATED LADDER PREDICTOR

Using the current ladder predictor, with the squiggle projections used as the underlying tips, produces a relatively stable-looking top end. The Dragons are projected to finish minor premiers at 11-3, while the Wonders, Hawks and Bears all land on 10 wins. The Gumbies and Warriors are forecast to round out the top six, although the middle pack remains volatile enough that a single upset could still reshuffle several finishing positions.

As always, this is more for fun than certainty, but it provides an interesting snapshot of how the final week could unfold if current form lines broadly hold. Feel free to download it, plug in your own tips and margins, and see how different permutations reshape the final ladder.

 

[MWPP]

UPDATED CHAOS LADDER PREDICTOR

For comparison, this is what the ladder looks like if every remaining result is flipped from the original squiggle projection resulting in a full “chaos ladder” built entirely on upsets. The top end compresses dramatically, the finals race becomes almost completely unstable, and several sides that looked structurally safe suddenly become vulnerable. It’s does highlight how little margin for error still exists with only a handful of games remaining. One upset might not break the ladder- but a chaotic week like the weekend just gone absolutely could.