Team Power Rankings

[Eth]

Or some other nifty title that has a good ring to it.

Anyway, something I've been thinking about doing and something that I haven't seen implemented as of yet is a team rankings system, that's able to judge how a team performs over the entirety of their span in the Sweet FA through a points system which I'm working on, but will likely be based on each team having a set starting figure and utilising something like this to adjust their points up and down based on form.

Though we know this game to be truly random it might be cool to see how this works, so I'll kick off this thread so that I've got my own little sandbox where I can do whatever - and of course, discuss it with whoever wants to discuss anything.

 

[Eth]

CLUBS
(updated to end of Season 6)

SEVENTH WONDERS (S1-S6)
Games: 124 (68-2-54, 101.1%)
Average score: 1549
Max score: 1722 (S2R6, vs. Mount Buller Demons)

TITANS (S1-S6)
Games: 121 (60-1-60, 101.5%)
Average score: 1568
Max score: 1787 (S2R13, vs. Pagan Ducks)

MOUNT BULLER DEMONS (S1-S6)
Games: 118 (64-0-54, 104.5%)
Average score: 1631
Max score: 1903 (S3R2, vs. Fremantle Dockers)

FIGHTING FURIES (S3-S6)
Games: 93 (46-2-45, 99.9%)
Average score: 1527
Max score: 1857 (S6R4, vs. Dragons FC)

(no graph)


ROYS FFC (S3-S6)
Games: 93 (46-2-45, 99.9%)
Average score: 1561
Max score: 1860 (S5R4, vs. BigFooty Bombers)

(no graph)


RAZORS (S2-S5)
Games: 81 (37-0-44, 97.9%)
Average score: 1486
Max score: 1729 (S3R2, vs. Hurricanes)

(no graph)


ALBERTON SWAMPRATS (S4-S6)
Games: 77 (43-1-33, 103.3%)
Average score: 1556
Max score: 1759 (S6GF, vs. Las Vegas Bears)

(no graph)


BAGHDAD BOMBERS (S4-S6)
Games: 74 (34-1-39, 95%)
Average score: 1465
Max score: 1814 (S4QF, vs. Seventh Wonders)

(no graph)

GEELONG GUMBIES (S4-S6)
Games: 70 (33-0-37, 98.5%)
Average score: 1525
Max score: 1812 (S5R16, vs. Las Vegas Bears)

(no graph)

FREMANTLE DOCKERS (S4-S5)
Games: 48 (22-0-26, 94.8%)
Average score: 1436
Max score: 1766 (S5R21, vs. Geelong Gumbies)

(no graph)

DRAGONS FC (S5-S6)
Games: 46 (26-0-20, 102.6%)
Average score: 1576
Max score: 1737 (S5R7, vs. Roys FFC)

(no graph)

WEST COAST MAGIC (S3-S4)
Games: 46 (20-0-26, 92.9%)
Average score: 1543
Max score: 1821 (S3GF, vs. Mount Buller Demons)

(no graph)

JUNKYARD DOGS (S1-S4)
Games: 69 (23-1-45, 93.2%)
Average score: 1424
Max score: 1655 (S3R7, vs. Titans)

(no graph)

HURRICANES (S2-S3)
Games: 38 (24-2-12, 100%)
Average score: 1627
Max score: 1825 (S3R18, vs. Junkyard Dogs)

(no graph)

BIGFOOTY DRAGONS (S1-S2)
Games: 28 (13-1-14, 101.9%)
Average score: 1481
Max score: 1607 (S1R13, vs. Team Timmy)

(no graph)

BLUES BROTHERS (S4)
Games: 27 (17-0-10, 110.2%)
Average score: 1689
Max score: 1808 (S4R20, vs. West Coast Magic)

EAST SIDE HAWKS (S6)
Games: 23 (11-0-12, 102.6%)
Average score: 1533
Max score: 1718 (S6R17, vs. Seventh Wonders

(no graph)

KOALAS (S6)
Games: 23 (10-0-13, 104.4%)
Average score: 1540
Max score: 1697 (S6R19, vs. Titans)

TEAM TIMMY (S1)
Games: 12 (6-0-6, 93.1%)
Average score: 1484
Max score: 1610 (S1R2, vs. Pagan Ducks)

DINGOES (S1)
Games: 12 (3-0-9, 83.1%)
Average score: 1381
Max score: 1456 (S1R9, vs. Team Kournikova)

 

[Eth]

Season 1

Team              Start  End  Change  Pos  H+A
TEAM KOURNIKOVA   1500  1720  +220    2nd  1st
SEVENTH WONDERS   1500  1696  +196    1st  4th
BIGFOOTY DRAGONS  1500  1504  +4      3rd  2nd
TEAM PUMP         1500  1425  -75     4th  3rd
PAGAN DUCKS       1500  1411  -89     ---  6th
TEAM TIMMY        1500  1387  -113    ---  5th
DINGOES           1500  1351  -149    ---  7th

Slight tweak of the formula and now there's some more consistent and logical results and points changes.

It's worth noting that Team Pump were fourth on 1490 points prior to the finals series - a 42-point loss at home to the Wonders (1539) caused a fair drop.

Season 2

Team              Start  End  Change  Pos  H+A
TITANS            1720  1693  -27     4th  3rd
RAZORS            1500  1646  +146    3rd  4th
SEVENTH WONDERS   1696  1629  -67     2nd  1st
HURRICANES        1500  1597  +76     1st  2nd
BIGFOOTY DRAGONS  1504  1503  -1      ---  7th
TEAM PUMP         1425  1465  +40     ---  5rd
DARKNESS ETERNAL  1500  1398  -102    ---  6th
PAGAN DUCKS       1411  1335  -76     ---  8th

Interesting game that I first saw was the second-last final between the Wonders (1625) and Razors (1643). The Wonders were ranked lower and won but lost one point. That's a sneaky little home ground advantage in the formula giving extra kudos to the Razors for coming so close at a tougher venue (this isn't represented in the sim, rather added for realism). Though it's probably a tad harsh on the Wonders, it does cancel itself out in the long run...probably.

Season 3

Team              Start  End  Change  Pos  H+A
WEST COAST MAGIC  1500  1821  +321    1st  3rd
MT BULLER DEMONS  1465  1795  +330    2nd  1st
HURRICANES        1597  1743  +146    3rd  2nd
TITANS            1693  1683  -10     4th  4th
DARKNESS ETERNAL  1434  1510  +76     ---  6th
SEVENTH WONDERS   1629  1447  -182    ---  9th
ROYS FFC          1500  1437  -63     ---  7th
JUNKYARD DOGS     1500  1384  +13     5th  5th
FIGHTING FURIES   1500  1365  -135    ---  10th
RAZORS            1646  1347  -299    ---  8th

The Dogs in eighth is the most interesting, but there's more 60-point drops from losses to teams like the Wonders and Magic (who were 1589 at Round 13, and surged through the finals) versus 20-point gains.

The Demons reached the highest score seen yet, with 1872 at the conclusion of round 15. They then lost 33 points off a 15-point home win over the Wonders...they were dwelling down the 1300-mark prior to that, so on form the victory should've been greater.

Season 4

Team               Start End   Change  Pos  H+A
MT BULLER DEMONS   1795  1804  +9      4th  3rd
ROYS FFC           1437  1764  +327    1st  5th
BIGFOOTY BOMBERS   1500  1732  +232    2nd  1st
BLUES BROTHERS     1500  1699  +199    3rd  2nd
SEVENTH WONDERS    1447  1556  +109    5th  4th
FIGHTING FURIES    1365  1528  +163    ---  9th
ALBERTON SWAMPRATS 1500  1526  +26     7th  6th
FREMANTLE DOCKERS  1500  1412  -88     ---  10th
TITANS             1683  1396  -287    6th  7th
RAZORS             1347  1391  +44     8th  8th
JUNKYARD DOGS      1384  1359  -25     ---  12th
GEELONG GUMBIES    1500  1319  -181    ---  11th
WEST COAST MAGIC   1821  1225  -596    ---  13th

Yes, West Coast dropped 596 points. Here's their end-of-round scores over the season:

Season 5

Team               Start End   Change  Pos  H+A
FIGHTING FURIES    1528  1732  +204    1st  6th
MT BULLER DEMONS   1804  1728  -76     7th  7th
DRAGONS FC         1500  1684  +184    4th  1st
ALBERTON SWAMPRATS 1526  1614  +88     2nd  8th
ROYS FFC           1764  1583  -181    ---  10th
RAZORS             1391  1559  +168    ---  9th
FREMANTLE DOCKERS  1412  1556  +144    5th  3rd
GEELONG GUMBIES    1319  1549  +230    3rd  2nd
SEVENTH WONDERS    1556  1482  -74     5th  5th
TITANS             1396  1443  +47     6th  4th 
LAS VEGAS BEARS    1500  1365  -135    ---  11th
BIGFOOTY BOMBERS   1732  1114  -618    ---  12th

BigFooty Bombers go 3-19 and West Coast's record drop of 596 points doesn't last very long at all. Here's their season:

It's also interesting to note three sides - Demons, Roys, Razors - finishing quite highly in the rankings. The Demons went 11-11 but finished with the fourth-highest percentage in the competition, and as this is a margin-based calculation it sits in their favour, as does a strong starting score. The Roys are similar, finishing 10-12 and with a percentage of 100.34%, and even the second-biggest drop saw their starting score of 1764 only leave them in fifth on the rankings.

The Razors are an interesting case. Finishing 11-11 with an okay percentage would suggest minimal change. I think it's a combination of 'good' losses against decent sides (see a one-point loss to the Wonders (1550) in round three, giving a 28-point rise) as well as timing themselves, winning four of their last five to jump 131 points.

 

[Eth]

Quiet bump.

I've updated all the points up to the Season 16 Grand Final - finally - and I'll chip away at posting them all up soon. The cricket being halted helps...