TheMcGrathMans Tracker

[TheMcGrathMan]

Just starting this so it's easier to keep track of the actual bets. No quest for $1000 though!

From Rnd 1 thread

Sportsbet:
5U Fremantle @ $1.57 (hoping at the minimum to take advantage of "leading at any break but lose get your $$$ back" promo)
0.2U Michael Walters FGS @ $11
0.1U Steele Sidebottom FGS @ $21
0.2U Chris Mayne FGS @ $15

Bet365:
1U Beams > Fyfe DT @ $1.60
1U Sidebottom > Ball DT @ $1.65
0.5U Fremantle/Fremantle @ $2.00
0.5U Fremantle 21+ @ $2.50

Don't usually bet with these type of bets (e.g. go big first round, or on FGS) but thought it's the first game back, why not!

Round:
1U Fremantle/Sydney/Richmond @ $2.41 (10% bonus Sportsbet promo)

Tomorrow I have the Sydney/Richmond legs of my 1U multi, 2U Richmond/GC U179.5 & Richmond $20 @ $1.53 W ($20 challenge) (all Sportsbet)

 

[TheMcGrathMan]

So Round 1: Week 1 summarised

5U Fremantle @ $1.57
0.2U Michael Walters FGS @ $11
0.1U Steele Sidebottom FGS @ $21
0.2U Chris Mayne FGS @ $15

1U Beams > Fyfe DT @ $1.60
1U Sidebottom > Ball DT @ $1.65
0.5U Fremantle/Fremantle @ $2.00
0.5U Fremantle 21+ @ $2.50

1U Fremantle/Sydney/Richmond @ $2.41 (10% bonus Sportsbet promo)

2U Richmond/GC U179.5

AFL SC:
1.5U Cotchin > Deledio @ $1.80

AFL DT:
1U Ellis > Conca, Vlastuin, Swallow, Harbrow, Riewoldt, Dixon, Martin @ $3.50

Will do U's, W-L record tomorrow night.

 

[TheMcGrathMan]

Hmmm...

5U Port @ $2.35 Sportsbet promo

A risk here, but I think Port are the fitter team and have more tricks in their midfield. Rumours about Gibbs and Hendo, so even if they play I doubt their four quarters, Curnow/Bell/McLean/Robinson/Ellard aren't going to stand up to Boak/Cornes/Ebert/Wines I think. Murphy and Thomas are quality but I don't rate their support. Lobbe better around ground than Warnock. Hartlett and Walker will be the two danger players for either side.

I hope like hell Port have fixed their shithouse first quarters otherwise it will be a nervous game.

 

[TheMcGrathMan]

5U Fremantle @ $1.57 Win
0.2U Michael Walters FGS @ $11 Lose
0.1U Steele Sidebottom FGS @ $21 Lose
0.2U Chris Mayne FGS @ $15 Lose

1U Beams > Fyfe DT @ $1.60 Win
1U Sidebottom > Ball DT @ $1.65 Lose
0.5U Fremantle/Fremantle @ $2.00 Win
0.5U Fremantle 21+ @ $2.50 Win

1U Fremantle/Sydney/Richmond @ $2.41 (10% bonus Sportsbet promo) Lose

2U Richmond/GC U179.5 @ $1.88 Win

AFL SC:
1.5U Cotchin > Deledio @ $1.80 Lose

AFL DT:
1U Ellis > Conca, Vlastuin, Swallow, Harbrow, Riewoldt, Dixon, Martin @ $3.50 Lose

5U Port @ $2.35 Sportsbet promo Win

So in the end, difference was the two Sportsbet promo bets that I'm going to lose eventually if I keep up with them. Can't be risking 5U often, no matter the promo. Lucky this week, think I'll look to margins and lines as the season progresses to try find some value without risking so much each time. FGS bets were just for a laugh as well, might just chunk 0.5U on occasional games to add some interest/find some value

Weekly:
6-7-0
+8.21U

YTD:
6-7-0
+8.21U

 

[TheMcGrathMan]

1.5U Adelaide +20.5 @ $1.92

1U Harry Taylor > Corey Enright SC @ $1.90

1.5U North Melbourne W @ $1.64 (Sportsbet offer lead at end of any quarter and lose get your money back)

 

[TheMcGrathMan]

.74U StK/StK/StK/StK @ $4.20

2U Melbourne @ $1.67 (Sportsbet money back offer - lead at any quarter and lose and get your money back)

 

[TheMcGrathMan]

Not a great round last week. Ended up approx 2U down (+6.3 for year) after recovering with Eagles 40+ but I didn't post it before the fact so left it out.

All with Sportsbet
1U Blues H2H @ $2.60
1.5U Hawks H2H @ $1.42
1U Saints H2H @ $2.00 (this is a go against the public bet - everyone jumping on GWS but Davis, Palmer out, Montagna/Hayes in, at Etihad, Riewoldt...Saints are a good tip here and the only thing stopping from me putting more on is the fact that both GWS & Saints are in my bottom 4 for 2014).

.25U Ellard FGS Carlton @ $12
.25U Deledio FGS @ $23

 

[TheMcGrathMan]

1U WC 40+/North 40+ @ $5.08