Triple J Hottest 100 2025 (Plus 200-101 and 2005 Throwback)

[RedmanWasHere]

Start your engines.

We'll be driving in December on our way to the next hottest 100.

Who's in pole position here?

How many spots will be used by those on TikTok?

We ready to launch the chatter.

 

[JT_the_Man]

Always hard to say until mid November. Need to see which tracks stick around.

 

[Perko16]

Can see the top 20ish looking something like this:



1. Olivia Dean - Man I Need

2. Keli Holiday - Dancing2

3. Tame Impala - Dracula


Dom Dolla - Dreaming

Spacey Jane - Whateverrrr

Raye - WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!

Playlunch - Keith

Sombr - back to friends

Ninajarachi - iPod touch

10. Fred again.. - Victory Lap


Chappell Roan - The Subway

Olivia Dean - Nice too each other

doechii - Anxiety

Addison Rae - Fame is a Gun

Tate McRae - Sports Car

Sombr - 12:12

Ball Park Music - Please Don’t Move To Melbourne

Disco Lines & Tinashe - No Broke Boys

Lorde - What was that

Sombr - Undressed

Pink Pantheress - Illegal

Olivia Dean - So Easy (To Fall In Love)



♾

 

[RedmanWasHere]

Infohazard would surely get in.


Perhaps Britney in ‘03 or whatever the Confidence Man song is that Jade Thirlwall collaborated on.

 

[JT_the_Man]

Voting is open.

 

[Loonerty]

Working through my final 25 songs to cull now. I know a few of them aren't on the shortlist though...

 

[JT_the_Man]

I probably should've just done it quickly, cause I got a 10 I was pretty happy with then looked at the voting list again and now have problems cutting.

 

[RedmanWasHere]

As usual, I'm gonna listen to almost all of the samples and make a long shortlist then cut it down further.

The usual suspects like Kanye, Kendrick and similar rap types I avoid.

 

[thewitness]

I built a prediction model to try and get a rough idea of H100 that updated as the year went on.
This is how it turned out (purely from numbers with no of my own opinions inputted).

Spoiler: Witness' Hottest 100/200 prediction

1​	Dracula	Tame Impala
2​	Man I Need	Olivia Dean
3​	No Broke Boys	Disco Lines & Tinashe
4​	undressed	sombr
5​	Dancing2	Keli Holiday
6​	WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!	RAYE
7​	Dreamin [Ft. Daya]	Dom Dolla
8​	So Easy (To Fall In Love)	Olivia Dean
9​	A COLD PLAY	The Kid LAROI
10​	Car	Royel Otis
11​	12 to 12	sombr
12​	Loser	Tame Impala
13​	Tit For Tat	Tate McRae
14​	Whateverrrr	Spacey Jane
15​	All I Really Want	Yes Boone
16​	Love Balloon	Ocean Alley
17​	HOW DOES IT FEEL?	The Kid LAROI
18​	All The Noise	Spacey Jane
19​	How to Kill Houseplants	Spacey Jane
20​	Sports car	Tate McRae
21​	Think About Us	Sonny Fodera, D.O.D & Poppy Baskcomb
22​	moody	Royel Otis
23​	Revolving Door	Tate McRae
24​	Blackberries	FISHER & bbyclose
25​	The Subway	Chappell Roan
26​	Disco Cowgirl	G Flip
27​	BMF	SZA
28​	Half the Laugh	Ruby Fields
29​	Drenched	Ocean Alley
30​	RUNNING LOW [Ft. Pardyalone]	Baker Boy
31​	Jealous Type	Doja Cat
32​	What Was That	Lorde
33​	Another World	The Belair Lip Bombs
34​	you're a star	Fred again.. & Amyl And The Sniffers
35​	92 Purebred	Ruby Fields
36​	[REDACTED]	MAY-A
37​	I Can Die Now	Ruel
38​	Through My Teeth	Spacey Jane
39​	Everybody Scream	Florence + the Machine
40​	Nice To Each Other	Olivia Dean
41​	Easy	JACOTÉNE
42​	Hey You	The Belair Lip Bombs
43​	Delete	Ninajirachi
44​	Melodramatic Fanatic	Lime Cordiale & Ruel
45​	Girlfriend	Darcie Haven
46​	SOS	George Alice
47​	Victory Lap	Fred again.., Skepta & PlaqueBoyMax
48​	Sideways	Balu Brigada
49​	The Right	DJ Seinfeld & Confidence Man
50​	All I Am	Ninajirachi
51​	Born Again [Ft. Doja Cat & RAYE]	Lisa
52​	Left Of The Dealer	Ocean Alley
53​	BALCONY	Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers
54​	Is It Real [Ft. Ravyn Lenae]	Flume & JPEGMAFIA
55​	MOTION SICKNESS	Nerve
56​	I wish I knew how to quit you	sombr
57​	He Said No	Meg Mac
58​	Backseat	Balu Brigada
59​	The Hit	aleksiah
60​	In Another Life	G Flip
61​	Maybe It All Works Out In The End	Mariae Cassandra
62​	Tonight's Entertainment	The Rions
63​	Shut You Out	The Rions
64​	PIRATE RADIO	Genesis Owusu
65​	Sweet n' Low	Peach PRC
66​	Shapeshifter	Lorde
67​	One Thing	Lola Young
68​	Be That to You	Mel Blue
69​	Sugar On My Tongue	Tyler, The Creator
70​	Chasing Hearts	Dice
71​	WONDERFUL	Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers
72​	Monsoon	Emma Louise & Flume
73​	Our Greats	3%​
74​	Geezer	Kevin Abstract & Dominic Fike
75​	Worth My Time	Tyne-James Organ
76​	SUNLIGHT	Gordon's Grandson
77​	Hideaway	Mallrat
78​	Now or Never	Tkandz & CXSPER
79​	Lose Yourself Again	Mansionair
80​	Cool Star	Cat & Calmell
81​	The Way I Love You	Jorja Smith
82​	Only Love	Mia Wray
83​	Employee	Ama
84​	Illegal	PinkPantheress
85​	Hold My Hand	The Jungle Giants
86​	Press Pause	Kita Alexander
87​	Burn It Down	Matt Corby
88​	off the rails	BENEE
89​	Stay Free	The Terrys
90​	Anxiety	Doechii
91​	Stay	Fisher
92​	Wild Guess	Ruel
93​	Movie Scene	grentperez
94​	d£aler	Lola Young
95​	Best I've Found	Yes Boone
96​	Sweet And Slow	Teenage Joans
97​	Ring Ring Ring	Tyler, The Creator
98​	Everyone Will See It	Old Mervs
99​	Afterlife	Alex G
100​	The Giver	Chappell Roan
101​	Racer	Blusher
102​	Running On Empty	The Tullamarines
103​	All Over Me	HAIM
104​	Fame Is a Gun	Addison Rae
105​	Hide It Away	Wallows
106​	Arc de Triomphe	Aminé
107​	Relationships	HAIM
108​	In Love With A Memory [Ft. Clairo]	SASAMI
109​	Easy Goodbye	Emma Louise & Flume
110​	we never dated	sombr
111​	Yougotmefeeling	Parcels
112​	All Hat No Cattle	Hockey Dad
113​	Don't Go	Old Mervs
114​	nobody (make me feel)	oskar med k & Khalid
115​	Miss Erotica	Peach PRC
116​	Big Thoughts	Wafia
117​	Nokia	Drake
118​	All In	Sycco
119​	Meet Your Maker	DEVAURA
120​	It Gets Better	Kettama
121​	Red Lights	Beddy Rays
122​	Blame It On Me	Larissa Lambert
123​	Cinnamon	BENEE
124​	iPod Touch	Ninajirachi
125​	Second Best	The Last Dinner Party
126​	Divine Feelings	Vance Joy
127​	Feel The Friction	Sam Alfred
128​	Burner Account	Darcie Haven
129​	Crush [Ft. Jorja Smith]	AJ Tracey
130​	Big Shot	Fool Nelson
131​	Die Happy	Holly Humberstone
132​	Dandelion	grentperez
133​	CHANEL	Tyla
134​	Sally, When The Wine Runs Out	ROLE MODEL
135​	Back To Friends	sombr
136​	White Keys	Dominic Fike
137​	Chemistry	Gigi Perez
138​	Alter Ego	Dice
139​	Pavement	Mallrat
140​	Pixelated Kisses	Joji
141​	Peacekeeper	Baker Boy
142​	Angel of Mine	tobiahs
143​	Estimated Delivery	Spacey Jane
144​	million times	Esha Tewari
145​	Infohazard	Ninajirachi
146​	Drifting Away	IsGwan & thndo
147​	Who's Dat!	Drizzz
148​	Post Sex Clarity	Lola Young
149​	Man of the Year	Lorde
150​	I Could Love U	Logan Priest
151​	Please Don't Move To Melbourne	Ball Park Music
152​	THE RECAP (Bootleg Version) [Ft. Mozey]	Kneecap
153​	**** My Computer	Ninajirachi
154​	Nice Shoes	Steve Lacy
155​	Addison Road	Egoism
156​	Tonight	PinkPantheress
157​	FUN!	Kučka
158​	Romeo	PinkPantheress
159​	catch these fists	Wet Leg
160​	DEATH CULT ZOMBIE	Genesis Owusu
161​	Bleed [Ft. Omar Apollo]	Malcolm Todd
162​	Kiss Me Like You're Leaving	Jem Cassar-Daley
163​	Headphones On	Addison Rae
164​	MOLLY	Ecca Vandal
165​	Great Pretender	Dominic Fike
166​	Stronger	JACOTÉNE
167​	Raving In The Studio	Aitch & Bou
168​	Doomsday	Darcie Haven
169​	Where You Need To Be	Skin On Skin
170​	In My Head	Chris Lake & Amber Mark
171​	Stateside	PinkPantheress
172​	It's Amazing to Be Young	Fontaines D.C.
173​	Lucky Dimes	The Temper Trap
174​	Arm's Length	Sam Fender
175​	Am I? (Tell Me)	Zafty
176​	Backstreets	Miss Kaninna
177​	Lil' Obsession	BOY SODA
178​	5 Dollar Pony Rides	Mac Miller
179​	Centrelink Summer	Suzi
180​	End of Summer	Tame Impala
181​	LCA	The Dare
182​	Princess	BENEE
183​	Raindance [Ft. Tems]	Dave
184​	Ecstasy	Keli Holiday
185​	Bloom Baby Bloom	Wolf Alice
186​	Back Of My Hand	The Belair Lip Bombs
187​	FACEDOWN	Chase Atlantic
188​	WRK	JID
189​	Cry For Me	The Weeknd
190​	LV Bag [Ft. j-hope & Pharrell Williams]	Don Toliver & Speedy
191​	Glum	Hayley Williams
192​	Maroubra Villain [Ft. Hellcat Speedracer]	Kobie Dee
193​	This Is the Killer Speaking	The Last Dinner Party
194​	Lovesick Lullaby	YUNGBLUD
195​	Distant Strangers [Ft. The Kid LAROI & Imogen Heap]	ONEFOUR
196​	Nobody's Girl	Tate McRae
197​	Hurts Anymore	Larissa Lambert
198​	Maybe I'm Just a Freak	The Rions
199​	Make a Move	Lyric
200​	Thirst Trap	Audrey Hobert

​

​

 

[thewitness]

My votes:
Teenage Dads - Fire Fire
Mia Wray - Only Love
Turnstile - BIRDS
JACOTENE - Why'd You Do That?
Old Mervs - Don't Go
Skegss - So Excited
1300 - BANGALANG
Genesis Owusu - PIRATE RADIO
Tame Impala - Dracula
BENEE - Cinnamon

 

[Loonerty]

 

[JT_the_Man]

I built a prediction model to try and get a rough idea of H100 that updated as the year went on.
This is how it turned out (purely from numbers with no of my own opinions inputted).

Spoiler: Witness' Hottest 100/200 prediction

Position	Track	Artist
1​	Man I Need	Olivia Dean
2​	undressed	sombr
3​	No Broke Boys	Disco Lines & Tinashe
4​	Dreamin [Ft. Daya]	Dom Dolla
5​	Dracula	Tame Impala
6​	Dancing2	Keli Holiday
7​	Car	Royel Otis
8​	A COLD PLAY	The Kid LAROI
9​	WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!	RAYE
10​	So Easy (To Fall In Love)	Olivia Dean
11​	12 to 12	sombr
12​	Loser	Tame Impala
13​	Tit For Tat	Tate McRae
14​	Whateverrrr	Spacey Jane
15​	HOW DOES IT FEEL?	The Kid LAROI
16​	All The Noise	Spacey Jane
17​	All I Really Want	Yes Boone
18​	How to Kill Houseplants	Spacey Jane
19​	Love Balloon	Ocean Alley
20​	Sports car	Tate McRae
21​	Revolving Door	Tate McRae
22​	The Subway	Chappell Roan
23​	moody	Royel Otis
24​	Disco Cowgirl	G Flip
25​	BMF	SZA
26​	Half the Laugh	Ruby Fields
27​	Blackberries	FISHER & bbyclose
28​	Drenched	Ocean Alley
29​	Jealous Type	Doja Cat
30​	RUNNING LOW [Ft. Pardyalone]	Baker Boy
31​	What Was That	Lorde
32​	you're a star	Fred again.. & Amyl And The Sniffers
33​	92 Purebred	Ruby Fields
34​	[REDACTED]	MAY-A
35​	I Can Die Now	Ruel
36​	Through My Teeth	Spacey Jane
37​	Everybody Scream	Florence + the Machine
38​	Easy	JACOTÉNE
39​	Hey You	The Belair Lip Bombs
40​	Delete	Ninajirachi
41​	Nice To Each Other	Olivia Dean
42​	Melodramatic Fanatic	Lime Cordiale & Ruel
43​	Girlfriend	Darcie Haven
44​	SOS	George Alice
45​	Victory Lap	Fred again.., Skepta & PlaqueBoyMax
46​	Sideways	Balu Brigada
47​	The Right	DJ Seinfeld & Confidence Man
48​	Born Again [Ft. Doja Cat & RAYE]	Lisa
49​	BALCONY	Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers
50​	Left Of The Dealer	Ocean Alley
51​	Is It Real [Ft. Ravyn Lenae]	Flume & JPEGMAFIA
52​	MOTION SICKNESS	Nerve
53​	I wish I knew how to quit you	sombr
54​	He Said No	Meg Mac
55​	All I Am	Ninajirachi
56​	Backseat	Balu Brigada
57​	The Hit	aleksiah
58​	In Another Life	G Flip
59​	Maybe It All Works Out In The End	Mariae Cassandra
60​	Tonight's Entertainment	The Rions
61​	Shut You Out	The Rions
62​	PIRATE RADIO	Genesis Owusu
63​	Sweet n' Low	Peach PRC
64​	Shapeshifter	Lorde
65​	One Thing	Lola Young
66​	Be That to You	Mel Blue
67​	Sugar On My Tongue	Tyler, The Creator
68​	Chasing Hearts	Dice
69​	Monsoon	Emma Louise & Flume
70​	Our Greats	3%​
71​	Geezer	Kevin Abstract & Dominic Fike
72​	Worth My Time	Tyne-James Organ
73​	SUNLIGHT	Gordon's Grandson
74​	Hideaway	Mallrat
75​	Lose Yourself Again	Mansionair
76​	Cool Star	Cat & Calmell
77​	The Way I Love You	Jorja Smith
78​	Only Love	Mia Wray
79​	Employee	Ama
80​	Illegal	PinkPantheress
81​	Hold My Hand	The Jungle Giants
82​	Press Pause	Kita Alexander
83​	off the rails	BENEE
84​	Stay Free	The Terrys
85​	Anxiety	Doechii
86​	Wild Guess	Ruel
87​	Movie Scene	grentperez
88​	d£aler	Lola Young
89​	Sweet And Slow	Teenage Joans
90​	Ring Ring Ring	Tyler, The Creator
91​	Everyone Will See It	Old Mervs
92​	Afterlife	Alex G
93​	The Giver	Chappell Roan
94​	Stay	Fisher
95​	Racer	Blusher
96​	Running On Empty	The Tullamarines
97​	All Over Me	HAIM
98​	Fame Is a Gun	Addison Rae
99​	Hide It Away	Wallows
100​	Arc de Triomphe	Aminé
101​	Relationships	HAIM
102​	In Love With A Memory [Ft. Clairo]	SASAMI
103​	Easy Goodbye	Emma Louise & Flume
104​	we never dated	sombr
105​	All Hat No Cattle	Hockey Dad
106​	Don't Go	Old Mervs
107​	Yougotmefeeling	Parcels
108​	Now or Never	Tkandz & CXSPER
109​	Big Thoughts	Wafia
110​	Nokia	Drake
111​	All In	Sycco
112​	Meet Your Maker	DEVAURA
113​	It Gets Better	Kettama
114​	Red Lights	Beddy Rays
115​	Blame It On Me	Larissa Lambert
116​	Cinnamon	BENEE
117​	Second Best	The Last Dinner Party
118​	Feel The Friction	Sam Alfred
119​	Burner Account	Darcie Haven
120​	Crush [Ft. Jorja Smith]	AJ Tracey
121​	Burn It Down	Matt Corby
122​	Dandelion	grentperez
123​	Sally, When The Wine Runs Out	ROLE MODEL
124​	Back To Friends	sombr
125​	Chemistry	Gigi Perez
126​	Alter Ego	Dice
127​	Pavement	Mallrat
128​	Peacekeeper	Baker Boy
129​	Angel of Mine	tobiahs
130​	Pixelated Kisses	Joji
131​	Estimated Delivery	Spacey Jane
132​	million times	Esha Tewari
133​	Infohazard	Ninajirachi
134​	iPod Touch	Ninajirachi
135​	Drifting Away	IsGwan & thndo
136​	Who's Dat!	Drizzz
137​	Divine Feelings	Vance Joy
138​	Post Sex Clarity	Lola Young
139​	Man of the Year	Lorde
140​	I Could Love U	Logan Priest
141​	Please Don't Move To Melbourne	Ball Park Music
142​	THE RECAP (Bootleg Version) [Ft. Mozey]	Kneecap
143​	Nice Shoes	Steve Lacy
144​	Addison Road	Egoism
145​	Tonight	PinkPantheress
146​	FUN!	Kučka
147​	**** My Computer	Ninajirachi
148​	Romeo	PinkPantheress
149​	catch these fists	Wet Leg
150​	Bleed [Ft. Omar Apollo]	Malcolm Todd
151​	Kiss Me Like You're Leaving	Jem Cassar-Daley
152​	Headphones On	Addison Rae
153​	Think About Us	Sonny Fodera, D.O.D & Poppy Baskcomb
154​	Great Pretender	Dominic Fike
155​	Stronger	JACOTÉNE
156​	Raving In The Studio	Aitch & Bou
157​	Doomsday	Darcie Haven
158​	Where You Need To Be	Skin On Skin
159​	In My Head	Chris Lake & Amber Mark
160​	Stateside	PinkPantheress
161​	It's Amazing to Be Young	Fontaines D.C.
162​	Lucky Dimes	The Temper Trap
163​	Arm's Length	Sam Fender
164​	Am I? (Tell Me)	Zafty
165​	Lil' Obsession	BOY SODA
166​	5 Dollar Pony Rides	Mac Miller
167​	Centrelink Summer	Suzi
168​	LCA	The Dare
169​	DEATH CULT ZOMBIE	Genesis Owusu
170​	Bloom Baby Bloom	Wolf Alice
171​	Back Of My Hand	The Belair Lip Bombs
172​	FACEDOWN	Chase Atlantic
173​	WRK	JID
174​	Cry For Me	The Weeknd
175​	LV Bag [Ft. j-hope & Pharrell Williams]	Don Toliver & Speedy
176​	Glum	Hayley Williams
177​	This Is the Killer Speaking	The Last Dinner Party
178​	End of Summer	Tame Impala
179​	Lovesick Lullaby	YUNGBLUD
180​	Distant Strangers [Ft. The Kid LAROI & Imogen Heap]	ONEFOUR
181​	Hurts Anymore	Larissa Lambert
182​	Maybe I'm Just a Freak	The Rions
183​	Make a Move	Lyric
184​	Thirst Trap	Audrey Hobert
185​	Dollar Shop Souvenir	Hannah Brewer
186​	Pocket Rocket	Beddy Rays
187​	Silver Lining	Laufey
188​	Raindance [Ft. Tems]	Dave
189​	See You Again	Old Mervs
190​	Summerinlove	Parcels
191​	A Question Of You	Inhaler
192​	Darlin' [Ft. Sean Paul & Brodie]	Luude
193​	gossip	Confidence Man, JADE
194​	Milk & Honey	Tash Sultana
195​	Sue me	Audrey Hobert
196​	Why'd You Do That?	JACOTÉNE
197​	Coast Is Clear	Ball Park Music
198​	Stay In Your Lane	Courtney Barnett
199​	Romeo (Conan Gray)	Conan Gray
200​	Alter Ego (Evie Irie)	Evie Irie

I think it's done a pretty good job, that top 10 wouldn't be overly surprising to me. At the same time there are some obvious outliers that I imagine perform a lot better than the model predicts.

 

[Dancing Potato]

I built a prediction model to try and get a rough idea of H100 that updated as the year went on.
This is how it turned out (purely from numbers with no of my own opinions inputted).

Spoiler: Witness' Hottest 100/200 prediction

Position	Track	Artist
1​	Man I Need	Olivia Dean
2​	undressed	sombr
3​	No Broke Boys	Disco Lines & Tinashe
4​	Dreamin [Ft. Daya]	Dom Dolla
5​	Dracula	Tame Impala
6​	Dancing2	Keli Holiday
7​	Car	Royel Otis
8​	A COLD PLAY	The Kid LAROI
9​	WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!	RAYE
10​	So Easy (To Fall In Love)	Olivia Dean
11​	12 to 12	sombr
12​	Loser	Tame Impala
13​	Tit For Tat	Tate McRae
14​	Whateverrrr	Spacey Jane
15​	HOW DOES IT FEEL?	The Kid LAROI
16​	All The Noise	Spacey Jane
17​	All I Really Want	Yes Boone
18​	How to Kill Houseplants	Spacey Jane
19​	Love Balloon	Ocean Alley
20​	Sports car	Tate McRae
21​	Revolving Door	Tate McRae
22​	The Subway	Chappell Roan
23​	moody	Royel Otis
24​	Disco Cowgirl	G Flip
25​	BMF	SZA
26​	Half the Laugh	Ruby Fields
27​	Blackberries	FISHER & bbyclose
28​	Drenched	Ocean Alley
29​	Jealous Type	Doja Cat
30​	RUNNING LOW [Ft. Pardyalone]	Baker Boy
31​	What Was That	Lorde
32​	you're a star	Fred again.. & Amyl And The Sniffers
33​	92 Purebred	Ruby Fields
34​	[REDACTED]	MAY-A
35​	I Can Die Now	Ruel
36​	Through My Teeth	Spacey Jane
37​	Everybody Scream	Florence + the Machine
38​	Easy	JACOTÉNE
39​	Hey You	The Belair Lip Bombs
40​	Delete	Ninajirachi
41​	Nice To Each Other	Olivia Dean
42​	Melodramatic Fanatic	Lime Cordiale & Ruel
43​	Girlfriend	Darcie Haven
44​	SOS	George Alice
45​	Victory Lap	Fred again.., Skepta & PlaqueBoyMax
46​	Sideways	Balu Brigada
47​	The Right	DJ Seinfeld & Confidence Man
48​	Born Again [Ft. Doja Cat & RAYE]	Lisa
49​	BALCONY	Teen Jesus and the Jean Teasers
50​	Left Of The Dealer	Ocean Alley
51​	Is It Real [Ft. Ravyn Lenae]	Flume & JPEGMAFIA
52​	MOTION SICKNESS	Nerve
53​	I wish I knew how to quit you	sombr
54​	He Said No	Meg Mac
55​	All I Am	Ninajirachi
56​	Backseat	Balu Brigada
57​	The Hit	aleksiah
58​	In Another Life	G Flip
59​	Maybe It All Works Out In The End	Mariae Cassandra
60​	Tonight's Entertainment	The Rions
61​	Shut You Out	The Rions
62​	PIRATE RADIO	Genesis Owusu
63​	Sweet n' Low	Peach PRC
64​	Shapeshifter	Lorde
65​	One Thing	Lola Young
66​	Be That to You	Mel Blue
67​	Sugar On My Tongue	Tyler, The Creator
68​	Chasing Hearts	Dice
69​	Monsoon	Emma Louise & Flume
70​	Our Greats	3%​
71​	Geezer	Kevin Abstract & Dominic Fike
72​	Worth My Time	Tyne-James Organ
73​	SUNLIGHT	Gordon's Grandson
74​	Hideaway	Mallrat
75​	Lose Yourself Again	Mansionair
76​	Cool Star	Cat & Calmell
77​	The Way I Love You	Jorja Smith
78​	Only Love	Mia Wray
79​	Employee	Ama
80​	Illegal	PinkPantheress
81​	Hold My Hand	The Jungle Giants
82​	Press Pause	Kita Alexander
83​	off the rails	BENEE
84​	Stay Free	The Terrys
85​	Anxiety	Doechii
86​	Wild Guess	Ruel
87​	Movie Scene	grentperez
88​	d£aler	Lola Young
89​	Sweet And Slow	Teenage Joans
90​	Ring Ring Ring	Tyler, The Creator
91​	Everyone Will See It	Old Mervs
92​	Afterlife	Alex G
93​	The Giver	Chappell Roan
94​	Stay	Fisher
95​	Racer	Blusher
96​	Running On Empty	The Tullamarines
97​	All Over Me	HAIM
98​	Fame Is a Gun	Addison Rae
99​	Hide It Away	Wallows
100​	Arc de Triomphe	Aminé
101​	Relationships	HAIM
102​	In Love With A Memory [Ft. Clairo]	SASAMI
103​	Easy Goodbye	Emma Louise & Flume
104​	we never dated	sombr
105​	All Hat No Cattle	Hockey Dad
106​	Don't Go	Old Mervs
107​	Yougotmefeeling	Parcels
108​	Now or Never	Tkandz & CXSPER
109​	Big Thoughts	Wafia
110​	Nokia	Drake
111​	All In	Sycco
112​	Meet Your Maker	DEVAURA
113​	It Gets Better	Kettama
114​	Red Lights	Beddy Rays
115​	Blame It On Me	Larissa Lambert
116​	Cinnamon	BENEE
117​	Second Best	The Last Dinner Party
118​	Feel The Friction	Sam Alfred
119​	Burner Account	Darcie Haven
120​	Crush [Ft. Jorja Smith]	AJ Tracey
121​	Burn It Down	Matt Corby
122​	Dandelion	grentperez
123​	Sally, When The Wine Runs Out	ROLE MODEL
124​	Back To Friends	sombr
125​	Chemistry	Gigi Perez
126​	Alter Ego	Dice
127​	Pavement	Mallrat
128​	Peacekeeper	Baker Boy
129​	Angel of Mine	tobiahs
130​	Pixelated Kisses	Joji
131​	Estimated Delivery	Spacey Jane
132​	million times	Esha Tewari
133​	Infohazard	Ninajirachi
134​	iPod Touch	Ninajirachi
135​	Drifting Away	IsGwan & thndo
136​	Who's Dat!	Drizzz
137​	Divine Feelings	Vance Joy
138​	Post Sex Clarity	Lola Young
139​	Man of the Year	Lorde
140​	I Could Love U	Logan Priest
141​	Please Don't Move To Melbourne	Ball Park Music
142​	THE RECAP (Bootleg Version) [Ft. Mozey]	Kneecap
143​	Nice Shoes	Steve Lacy
144​	Addison Road	Egoism
145​	Tonight	PinkPantheress
146​	FUN!	Kučka
147​	**** My Computer	Ninajirachi
148​	Romeo	PinkPantheress
149​	catch these fists	Wet Leg
150​	Bleed [Ft. Omar Apollo]	Malcolm Todd
151​	Kiss Me Like You're Leaving	Jem Cassar-Daley
152​	Headphones On	Addison Rae
153​	Think About Us	Sonny Fodera, D.O.D & Poppy Baskcomb
154​	Great Pretender	Dominic Fike
155​	Stronger	JACOTÉNE
156​	Raving In The Studio	Aitch & Bou
157​	Doomsday	Darcie Haven
158​	Where You Need To Be	Skin On Skin
159​	In My Head	Chris Lake & Amber Mark
160​	Stateside	PinkPantheress
161​	It's Amazing to Be Young	Fontaines D.C.
162​	Lucky Dimes	The Temper Trap
163​	Arm's Length	Sam Fender
164​	Am I? (Tell Me)	Zafty
165​	Lil' Obsession	BOY SODA
166​	5 Dollar Pony Rides	Mac Miller
167​	Centrelink Summer	Suzi
168​	LCA	The Dare
169​	DEATH CULT ZOMBIE	Genesis Owusu
170​	Bloom Baby Bloom	Wolf Alice
171​	Back Of My Hand	The Belair Lip Bombs
172​	FACEDOWN	Chase Atlantic
173​	WRK	JID
174​	Cry For Me	The Weeknd
175​	LV Bag [Ft. j-hope & Pharrell Williams]	Don Toliver & Speedy
176​	Glum	Hayley Williams
177​	This Is the Killer Speaking	The Last Dinner Party
178​	End of Summer	Tame Impala
179​	Lovesick Lullaby	YUNGBLUD
180​	Distant Strangers [Ft. The Kid LAROI & Imogen Heap]	ONEFOUR
181​	Hurts Anymore	Larissa Lambert
182​	Maybe I'm Just a Freak	The Rions
183​	Make a Move	Lyric
184​	Thirst Trap	Audrey Hobert
185​	Dollar Shop Souvenir	Hannah Brewer
186​	Pocket Rocket	Beddy Rays
187​	Silver Lining	Laufey
188​	Raindance [Ft. Tems]	Dave
189​	See You Again	Old Mervs
190​	Summerinlove	Parcels
191​	A Question Of You	Inhaler
192​	Darlin' [Ft. Sean Paul & Brodie]	Luude
193​	gossip	Confidence Man, JADE
194​	Milk & Honey	Tash Sultana
195​	Sue me	Audrey Hobert
196​	Why'd You Do That?	JACOTÉNE
197​	Coast Is Clear	Ball Park Music
198​	Stay In Your Lane	Courtney Barnett
199​	Romeo (Conan Gray)	Conan Gray
200​	Alter Ego (Evie Irie)	Evie Irie

I think it's done a pretty good job, that top 10 wouldn't be overly surprising to me. At the same time there are some obvious outliers that I imagine perform a lot better than the model predicts.

Yeah, Ball Park Music is way off at 141.

They're probably a sneaky top 20 chance, and a top 50 lock at a minimum.

 

[thewitness]

Yeah, Ball Park Music is way off at 141.

They're probably a sneaky top 20 chance, and a top 50 lock at a minimum.

Yeah that one stands out as a significant outlier.

I know that there is a problem in my prediction with songs released before March and a separate problem with Australian songs released before September, but that said "Don't Move to Melb" actually didn't get a huge amount of airplay on Triple J.

 

[JT_the_Man]

No Warm Tunas this year sadly.

Sunsetting 100 Warm Tunas (for now) | 100 Warm Tunas

The internet’s most accurate predictions of triple j’s Hottest 100, updated daily

100warmtunas.com

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

Man I Need looks to be the early favourite which just seems odd to me.

It's a nice enough song with a good melody, but hardly the type of song the JJJ demographic would vote for given its more adult contemporary sound. It'd be somewhat similar to Adele winning the countdown back in 2011.

Still, there'd be worse winners, and I'd take it over Dancing2 for instance.

 

[DaRenegade]

yeah this year was pretty mid for music tbh, I am definitely way too old coz looking at thewitness list I don’t know half the top 20

would love for Beddys LAV to have a Dune Rats like surge from 2022 and think it’s highly possible as it’s a belter of a cover, think either Tame, Dom Dolla or Olivia Dean wins it

 

[Dancing Potato]

 

[screech]