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Game Day West Coast Eagles vs. Sydney Swans - Round 16

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Apologies for the late venue change, it was the best that I could do under the circumstances.

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So it is that we venture east in the hope of keeping our flag chances alive. Fortunately, things are finally starting to fall our way. Willie Rioli is back on the track and looks set for an enjoyable September watching the Top 4 teams battle it out for a flag. Mark Hutchings is in rampaging form in the WAFL, putting his hands up for an imminent recall. We have managed to have the game shifted from a bogey ground against a troubling opponent to…a bogey ground against a troubling opponent. We’ve escaped the clutches of an anti-Vax dictator to the safety of Victoria, and hopefully our travels will see us safely returning home to kick off the 2025 season against the Launceston Lampreys. Yes, my friends. Everything is finally coming up Simpson.



Key Match-Ups

West Coast vs. West Coast

What to make of these Jekyll and Hyde performers? While we were all excited to welcome back the big names last week, it quickly became apparent that their underdone natures didn’t help the cause. Or maybe the Dogs are just that good? We’ll know a bit more about these players after this weekend either way. Questions have been raised about their hunger in the shadow of 2018, and they will not get a better chance to prove the doubters wrong than this weekend.

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West Coast vs. Franklin
Franklin has played against West Coast 19 times in his career, for 13 wins and only 6 losses. Fair to say he’s played a fair part in that statistic, as well. Often, he has popped up with crucial goals or a timely bag to send us on our way. However, he has only played 3 times at GMHBA Stadium for a grand total of 3 goals. It is comfortably his worst regular venue statistically.

Not only this, but his stats against us are more mixed than you may think. His disposal average against us is his 2nd lowest overall, at just a shade under 14. He contributes few inside 50s, with his count of 51 the 4th lowest of any opponent. While we concede the 3rd most free kicks his way, at 27, he has conceded a total of 43 our way, the 4th highest count overall. His contested marking struggles against us, 3rd lowest overall at 23, while his marking inside 50 is a mediocre 7th lowest, with a career total of 53. His average goal tally of 2.94 goals against us is lower than his career average of 3.14.

Bodes well.

Or, he’s rested. And you can ignore all of the above.


West Coast vs. Demons of the Past
Fair to say we've been blessed in the ruck stonks in the past few decades. I mean, not since that one time I walked into my parents' room unannounced have I ever seen such depth in one position. One of the highlights of the game will no doubt see ex-third choice struggler Nic Naitanui finally make his mark on the competition against his old mentor Tom Hickey, and potentially Callum Sinclair if he wins a recall. If he keeps his spot over Nathan Vardy, that is.

In all seriousness, if Hickey can repeat his Eagle-Geelong heroics against us this week Naitanui will have a good fight on his hands. He just had those looks in his eyes that night.


West Coast vs. GMHBA Stadium
Not since the DK variety has this board been so afraid of the potential dangers of an Alphabet. The 15-year hoodoo continued earlier this year with the 97-point humiliation at the hands of the Cats, and that should surely be playing on the minds of the boys as they run out this week. The narrow ground will feel like a throwback to the Subiaco days, and I’m sure the boys will be relishing the chance to play against a non-Geelong side there. With one hoodoo already out of the way this year, surely, it’s time to add another to the pile against a non-home opponent.

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Final Thoughts/Tip
Hard one, this one. On the one hand, we look the better side on paper. On the other hand, we'll be hungry and ready to go after last week. Yeah, stuff it. :fire::fire:

West Coast def. West Coast/Franklin/GMHBA Stadium by 17
 
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Confident of winning this one. I was confident of nailing the doggies too.

let’s put that loss down to post bye blues
 
I'm tipping against us for the rest of the year :)
Same, every time I think they are back on track, they disappoint.

Going to finish the season with the knowledge that they cannot compete and watch the development of the youth. Anything is better than hope….
 
Need to win to scrape into the eight
We need 5 wins to guarantee the 8, 4 wins plus % will probably also do. We play the following bottom 10 teams:
Crows
North
Saints
Pies
Freo

That alone should get us into the 8. Getting a home final probably requires a couple more wins, so this game is important for that.

I'd say top 4 is gone unless we win the remaining games, which isn't realistic.
 
We need 5 wins to guarantee the 8, 4 wins plus % will probably also do. We play the following bottom 10 teams:
Crows
North
Saints
Pies
Freo

That alone should get us into the 8. Getting a home final probably requires a couple more wins, so this game is important for that.

I'd say top 4 is gone unless we win the remaining games, which isn't realistic.
Top 4 would require teams above us to fall away
 
Sorry everyone, I have my tickets for the game. The other two games I've been to this year were the first bulldogs game and the saints game. If they are any indication, we are set for a promising start followed by a mid game switch of and one way traffic against us in the 4th...
 

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Sorry everyone, I have my tickets for the game. The other two games I've been to this year were the first bulldogs game and the saints game. If they are any indication, we are set for a promising start followed by a mid game switch of and one way traffic against us in the 4th...
Bodes well.
 
We need 5 wins to guarantee the 8, 4 wins plus % will probably also do. We play the following bottom 10 teams:
Crows
North
Saints
Pies
Freo

That alone should get us into the 8. Getting a home final probably requires a couple more wins, so this game is important for that.

I'd say top 4 is gone unless we win the remaining games, which isn't realistic.

Man, I would love us to flat track every single one of those teams listed, but we're just not good enough any more :(

Average winning margin of 24 points with a "shock" loss thrown in for good measure.
 

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I just looked at the Sydney team. They are playing a bunch of kids with a few veterans on their last legs. Their defence is tiny - our talls should kill them

If we play to even 80% of our capacity we should win by 6 goals. That's the challenge though - over to you, Simmo.
 
I just looked at the Sydney team. They are playing a bunch of kids with a few veterans on their last legs. Their defence is tiny - our talls should kill them

If we play to even 80% of our capacity we should win by 6 goals. That's the challenge though - over to you, Simmo.


So what you're hinting, is that we'll go down by 30?
 
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