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what is the real? price change formula?

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J-Ro-20

All Australian
Mar 22, 2006
848
9
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
what is the REAL price change formula?

Does anyone know how to work out the changes in prices for the players in Dream Team?

I know there are heaps of formulas and Ive tried quite a few.
I think people just go with the theory near enough is good enough & Most of the theorys I wouldnt trust as far as I could throw this PC!

ps. please dont post up the formula (3660 x AV) - Old AV /3.363
I think its a near enough is good enough one...
 
the formula doesnt really matter so much in the whole scheme of things imo.

its nice to have, to get a rough projected B/E score. but really its not neccessary. u can pretty much tell what players prices will do just by looking at their last 3 weeks scores.

my formula works to around 1000-2000 $ , so thats good enough for me.
 
The "magic number" - 3660 you refer to changes every week based on how much each player who plays in the last round has scored in his last 3 games. Therefor, unless you can predict how many points all the players are going to score this week you won't know exactly what its going to be.
Last week was about 3531 so using that you can get estimate "break even" scores for players which is handy but is only a guide for what will happen next round.
When you trade a player you should be considering what their scoring potential is over the long term. Just because a player has a low break even score doesn't necessarily make him a good buy. Likewise a player with a high break even score is not necessarily a good sell.
 

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