Fixture Which club will miss finals?

[Saveloy Rockstar]

9 into 8 doesn't go... currently the Welfare are outside the 8 and need to win both their remaining games just to have a chance, but they do have a pretty good % and face Worst Coast



Mathematically, as of right now, any team from 3rd down could be the one to drop out

Not long ago a lot of pundits were tipping the Whorefs to miss but that seems less likely now

Fold Coast missing would be hilarious and trigger a massive Dimma meltdown but that would mean losing to Poorf and/or Essendone

I believe it may be Flogmantle, due to the extreme lack of care factor of one of their key players if not them, then the Throwdogs

 

[Footy Is Good]

Carlton

 

[V23]

I voted for LOLlingwood, for the simple fact OP is a plonker

 

[StackedHunch]

For all your spreadsheeting ability, you seem to struggle with maths and logic, OP.

Here's the situation:

• a potential logjam of teams on 60 points, from 4th position to ninth (Foldroy are already on 62 points, so they can't miss out).
• the swing match that would cause this to happen is Footiscray beating Failmantle (assuming the teams already on 60 all lose - GCS are already effectively on 60, as they're not losing to *).
• if the Doggies do win, Freo's bad percentage goes down further (percentages over 100 can't rise when you lose, just FYI).
• the only team that could drop below Freo in this scenario is GWS, who are currently 6.5% above them. So they'd need to lose over 100 points more than Freo lose.
• For any other team to lose, they'd need to lose by several hundred points.

If, however, Freo win, the Doggies are automatically shut out.

I hope this has been an enjoyable lesson from a layman who somehow understands maths better than the Bay's self-appointed rainman.

 

[Saveloy Rockstar]

Nice main bored #statsmelt, nerd

Welcome to the Bay, we troll flogs here

 

[StackedHunch]

Nice main bored #statsmelt, nerd

Welcome to the Bay, we troll flogs here

Says the guy who maintains spreadsheets to aid Bay arguments

 

[Saveloy Rockstar]

I do not nor did I claim to be a stats expert... that seems to be your domain #neeeerd

 

[Footy Is Good]

For all your spreadsheeting ability, you seem to struggle with maths and logic, OP.

Here's the situation:

• a potential logjam of teams on 60 points, from 4th position to ninth (Foldroy are already on 62 points, so they can't miss out).
• the swing match that would cause this to happen is Footiscray beating Failmantle (assuming the teams already on 60 all lose - GCS are already effectively on 60, as they're not losing to *).
• if the Doggies do win, Freo's bad percentage goes down further (percentages over 100 can't rise when you lose, just FYI).
• the only team that could drop below Freo in this scenario is GWS, who are currently 6.5% above them. So they'd need to lose over 100 points more than Freo lose.
• For any other team to lose, they'd need to lose by several hundred points.

If, however, Freo win, the Doggies are automatically shut out.

I hope this has been an enjoyable lesson from a layman who somehow understands maths better than the Bay's self-appointed rainman.