Also had a window of nothingness this afternoon so started prepping/researching some info for questions in this years Bigfooty Quiz. Interestingly came across some stats that I thought might add some clarity to a couple of the opinions already put forward in this thread.
Goals per game is an obvious starting point but I’d suggested using the average registered scoring shots per game with added inclusion of an accuracy %. On last years numbers Michael Close only averaged 1 shot at goal per game although of all the players going on to play again this year at the Lions with 10 or more registered scoring shots both Green [71.74%] and Close[71.43%] had accuracy percentages that ranked 2 and 3 respectively – (Freeman only had 9 registered scoring shots last year but his accuracy percentage of 66.67% would have ranked him 4th – Rocky with 76.92% is currently ranked #1)
So… by calculating the raw numbers [average registered scoring shots, accuracy% from 2014] for Green, Close and Freeman [assuming they all play 22 games] then sadly the high bar benchmark of 100 goals will not be reached – falling short by almost 15 goals.
BUT… with the possible constant additions of D.Beams, Rich, Christensen and even Robinson inside 50’s should/will increase. Add to this my recently read ‘next BIG Stat’ of scores from repeat inside 50’s or where the forward/mid pressure causes a turnover from an opposition rebounding 50 turnover [yep – read it and weep… forget looking at thighs, it’s time to acknowledge the huge relevance of dirty balls out of the oppositions defensive 50 now becoming the new BIG SizeMatters factor ]
Our inside 50 numbers were deplorable last year and need to increase by 10 per game to get to where we think we can. But, despite all the hype with new players and the potential of our youngsters; our first priority is to become a battle hardened, competitive outfit, week-in, week-out. Looking at an expanded 2014 AFL ladder version, we:
Ranked 18th in Quarters won
Ranked 18th in Inside 50's
Ranked 18th in 4th quarters won
Average losing margin of nearly 10 goals