2015 - AFL Round 22

[Robo87]

Last week

1u Hawks under 15.5 behinds @2.01 WH (gone under in 16/19 games this year)

Tailed this. Great find. Cheers.
Win

I'm continuing to back the hawks straight kicking until they fail me.
1u Hawks under 16.5behinds @1.94 WH

 

[Infra Ted]

Last week


I'm continuing to back the hawks straight kicking until they fail me.
1u Hawks under 16.5behinds @1.94 WH

Do they go any lower than 16.5 behinds?

 

[Robo87]

Do they go any lower than 16.5 behinds?

On WH you can choose a 'behind band' that's the only other option i think. eg 12-13behinds is $6.30 but thats too hard to pick..
B365 has the behind line set at 14.5 instead of 16.5 but they still only @1.90 odds.

 

[chrisdon16]

5-leg Multi
GEE v COLL - Both teams score 100 : NO
HAW v BRIS - Both teams score score 70 : NO
NTH v WB - Both teams score 60 : YES
ADEL v WC - Both teams score 60 : YES
FREO v MEL - Both teams score 80 : NO

4U @ 2.45 WH

What's North/Dogs into Crows/WC both to score 60? Throw the kitchen sink at it

 

[Profphat]

R23:

GWS/Blues - under 179.5
Hawks/Lions - under 187.5
Rich/Ess - under 180.5
NM/Dogs - over 188.5
Stk/Syd - under 182.5
Freo/Dees - under 169.5

Chrisdon
What's your opinion on Adel vs West coast over?
Last time they met was a shootout: WC 147 + Adel 91...

 

[FootyStar#1]

Last week


I'm continuing to back the hawks straight kicking until they fail me.
1u Hawks under 16.5behinds @1.94 WH

I'm limited to $13.29 for this bet

 

[chrisdon16]

Chrisdon
What's your opinion on Adel vs West coast over?
Last time they met was a shootout: WC 147 + Adel 91...

Handicapped 189, current total is 189.5 so not touching it. Should go over though, but won't be anywhere near their last game

 

[jaymasha]

Last week


I'm continuing to back the hawks straight kicking until they fail me.
1u Hawks under 16.5behinds @1.94 WH

Crownbet have the same line for $2.
Also have under 14.5 $3.10 fwiw

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Which one is more likely? Richmond over 109.5 or Essendon under 71.5?

 

[DerpWerls]

Hawthorn -59.5 into Richmond -59.5
1U at $5.75

 

[willk]

NO RISK BET FORMULA (Sportsbet using 2 accounts)

Hey guys, I'm new here and wasn't too sure where to post this.

But I've devised a formula that over 2 Sportsbet accounts guarantees either a win or breakeven (between 2 accounts). This takes advantage of the *Lead at any quarter but lose the match* promotion for the remained of the season. Here is a screenshot of my excel sheet showing current odds along with the recommended optimal stake to return. This can be played with so that your favourite outcome provides the greatest yield, all risk free. The returns aren't massive, but used on 5 matches over the weekend can see anywhere from $30-$200 risk free money. The trick here is to place the head to head bets between the two accounts and the "Lead every quarter" bets on whichever accounts you choose. It's as easy as that.

Cheers Guys. Let me know what you think of it!

 

[Jugada]

Have you covered for if scores are level at quarter time but team A leads for the rest of the match?

 

[chrisdon16]

Which one is more likely? Richmond over 109.5 or Essendon under 71.5?

I'd say Essendon <71.5. Richmond's defense has been ruthless over the past 2 weeks, don't see it changing this week against the bombers, especially (sorry) with finals spots up for grabs

 

[banana_bus]

NO RISK BET FORMULA (Sportsbet using 2 accounts)

Hey guys, I'm new here and wasn't too sure where to post this.

But I've devised a formula that over 2 Sportsbet accounts guarantees either a win or breakeven (between 2 accounts). This takes advantage of the *Lead at any quarter but lose the match* promotion for the remained of the season. Here is a screenshot of my excel sheet showing current odds along with the recommended optimal stake to return. This can be played with so that your favourite outcome provides the greatest yield, all risk free. The returns aren't massive, but used on 5 matches over the weekend can see anywhere from $30-$200 risk free money. The trick here is to place the head to head bets between the two accounts and the "Lead every quarter" bets on whichever accounts you choose. It's as easy as that.

Cheers Guys. Let me know what you think of it!

Have you covered for if scores are level at quarter time but team A leads for the rest of the match?

Yep, in the event of a draw at any break, you might be in a spot of bother.

Good idea though.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

I'd say Essendon <71.5. Richmond's defensive has been ruthless over the past 2 weeks, don't see it changing this week against the bombers, especially (sorry) with finals spots up for grabs

Cheers mate

 

[Mazza12346]

Anyone think the Pie will bounce back and make it a contest?
Still not convinced on Geelong reckon there just as ordinary as collingwood at the moment?
The 2.85 for the pies seems good value

 

[chrisdon16]

Anyone think the Pie will bounce back and make it a contest?
Still not convinced on Geelong reckon there just as ordinary as collingwood at the moment?
The 2.85 for the pies seems good value

Yep. They've been terrible defensively, especially last week. Should play better this week, watched/listened to interviews after the Richmond game, they seemed pretty embarrassed

 

[Mazza12346]

Yep. They've been terrible defensively, especially last week. Should play better this week, watched/listened to interviews after the Richmond game, they seemed pretty embarrassed

Think the pies are value, cos I think Geelong are quite ordinary. If you stop Motlop you stop the Cats i reckon, he sets up most of their forward play with his speed and ball movement

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Think the pies are value, cos I think Geelong are quite ordinary. If you stop Motlop you stop the Cats i reckon, he sets up most of their forward play with his speed and ball movement

I'm hoping you guys win this weekend

 

[Zealbee]

What's North/Dogs into Crows/WC both to score 60? Throw the kitchen sink at it

Unloaded on this this morning.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

I don't understand how the dogs are $2 , surely they will bounce back from that defeat against the eagles whilst getting Murphy and Picken back.

 

[banana_bus]

I don't understand how the dogs are $2 , surely they will bounce back from that defeat against the eagles whilst getting Murphy and Picken back.

Because they're no good.

 

[chrisdon16]

Unloaded on this this morning.

Only paying $1.33. I've gone Nm/Wb into ade/Wc both to score 70, $1.89

 

[Mazza12346]

I don't understand how the dogs are $2 , surely they will bounce back from that defeat against the eagles whilst getting Murphy and Picken back.

murphy played against the eagles.
Although i do reckon there value
But the game is a 50 50 game, who knows what kangas team will show up

 

[chrisdon16]

Also gone highest scoring half:
Hawks/Lions 2nd half
North/Dogs 2nd half
Crows/Eagles 2nd half