2023 Finals. Blues, others, and GF

[Revenant1965]

Mods, feel free to delete or merge elsewhere. But with discussions about finals in various threads, am wondering if a dedicated thread may be helpful to discuss where might finish, who will be our opponents, what will happen to others, comments on others, etc

To finalise...

 

[Revenant1965]

Top 8 contenders and their positions this week:

1. Collingwood - have Essendon, will want to find some form coming into finals and the Bombers are putrid. Barring a massive response from them after a belting by GWS, the Pies have top spot sewn up.
2. Brisbane - have St Kilda, at the Gabba. Will desperately want a home final, and they're only ahead of Port on percentage. They play before Port as well, so don't have the luxury of an earlier game dictating terms.
3. Port - have Richmond, at Adelaide. Unlikely they can secure a top 2 spot, there is a world where they'd rather lose and play Collingwood than win and play Brisbane at the Gabba in the first final, but I don't think they'll be able to tank hard enough to lose to Richmond.
4. Melbourne - have Sydney, at the SCG. Similarly to Port, they may prefer to finish 4th instead of 3rd for the sake of the first matchup, so even if Port drop the game against Richmond there's not much for Melbourne to play for except pride/momentum.
5. Carlton - have GWS, at Marvel. Final game of the round, so all other results will be known. Only teams who can catch us are St Kilda (unlikely) and Sydney (more likely, but percentage-dependent).
6. St Kilda - have Brisbane, at the Gabba. Tough matchup with Brissy needing to win to ensure a home final. Heard a St Kilda staffer (didn't catch the name) this morning on SEN, was asked about the prospect of resting a lot of players - response was very much "will be based on individual needs and programs", and given it followed talk that Max King would need surgery once the season was done I interpret it as guys like him being given the week off. I think Ross will have been satisfied making finals this year, it's an "overachievement" on expectation and anything beyond that is a bonus.
7. Sydney - have Melbourne, at the SCG. Missing a few key players, so they're vulnerable, but they've got more to play for than Melbourne. They'll know before the game if St Kilda have lost, and if so that a home final is on offer.
8. GWS - have Carlton, at Marvel. Interesting prospect, if St Kilda and Sydney both lose, then they're potentially in the running for a home final, and if St Kilda and Sydney have both lost, then Carlton have pretty much nothing to play for except momentum and Charlie's Coleman (if Tex annihilates WC).
9. Bulldogs - have Geelong, at Geelong. Expecting Geelong to bubblewrap a few senior players for preseason now, so WB probably bounce back and win this one to give GWS a bit of extra motivation.

My expected results:

- Collingwood beat Essendon
- Brisbane beat St Kilda
- Port beat Richmond
- Melbourne lose to Sydney
- Carlton lose to GWS
- Bulldogs beat Geelong

Leaves the ladder as:

1. Collingwood
2. Brisbane
3. Port
4. Melbourne
5. Carlton
6. Sydney
7. GWS
8. St Kilda

Week 1:
Melbourne beat Collingwood
Brisbane beat Port
Carlton beat St Kilda
GWS beat Sydney

Week 2:
Carlton beat Collingwood
Port beat GWS

Week 3:
Melbourne beat Port
Brisbane beat Carlton

Week 4:
Melbourne vs Brisbane grand final

 

[Revenant1965]

Very hard to say what’s better really

If we finish 5th we likely face a semi against Collingwood (unless they somehow beat the Dees) for the right to travel to the Gabba for the Prelim (ouch)

Versus

If we finish 6th (or 7th) we more likely face a semi against Port at the Adelaide Oval (where we have never won) but in the off chance that Port wins at the Gabba we would in fact have a semi at the Gabba - and if we win the semi we face Melbourne (or Collingwood potentially but unlikely) in the Prelim

Personally I think Melbourne and Brisbane are the two most likely Premiers and I don’t know which I prefer as a Prelim opponent. Possible Lions choke again but at the same time Dees know how to win Finals now and both are strong with the contested footy. Beating Melbourne and Brisbane at the MCG is easier than playing at the Gabba so finishing 6th is probably the better outcome. We can of course beat both at our best but we may not always be at our best in all four finals.




Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

 

[haveago]

Our best may very well be THE BEST........

What we have been doing without Walsh , Cerra , Harry till Saturday and others is remarkable.

We can beat anybody anywhere when we get our best back and that is on the cards fingers crossed.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Want Dogs or Sydney round 1. GWS and Saints just don't sit well with me.

 

[le dominateur]

Think we will win 1st final convincingly no matter the opponent. Good chance to get to a PF.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[ferrisb]

One of the popular models on the main board is Squiggle

It has the final ladder as this

The finals play out like this

We beat GWS in week 1
We beat Coll in week 2
We lose to the Lions at the Gabba in the prelim

 

[Blue and Blue]

One of the popular models on the main board is Squiggle

It has the final ladder as this

The finals play out like this

We beat GWS in week 1
We beat Coll in week 2
We lose to the Lions at the Gabba in the prelim

Mr Squiggle never was all that smart.
The prelim is upside down...we win and then win the big one.

 

[ferrisb]

Mr Squiggle never was all that smart.
The prelim is upside down...we win and then win the big one.

If that's the case, then all I can say is...

Hmmmm..... HURRY...UP!

 

[WCE Wizard]

Well done to you guys, no team would want to face you in finals especially with Curnow strutting around pretty much dominating everything in sight love watching him play, together with powered up Patrick Cripps

9

Patrick Cripps

Age

29

Ht

195cm

Wt

93kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

25.9

5star

K

9.8

4star

HB

16.1

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

5.8

5star

CL

7.4

5star

D

21.0

5star

K

10.1

4star

HB

10.9

5star

M

2.5

3star

T

3.8

4star

CL

6.3

5star

D

12.6

4star

K

4.8

2star

HB

7.8

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

3.2

5star

CL

1.4

4star

and Sam Walsh

18

Sam Walsh

Age

23

Ht

184cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

25.1

5star

K

13.5

5star

HB

11.6

5star

M

5.1

5star

T

3.2

5star

CL

3.4

5star

No current season stats available

D

26.2

5star

K

15.4

5star

HB

10.8

5star

M

6.0

5star

T

3.2

5star

CL

4.8

5star

I can see you guys in prelim final all the best guys.

 

[ferrisb]

Well done to you guys, no team would want to face you in finals especially with Curnow strutting around pretty much dominating everything in sight love watching him play, together with powered up Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh I can see you guys in prelim final all the best guys.

Thanks Wiz.

Hopefully you guys get some good kids in the draft.

If there's a group of supporters that understands how tough it is to watch your team bottom out and rebuild, it's us...

 

[thylacine60]

Think we will win 1st final convincingly no matter the opponent. Good chance to get to a PF.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

whateley suggested this weeks ago............

 

[ferrisb]

whateley suggested this weeks ago............

Egregious!

 

[thylacine60]

who am I?

"I wouldn't say I was shocked, but I was genuinely, genuinely surprised""

 

[Carlton06]

North knows the lid is off

 

[Aphrodite]

Well done to you guys, no team would want to face you in finals especially with Curnow strutting around pretty much dominating everything in sight love watching him play, together with powered up Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh I can see you guys in prelim final all the best guys.

Thanks Wiz.

All the best for 2024.

 

[WCE Wizard]

Thanks Wiz.

Hopefully you guys get some good kids in the draft.

If there's a group of supporters that understands how tough it is to watch your team bottom out and rebuild, it's us...

Yea, its our turn to rebuild properly and get some good draft picks and then start the hard work. You guys are reaping the rewards also your Captain Patrick Cripps is from my neck of the woods great to see him have some success seems like he is built to dominate finals.

 

[SurreyBlue]

Been a long time and something I thought I might never see again but how good is it, we are talking about our team not just playing but contesting finals and not draft picks!!!!

The longer this discussion progresses, the younger I get.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Aphrodite]

Yes. Vossy.

 

[Matty411]

One of the popular models on the main board is Squiggle

It has the final ladder as this

The finals play out like this

We beat GWS in week 1
We beat Coll in week 2
We lose to the Lions at the Gabba in the prelim

Loved it til you had us losing at the Gabba. Reckon that's one of the last 2022 hoodoos to break - smash those pricks up there at the Gabba.

Also so I can get along to the game from the Coast.

Would strongly consider getting down to the G' in Week 2 if this eventuated.

 

[ferrisb]

Loved it til you had us losing at the Gabba. Reckon that's one of the last 2022 hoodoos to break - smash those pricks up there at the Gabba.

Also so I can get along to the game from the Coast.

Would strongly consider getting down to the G' in Week 2 if this eventuated.

We make it to the G in week 2, I'll save ya a seat!!!

 

[ferrisb]

Second half of the season

 

[The Bighouse]

who am I?

"I wouldn't say I was shocked, but I was genuinely, genuinely surprised""

5 day & 5 night premiership player, D. Brereton / SEN

 

[Matty411]

We make it to the G in week 2, I'll save ya a seat!!!

I'll hold you to that. Imagine a semi against Pies at the G..

 

[Aphrodite]