AFL Round 15
- Thread starter Keystone agony
- Start date
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1U Bulldogs 1-39 @ 2.15
Neither team has won a game by more than 39 this season and Melbourne have only lost by more than 39 twice in 9 losses. Then there's the weather. A part of me wanted to take Melbourne by 1-39 with the Bulldogs outs but I still think the Dogs have a better team on paper
1U 2 Let Multi @ 2.15:
1. Port Adelaide to win 4th Quarter @1.56
Ports 4th quarters are crazy good. 11-2 with 177%. Adelaide are about par with 6-7 and 84%.... I figure Adelaide will push Port and Port will need to finish over the top of them.
2. Carlton +38.5 @ 1.38
Carlton have only lost one game by more than 39. Collingwood have only won one game by more than 39. Last time they met it was Collingwood by 34, which is pretty close but isn't it raining like a bitch in Melbourne all day? That should help keep the score tight.
Neither team has won a game by more than 39 this season and Melbourne have only lost by more than 39 twice in 9 losses. Then there's the weather. A part of me wanted to take Melbourne by 1-39 with the Bulldogs outs but I still think the Dogs have a better team on paper
1U 2 Let Multi @ 2.15:
1. Port Adelaide to win 4th Quarter @1.56
Ports 4th quarters are crazy good. 11-2 with 177%. Adelaide are about par with 6-7 and 84%.... I figure Adelaide will push Port and Port will need to finish over the top of them.
2. Carlton +38.5 @ 1.38
Carlton have only lost one game by more than 39. Collingwood have only won one game by more than 39. Last time they met it was Collingwood by 34, which is pretty close but isn't it raining like a bitch in Melbourne all day? That should help keep the score tight.
stewie griffen
Make me an Admin!
Damn, thought it kicked off at 1.40.... Grr
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #254
Demons +20.5 live 1.1u
Well played sportsbet!
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #256
Already calling this a loss. This sport is insipid.
Jay-Z
North's Enforcer
I get that Melbourne looked tempting but I don't understand why more people didn't back the bulldogs with the sportsbet special. Even if the Dees win, the bulldogs were always going to lead at 1 of the qtr breaks iMO
Because they had so many injuries and Melbourne represented value at their price. Though that's meaningless now.
Jay-Z
North's Enforcer
I know but how many games have Melbourne won wire-to-wire this year?
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #261
Wow this is incredible. Roosy really is the messiah
Yeah the Bulldogs are a great team. Personally I don't understand people being sucked in to bet on underdogs with the Sportsbet special. They are underdogs for a reason. If they get up you get lucky, if they don't the bookie doesn't lose regardless. I'd only use it for favourites myself. Anybody think they know who Macaffer tags tonight? Was thinking Gibbs has been smashing it lately but then he usually goes to Murphy and Judd is back in the team aswell.
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #263
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #264
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Small Moves
Premiership Player
DT bets looking good. Got lucky with the Macrae tip. COME ON MELBOURNE..
1U Bulldogs 1-39 @ 2.15
Neither team has won a game by more than 39 this season and Melbourne have only lost by more than 39 twice in 9 losses. Then there's the weather. A part of me wanted to take Melbourne by 1-39 with the Bulldogs outs but I still think the Dogs have a better team on paper
1U 2 Let Multi @ 2.15:
1. Port Adelaide to win 4th Quarter @1.56
Ports 4th quarters are crazy good. 11-2 with 177%. Adelaide are about par with 6-7 and 84%.... I figure Adelaide will push Port and Port will need to finish over the top of them.
2. Carlton +38.5 @ 1.38
Carlton have only lost one game by more than 39. Collingwood have only won one game by more than 39. Last time they met it was Collingwood by 34, which is pretty close but isn't it raining like a bitch in Melbourne all day? That should help keep the score tight.
Predicted the coin flip and won the Bulldogs bet.
Adding 1U on Port at 1.38 so that I don't have to wait for the 4th quarter to have a bet rolling... Hopefully it doesn't make a fool of me.
Small Moves
Premiership Player
Hopefully I can get those final two DT bets to break even.
(1U) - Port Adelaide -19.5 @ 2.00
(1U) - Adelaide vs Port Adelaide OVER 180.5 @ 1.88
(1U) - DT: Sloane > Thompson @ 1.75
(1U) - Collingwood vs Carlton OVER 168.5 @ 1.88
(1U) - Collingwood -23.5 @ 2.00
(1U) - Home Team (Collingwood) OVER 96.5 @ 1.88
(1U) - DT: Cloke > Lumumba @ 1.90
Praying for a bit of luck!
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #269
I just can't help myself. Even at a family dinner.
Power live -10.5 1.1u
Power live -10.5 1.1u
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #270
Geez these guys couldn't score if they entered a brothel waving a Benjamin around. Surely the power run over them in the final quarter?
Power ML 0.5u @ $2.90
Power ML 0.5u @ $2.90
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2 units Swan under 105.5 DT @ $1.87
Has gone over this just once in his last 6 games and 9/12 for the year. Risky taking on a proven DT gun but I think it is a few points high on his current form.
2 units Gibbs over 99.5 DT @ $1.66
Has come in already obviously. Covered this in 8 of last 11 with a 99 in there as well at an average of 107.
Has gone over this just once in his last 6 games and 9/12 for the year. Risky taking on a proven DT gun but I think it is a few points high on his current form.
2 units Gibbs over 99.5 DT @ $1.66
Has come in already obviously. Covered this in 8 of last 11 with a 99 in there as well at an average of 107.
- Mar 21, 2014
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- #273
If you can handle my 3 consecutive days of profit. Power was the right play. Their effort is just poor today.
Edit - wanna pay me out for the Adelaide over 92.5 degenerate chase lol?
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Small Moves
Premiership Player
Damn. s**t weekend so far.
One more goal to cover the total score, pleeeease.
One more goal to cover the total score, pleeeease.
Jay-Z
North's Enforcer
Shocking week for DT/SC results but backing several H2H with the sportsbet special has made it a profitable weekend for me
