TradeDraft
Post-Human
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- #726
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I am not a fan of Abbott's politics at all, but IMHO he was the wrong leader for the times. He's the kind of leader a country votes in when times are really tough economically or when a country is going to war.
Strongly disagree with this. Even John Howard, Abbott's greatest cheerleader, always expressed serious concerns about Abbott's inability or unwillingness to grasp simple economic concepts.
Economics had always been out of Abbott's comfort zone, and he could never graduate above the level of shaking his fist at Labor's 'great big tax'. He's almost an economic illiterate, far from being able to actually communicate and sell complex economic reform.
And for what it's worth, these are tough economic times. So much of our wealth has been tied to the mining sector, and the possible/likely slide of the Chinese economy leaves us more exposed than most. Abbott barely comprehended the challenge, far from being able to address it.
A wartime leader? Not sure what you're after in a wartime leader,
... but the best model we've got is John Curtin from WWII.
He has found a form of sainthood over the past few decades, but this shouldn't take away from the fact that he was still a decisive and unifying leader at a time of profound peril. Menzies had been PM when the war began, but was shunted from the stage because he wasn't up to the task, and I hardly think that Abbott would have succeeded where Menzies couldn't. Decisiveness and unity aren't watchwords for Abbott.
He was the leader of an opposition party who then slithered into the Lodge.
Howard ... Now there's a fine example of the "wrong leader for the times". He presided over a period of strong economic prosperity and he wasted the opportunity to invest in public infrastructure.
Instead we pi**ed all that money up against the wall of the GFC ... And our country is no better for it.
A leader doesn't need strong economic credentials to be appropriate when economic times are tough. Take Kennett as an example - he's a marketing man, and yes he did have Stockdale to manage the purse strings - but what Kennett brought were the values, and strength of character to make the tough decisions.
Everything is relative I suppose.
Things certainly aren't as good as they once were ...
... By "tough economic times" I was referring to Greece, Spain, Italy, Venezuela, Ireland circa 2010, U.S. Circa 2008 - 2012 ... we are a long way from that.
No disrespect intended towards gays - but when gay marriage is the biggest item on the political agenda (rather than drought, famine, floods, mass unemployment, youth unemployment, hyper-inflation, crime, war, etc, etc) then it's a sign that the economy isn't really doing that badly. Of course that can all change.
Decisive, strength of conviction.
I know many wouldn't describe Abbott as having those traits - but look at the doggedness he went after the "Carbon Tax". Shame he didn't apply his strengths to good rather than evil
Reagan (Cold War).
Churchill did alright second time around.
Thatcher handled the Falklands conflict OK, even if it was to her own political advantage.
I think he was decisive on issues that are core to his value system.
He was just a fish out of water for the times.
Agree with that
Which brings us back to Tony... I'm not sure on what planet anyone could think that Tony might have been an able wartime leader. His judgment in the heat of political battle has been horrendous, so why do you think his judgment would improve in a war? He has specialised in a juvenile type of divisive politics ever since he began his political career, so what makes you think that he'd be a symbol of unity during such a time of crisis?
I just don't see how Abbott, in good times or bad times or in between, could be considered the right man for the job.
You lambast Howard for squandering the wealth of the mining boom, which is fair enough, but it doesn't take away from the fact that Howard was vastly superior is his management of the economy that Abbott. He also took the GST (a reform he'd long advocated) to an election, as well as implementing most of his desired industrial relations policies.
He understood the importance of economic policy, it occupied a lot of his thinking, and he was able to take these issues to the electorate in an effective way.
And even Kennett was more economically literate than Abbott could ever hope to be. He was an ideologue, a Premier who was mostly interested in economic issues for whatever political value they could give him, but he both understood and articulated his sweeping reforms.
I don't think that Abbott was ever that decisive a leader, and his many flips while PM (e.g. last year's budget) suggest as much. Yeah, he went after the Carbon Tax, and he doggedly pursued boatloads of asylum seekers, but it's funny how his decisiveness and doggedness were only evident for things which brought him immediate political advantage.
Reagan was not a wartime leader. To the extent that the Cold War could be considered a war, the demise of the Soviet Union had nothing to do with his outmoded brand of Cold War politics. Gorbachev and the inherent failings of the command economy in a globalising world ended the Cold War, not Reagan.
Despite the Falklands, Thatcher was hardly a wartime leader. But she was certainly an able leader, and she possessed a steel and intellect which Abbott could only dream of.
Churchill was a maestro. He had many failings (hubris being one), but he was most definitely a great wartime leader.
Sorry 76, we might have to agree to disagree.
Isn't that a bit like saying that the demise of Nazi Germany had more to do with Hitler's delusions of grandeur and the decision to go into Russia, rather than anything Churchill or Rooselvelt did?
I think Reagan did contribute to the end of the Cold War in a way that a politician like Jimmy Carter wouldn't have been able to do (yes, Perestroika came in Reagan's second term, was just using Carter as an example).
Hi again 76. I won't get to combat all of your views today, because other things are pressing but also because I'm trying to take advantage of the sun before it disappears again.
I'm curious about what you think Reagan did to win the Cold War. He increased American military spending to a level which the Soviets couldn't match, that is true, and he helped to 'bleed' the Soviets in Afghanistan, but these things weren't responsible for the end of the Cold War. He gave a few half-decent speeches, like his 'tear down this wall' jibe at the Brandenburg Gate, but this hardly ended the Cold War. Gorbachev's reforms (glasnost and perestroika) did more to undermine the Soviet Union and communism in Eastern Europe than anything Reagan did, and the local liberal movements within the Eastern Europe (e.g. Solidarity in Poland) were also instrumental.
Beyond those factors, the integration of the global economy (and the info tech world which facilitated it) made the Soviet economy moribund, which was exacerbated by the drop in oil prices in the 1980s...which just happens to be troubling Putin's Russia at the moment as well. No Reagan to be found here. Sure, if you ask a Republican who brought the end of the Cold War, they'll trumpet Reagan. If you ask anyone who isn't interested in the legacy of a Republican president, they'll point to Eastern Europe, Gorbachev, and the systemic failure of the command economy.
I'm not sure why you're drawing a parallel between the end of World War 2 and the end of the Cold War. They are wildly different events, to say the least, but FWIW there are many different factors which brought the demise of Hitler's Germany, including the hubris of Hitler himself. If Roosevelt hadn't entered the war, then Germany would likely have won. If Germany didn't launch a campaign in the East, then it might have held its gains in the West. If Japan hadn't started the Pacific War, then Roosevelt wouldn't have been able to muster US public opinion in favour of intervention in Europe etc. In any case, the downfall of Nazism was completely different from the implosion of Communism.
Hi again 76. I won't get to combat all of your views today, because other things are pressing but also because I'm trying to take advantage of the sun before it disappears again.
I'm curious about what you think Reagan did to win the Cold War. He increased American military spending to a level which the Soviets couldn't match, that is true, and he helped to 'bleed' the Soviets in Afghanistan, but these things weren't responsible for the end of the Cold War. He gave a few half-decent speeches, like his 'tear down this wall' jibe at the Brandenburg Gate, but this hardly ended the Cold War. Gorbachev's reforms (glasnost and perestroika) did more to undermine the Soviet Union and communism in Eastern Europe than anything Reagan did, and the local liberal movements within the Eastern Europe (e.g. Solidarity in Poland) were also instrumental.
Beyond those factors, the integration of the global economy (and the info tech world which facilitated it) made the Soviet economy moribund, which was exacerbated by the drop in oil prices in the 1980s...which just happens to be troubling Putin's Russia at the moment as well. No Reagan to be found here. Sure, if you ask a Republican who brought the end of the Cold War, they'll trumpet Reagan. If you ask anyone who isn't interested in the legacy of a Republican president, they'll point to Eastern Europe, Gorbachev, and the systemic failure of the command economy.
I'm not sure why you're drawing a parallel between the end of World War 2 and the end of the Cold War.
They are wildly different events, to say the least, but FWIW there are many different factors which brought the demise of Hitler's Germany, including the hubris of Hitler himself. If Roosevelt hadn't entered the war, then Germany would likely have won. If Germany didn't launch a campaign in the East, then it might have held its gains in the West. If Japan hadn't started the Pacific War, then Roosevelt wouldn't have been able to muster US public opinion in favour of intervention in Europe etc. In any case, the downfall of Nazism was completely different from the implosion of Communism.
Reagan's Star Wars (and other) military programs threatened to break the stalemate of Mutually Assured Destruction doctrine that global security was based on at the time. It was a ballsy move that could have backfired.
I am not a student of this stuff at all - these are just my opinions based on my own recollection of events at the time (as a teenager) and I do believe that these changed the world ... and precipitated the end of the Cold War.
I remember growing up in the seventies and learning about MAD, and about how US military installations in Australia made us a target, and how kids my age in American and Russian schools would do drills in preparation for a nuclear attack - although I never had to do such drills myself. There was talk about WW3, and speculation about what might trigger it.
Reagan's Star Wars program signalled an end to all of that ... even if it never made it to fruition.
I was a Tony man but he wasn't overly popular with the public and for the better of the party the leader had to change.
I think we will win the next elections and keep the filthy ALP out.
I was a Tony man but he wasn't overly popular with the public and for the better of the party the leader had to change.
I think we will win the next elections and keep the filthy ALP out.
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Kind of ironic given how much s**t he and his supporters shoveled on Gough for not knowing anything about economics.Strongly disagree with this. Even John Howard, Abbott's greatest cheerleader, always expressed serious concerns about Abbott's inability or unwillingness to grasp simple economic concepts. Economics had always been out of Abbott's comfort zone, and he could never graduate above the level of shaking his fist at Labor's 'great big tax'. He's almost an economic illiterate, far from being able to actually communicate and sell complex economic reform.
The biggest contributor to the end of the Cold War was gorbachev and it's not close imo.It's funny how people are remembered when they are on the losing side of history.I think Reagan did contribute to the end of the Cold War in a way that a politician like Jimmy Carter wouldn't have been able to do (yes, Perestroika came in Reagan's second term, was just using Carter as an example).
I think a change of leader is really important for the nation though. Whilst in opposition both sides of politics have basically conducted a scorched earth strategy. For example they oppose everything (except things they are really vulnerable on (i.e. ALP and asylum seeker policy), target one or two of the government's policies that are vulnerable with slogans and fear (i.e. 100k degrees, or the great big tax on everything) and don't release their own policies until really late in the campaign so they can't be effectively scrutinized.Your insight into the situation is about as sophisticated as Tone's, which might explain your affinity I suppose. But don't get me wrong, I'll also miss him for the laughs.
Me, I couldn't care less about whether a change of leader is good for this party or bad for that one. I'm kind of after a government which is better for the country. That should be the bigger consideration here, don't you think?
Great to see Turnball is looking after the Rich and Screwing the Poor. By Jacking up the GST to 15%
He is no better/Different then Abbott
Great to see Turnball is looking after the Rich and Screwing the Poor. By Jacking up the GST to 15%
He is no better/Different then Abbott
Increasing the GST is not the worst thing to do, but for it to be the primary focus in trying to generate more money for the government is more than a bit disappointing.
Hopefully one day the government will understand the fundamental point of money is not for it to be accumulated into a huge lump but to be traded to improve the livability people
This will also see a drop in income tax, especially for those in lower brackets. So the poorer should save money overall. I do not agree however with fresh fruit and veg being subject to the tax.
It should be noted that the entire tax system is under review, something that should occur every 10 years or so anyway. So an increase in the amount or items being taxed is a sure thing
this is what the govt. is trying to do. Healthcare which is largely free in this country is getting more and more expensive especially with the aging population, add to his this the old age pension and all the other various handouts the govt. give and it gets expensive.
fully agree. unfortunately most changes only save small amounts of money. Personally I would prefer to see a decrease in govt. handouts. Don't get me wrong I have no issue with helping those who can't help themselves. But if you are physically able to work you should. If you have a form of mental illness there are still plenty of jobs out there that you can do. Even if you only work 10hrs a week and then get govt, top up.For sure it'll go some of the way, and I'm not against taxes, I just feel increasing the GST should be 2nd or 3rd down the list not the first thing they turn to.
For sure it'll go some of the way, and I'm not against taxes, I just feel increasing the GST should be 2nd or 3rd down the list not the first thing they turn to.
Reagan (Cold War).
Churchill did alright second time around.
Thatcher handled the Falklands conflict OK, even if it was to her own political advantage.