Remove this Banner Ad

Bluemour Discussion Thread XIV - Facts Not Welcome

🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.

Status
Not open for further replies.

Log in to remove this Banner Ad

McGovern hands the forward line coach a genuine mobile three tall outfit to start developing into a genuine AFL attacking unit and a fit and motivated Fasolo is a ready-made replacement if not upgrade to Wright - perhaps more of those forward 50 entries will be converted into scores in 2019 - because the percentage score V entries for Carlton was embarrassing in 2018 - on paper this is a big tick for SOS and the List.
Agreed with the rest of your post more or less, but I don't with this.

Our issues in 2016-17 have more to do with slow gameplan to allow for our poverty of good users, moving the ball slowly in order to avoid turning it over. Our issues this year were quite different, and have more to do with midfield poor disposal into our forward half (either a hacked kick from a clearance, an inability to get someone free of congestion, or our inability to maintain a chain of disposal from one end to the other) than they do our poor forward craft. Fix that - make stoppage plans that work!!! - and improve our ability to move the ball from back 50 to the forward line faster than a sloth doing a crossword, and we'll be well on our way to improving if not our volume of entries (although that'd improve too) then our quality of entries into forward 50.

Sure, we need to improve our forward craft, but as with everything you cannot have all time greats at either end if you can't get the ball to or away from them. Need to work on moving the ball without stuffing it up, and need to come up with better plans other than Cripps wins the clearance to win the hard ball.
 
…… So Judd is not on our Board??

…. is not swooning players across?

…. is not taking the media head on for carlton???

Not so sure we lost that trade at all...

He is still cracking in at the contest at 110% …..



100% Correct. When Kennedy is retired Judd will still be kicking goals for us. Also the impact Judd had on Crippa and many other players and the professionalism he brang to the club . Also at the time Carlton sold out of number 5 jumpers at the annoucement of Judd signing. Also Fisher and Dow idolised Judd and he has had long talks with them. Funny enough the week after Judd spoke to Dow he went out an put in his best performance to date. Its not all just about what happens on the footy field. We won that trade and are still winning it and will be winning it for a long time to come.
 
Given our choice came down to Walsh or Lukosius, which player would have more of an immediate impact and which player has the highest ceiling?

Walsh is a mid and he plays his best footy in that position. He has been playing under 18s all year. I’d say in 2019 we could expect him to have about the same impact as Dow had this year, i.e. 12-15 possessions on average. His hurt factor early on at AFL level would be medium.

Lukosius has versatility. He can play anywhere, i.e. Wing, Half Fwd, Half Back. He’s also been playing against bigger bodies in the SANFL this year. At AFL level Lukosius is also probably good for 12-15 possessions per game, but his possessions would have serious hurt factor. His kicking is absolutely elite and could be used from day 1 to setup plays and hit forward targets. For these reasons I’d say Lukosius is potentially a more valuable player straight out of the box.

As far as their long term potential goes, I don’t reckon you could split the two.

Of course with Lukosius you have the go home factor but the club has to back it’s culture and select the best player available. I mean look how many interstate players Carlton has already. Would you pass up Cripps because he’s from WA?

So Lukosius to my mind is a better selection for where Carlton is right now.
 
Agree completely, with everything.

The other glaring stats, A) we also rank last for number of disposals, per I50 and B) second last for shots on goal, per I50. Having MM and to a lesser degree Fasolo, will certainly improve both
Another thought I had regarding us dealing with GWS on Setterfield is that we got it done quickly with no fuss. As did we with Adelaide. I think this is also a deliberate strategy by SOS, considering GWS are still battling * to get the Sheil deal done. It will hold us in good stead for next year when we will have a crack at maybe Kelly ... or Greene?
 

Remove this Banner Ad

…… So Judd is not on our Board??

…. is not swooning players across?

…. is not taking the media head on for carlton???

Not so sure we lost that trade at all...

He is still cracking in at the contest at 110% …..

I would rather Josh Kennedy and Trent Cotchin for the last 10 years on field than Judd. That's what we could have had.

I said 66:33 in WCE favour, still means Juddy has been great for us, but Kennedy and Cotchin together have been greater.

Mind you, I think the same will be for Shiel, Walsh & Setterfield (similar to Kennedy+Cotchin) will be better than Shiel (Judd). Just one man's opinion.
 
Given our choice came down to Walsh or Lukosius, which player would have more of an immediate impact and which player has the highest ceiling?

Walsh is a mid and he plays his best footy in that position. He has been playing under 18s all year. I’d say in 2019 we could expect him to have about the same impact as Dow had this year, i.e. 12-15 possessions on average. His hurt factor early on at AFL level would be medium.

Lukosius has versatility. He can play anywhere, i.e. Wing, Half Fwd, Half Back. He’s also been playing against bigger bodies in the SANFL this year. At AFL level Lukosius is also probably good for 12-15 possessions per game, but his possessions would have serious hurt factor. His kicking is absolutely elite and could be used from day 1 to setup plays and hit forward targets. For these reasons I’d say Lukosius is potentially a more valuable player straight out of the box.

As far as their long term potential goes, I don’t reckon you could split the two.

Of course with Lukosius you have the go home factor but the club has to back it’s culture and select the best player available. I mean look how many interstate players Carlton has already. Would you pass up Cripps because he’s from WA?

So Lukosius to my mind is a better selection for where Carlton is right now.
Was Dow as prolific a possession winner as Walsh at 18's?
 
We’ve signed Matt Owies, an Australian former basketball player, as an international rookie.

https://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/...e/news-story/9157ca0bbd7e3a66857757018c366032

Just on this https://outline.com/UvPAad

“CARLTON has signed a former Australian junior basketballer as an international rookie B selection.

Matt Owies, 21, was a standout junior footballer with St Kevin’s until deciding to pursue a basketball career that took him to the US.
He was also a competition best and fairest winner in the Yarra Junior Football League at under-14 level.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Depends how you measure it.

If you're measuring it in 'flags obtained while the fallout from the trade immediately continues', WC quantifiably won it this year, but only this year. If you're talking intangibles, WC got a few footballers, we've got someone who has about as much of a say over what and who we are in a modern context as anyone. He's Carlton now, along with MLG, Bolts, SOS.

But then, sometimes what both sides get out of a deal is worth it to the extent that it doesn't matter who won/lost. They got a gun FF, and a B+ midfielder, who played a significant part in them getting a flag; we got Dennis Arnfield, Chris Judd and his post career work on our behalf. If we can pinch a flag with him working for us, all of a sudden the metrics are different again.
I also tend to look at what he brought off field at the time. We had some 'rat-bags' who were leading the kids astray. Judd comes in and instantly the kids (and mature aged players) all follow his example off field, stop the piss-ups, start taking training seriously. He lead by example, not to mention the number of memberships he would have helped to bring in. This stuff is priceless and exactly what we needed at the time.
 
Another thought I had regarding us dealing with GWS on Setterfield is that we got it done quickly with no fuss. As did we with Adelaide. I think this is also a deliberate strategy by SOS, considering GWS are still battling * to get the Sheil deal done. It will hold us in good stead for next year when we will have a crack at maybe Kelly ... or Greene?

I guess anything is possible, especially with what GWS are currently wanting to clear/cleared off their list

Shiel, Lobb, Setterfield, Scully, Patton, Finlayson
 
I would rather Josh Kennedy and Trent Cotchin for the last 10 years on field than Judd. That's what we could have had.

I said 66:33 in WCE favour, still means Juddy has been great for us, but Kennedy and Cotchin together have been greater.

Mind you, I think the same will be for Shiel, Walsh & Setterfield (similar to Kennedy+Cotchin) will be better than Shiel (Judd). Just one man's opinion.
The only thing having Cotch and Kennedy in the team would have done is hasten our demise.

You think either of Cotch or Kennedy would have become the players they are today in the Carlton environment of the last 10 years?
 

🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.

I also tend to look at what he brought off field at the time. We had some 'rat-bags' who were leading the kids astray. Judd comes in and instantly the kids (and mature aged players) all follow his example off field, stop the piss-ups, start taking training seriously. He lead by example, not to mention the number of memberships he would have helped to bring in. This stuff is priceless and exactly what we needed at the time.
It really isn't a simple thing, assessing the value of that trade. Their side of things is far, far easier than ours is, because most of what Judd brought to Carlton was off-field. Willing us to victories that would've been unobtainable in his absence is about 40% of what he did for us, and while it's a shame our list management was so poor while he played for us I'd still make the trade every time.

Just, Fev instead of Kennedy.
 
Has SOS or anyone at the club said McGov is definitely playing forward?

I know we have a lot of backs but I do think he'd be s stand out intercept marker.

Highlighted by the Champion Data crew. His game-saving last quarter intercepting mark Numbers against Norf as an example (plus the last round vs us, doesn’t really count though).
All club propaganda has been as a forward however with swingman versatility.
 
Just on this https://outline.com/UvPAad

“CARLTON has signed a former Australian junior basketballer as an international rookie B selection.

Matt Owies, 21, was a standout junior footballer with St Kevin’s until deciding to pursue a basketball career that took him to the US.

He was also a competition best and fairest winner in the Yarra Junior Football League at under-14 level.

Standing 183cm, he is an explosive athlete blessed with high range lateral movement, meaning he can play either end of the ground.

He last played football in Year 9 for St Kevin’s in 2012, a school that in recent times has produced Lachlan Fogarty (Geelong) Ollie Hanrahan (Hawthorn) Patrick Kerr (Carlton) and Tim Taranto (GWS)”

I got a good feeling about this one.
 
Agreed with the rest of your post more or less, but I don't with this.

Our issues in 2016-17 have more to do with slow gameplan to allow for our poverty of good users, moving the ball slowly in order to avoid turning it over. Our issues this year were quite different, and have more to do with midfield poor disposal into our forward half (either a hacked kick from a clearance, an inability to get someone free of congestion, or our inability to maintain a chain of disposal from one end to the other) than they do our poor forward craft. Fix that - make stoppage plans that work!!! - and improve our ability to move the ball from back 50 to the forward line faster than a sloth doing a crossword, and we'll be well on our way to improving if not our volume of entries (although that'd improve too) then our quality of entries into forward 50.

Sure, we need to improve our forward craft, but as with everything, you cannot have all time greats at either end if you can't get the ball to or away from them. Need to work on moving the ball without stuffing it up, and need to come up with better plans other than Cripps wins the clearance to win the hard ball.

Between the arc play has been worse than defensive and forward line work - totally agree. I didn't refer to what is required to fix this - because the draft so far hasn't delivered anything that will - so far. Pretty obvious the kids understand how far back they are in terms ability to play genuine midfield role for 4 quarters. That is why they are all back training already I would guess - good on 'em for doing so - but a pre-season or 2 doesn't make up for lack of required physical attributes - fitness isn't size. Other teams brushed off attempted tackles of SPS/LoB/Fisher/Garlett/Murphy/Polson at will...Carlton has amassed a great collection of classy short people in comparison to most opposition midfields.

Ironic - since people on here regularly chastise the Club for having 'too many talls' ...no, Carlton has too many smalls actually - in the wrong places.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Remove this Banner Ad

🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.

Back
Top