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For the baseline (blue) I calculate the percentage drop required each day from the 28th September over the three weeks to reach 5 on the 19th OctoberGreat idea.
What formula are you using, and what's the basis for using it?
Yes and no. It's Melbournes restrictions being eased but it's reliant on Victoria's data as a wholeShouldn’t the heading be Melbourne not Victoria?
Shouldn’t the heading be Melbourne not Victoria?
Not a dan thing, but you can’t make this up
box hill hospital ordering staff to not wear masks in the workplace Surely illegal?
Melbourne nurses banned from wearing their own N95 masks
Leaked emails show healthcare workers at Box Hill Hospital - where an outbreak has grown to four - have been prevented from wearing their own protective gear.www.theage.com.au
thats just odd
i could understand it if they said "we want you only wearing ones we supply" so that they know the f***ers work, but if you're not being supplied with one surely a shitty mask is better than no mask
esp as most who enter a hospital right now being asked to mask up (where possible)
Victorian state govt employees wear one at work at all times, public visiting offices too. Surely at this stage the risk is much less than in a hospital?
I doubt a 14 day average of 5 is even realistically obtainable. Victoria is on track to have a third world economy before getting out of restrictions and to some level of normality as the premier is refusing to listen to anyone except his chosen advisors even though there are a growing number of experts who disagree with his policies.
Local council elections will provide an insight into the true public opinion, if Labor aligned candidates get soundly beaten Labor might change course.
Never go full *People should stop getting tested. If you are not in a demographic they can be harmed by this virus why would you get tested for? If you do happen to test positive they will just hold it against everyone.
Won’t be touching rolling average 5 for quite a while, maybe not this year, and who said we had to have it for 14 days straight? I’ve never heard of that. You might be getting mixed up with a 14 day rolling average which isn’t the same thing as having that average for 14 days in a row.Going out on a limb here - we might touch the 5 average once in the next two weeks. To have it for 14 days running might not happen for several months
we are backto June/July and have swapped shops for schools.
we don’t have a total disconnect between govt and people like in the UK, but we need to be careful
Won’t be touching rolling average 5 for quite a while, maybe not this year, and who said we had to have it for 14 days straight? I’ve never heard of that. You might be getting mixed up with a 14 day rolling average which isn’t the same thing as having that average for 14 days in a row.
Going out on a limb here - we might touch the 5 average once in the next two weeks. To have it for 14 days running might not happen for several months
we are backto June/July and have swapped shops for schools.
we don’t have a total disconnect between govt and people like in the UK, but we need to be careful
Won’t be touching rolling average 5 for quite a while, maybe not this year, and who said we had to have it for 14 days straight? I’ve never heard of that. You might be getting mixed up with a 14 day rolling average which isn’t the same thing as having that average for 14 days in a row.
Victoria is having less daily cases than NSW at the moment.
I think if the number (14-day average) settles at around 10, once mystery cases are near-zero they'll change the rules for re-opening.
Better to be on the cautious side than the reckless side, though.
Summer will really knock this thing on the head.
Already the strains getting around in the northern hemisphere are far less deadly than the initial strains of the virus were. Deaths per confirmed case have plummeted. Nth hemisphere will have an awful winter because they're going to have so many cases, but I'm not sure we'll see more deaths than the first wave which appears to have had a lot more deadly strains, particularly the one which went from Nth Italy to New York.
Lets not argue over something which might not happen. The govt should be allowed to backtrack surely though.
It seems to have stabilised at a 7 day average of 12 ish for 7 days now: were that to continue another seven days, surely thats everything in the target apart from the number (11-12 not 5)
The UKs new lockdowns have in home visits as the centrepiece. It seems a common theme around the world