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List Mgmt. 2026 AFL Draft aka TMH Watch

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For those wondering who TMH is, that is Harry Van Hattum who is currently seen as the likely first available pick after Cochrane and Walker bids.
 
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My early favourite to be pick 1 in 2027, Baxter Sruk is a powerful inside/outside midfielder with running power, classy skills, and the knack of slotting home running goals from outside 50 on his raking left boot.

This was Sruk's Talent League debut, his start to the season significantly delayed due to injury, and you could see that he was shaking off some rust as well as lacking match fitness. He had some wow moments but will be better for the run.

 
My early favourite to be pick 1 in 2027, Baxter Sruk is a powerful inside/outside midfielder with running power, classy skills, and the knack of slotting home running goals from outside 50 on his raking left boot.

This was Sruk's Talent League debut, his start to the season significantly delayed due to injury, and you could see that he was shaking off some rust as well as lacking match fitness. He had some wow moments but will be better for the run.


Terrible commentary.
 
My early favourite to be pick 1 in 2027, Baxter Sruk is a powerful inside/outside midfielder with running power, classy skills, and the knack of slotting home running goals from outside 50 on his raking left boot.

This was Sruk's Talent League debut, his start to the season significantly delayed due to injury, and you could see that he was shaking off some rust as well as lacking match fitness. He had some wow moments but will be better for the run.


been no 1 pick since u 16
 

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My early favourite to be pick 1 in 2027, Baxter Sruk is a powerful inside/outside midfielder with running power, classy skills, and the knack of slotting home running goals from outside 50 on his raking left boot.

This was Sruk's Talent League debut, his start to the season significantly delayed due to injury, and you could see that he was shaking off some rust as well as lacking match fitness. He had some wow moments but will be better for the run.



You think he’s better than Miller?
 
My early favourite to be pick 1 in 2027, Baxter Sruk is a powerful inside/outside midfielder with running power, classy skills, and the knack of slotting home running goals from outside 50 on his raking left boot.

This was Sruk's Talent League debut, his start to the season significantly delayed due to injury, and you could see that he was shaking off some rust as well as lacking match fitness. He had some wow moments but will be better for the run.


Is he eligible for pre listing by the Devils?
 
ESPN May Rankings
1. Dougie Cochrane (Port NGA)
2. TMH
3. Cody Walker (Carlton F/S)
4. Noah Williams
5. Clancy Snell
6. Kodah Edwards
7. Arki Butler
8. Ethan Drever
9. Ethan Herbert
10. Khaled El-Souki (Dogs NGA)

Full List: https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_...-khaled-el-souki-cody-walker-doughie-cochrane

Cream is starting to rise.
Drever looks explosive and compliments what we have. Good size too.
Snell is the biggest need.
THM is still going to be hard to pass on though.
 

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Would be farkin funny if Walker is rated behind Cochrane and HVH come draft time and we still bid on him with pick 1.

I honestly think people forget how good Dougie is. He’s the clear number 1 pick, elite both feet, 196cm, can play KPF, KPD and midfielder with speed and agility.
 
Kodah Edwards continues to be one of the most consistent performers among this year's draft pool. While he hasn't had the dominant performances that others have, every game is an 8/10 and sprinkled with a handful of wow moments that reinforce his AFL level skill set. In this game he pulled down some big marks, crashed through bodies and kicked a long running goal from beyond 60 meters.

 


This is a really interesting thread/tool that Tommy has put together. As it currently stands Port wouldn't be able to match a bid at 1 for Cochrane given their current picks, which would mean we'd get him if we bid at pick 1.

Screenshot 2026-05-13 17.09.54.webp

On the other hand if we bid on Walker, Carlton can match

Screenshot 2026-05-13 17.11.37.webp
 

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Latest Wooden spoon odds:-

Richmond $1.83 (approx 55% chance)
Essendon $3.60 (approx 27% chance)
West Coast $5.00 (approx 20% chance)
Carlton $8.00 (approx 11% chance)

Current picks
Pick 1 - Richmond
Pick 2 - Essendon
Pick 3 - Carlton
Pick 4 - West Coast
Pick 5 - Port
Pick 6 - GWS
Pick 7 - Norf
Pick 8 - StKilda
Pick 9 - Collingwood
Pick 10 - Bulldogs
------------
Pick 11 - Adelaide
Pick 12 - Melbourne
Pick 13 - Melbourne
Pick 14 - Geelong
Pick 15 - Brisbane
Pick 16 - Hawthorn
Pick 17 - Fremantle
Pick 18 - Carlton
RD2
Pick 19 - Richmond
Pick 20 - Essendon
Pick 21 - Port Adelaide
Pick 22 - West Coast
Pick 23 - Port Adelaide
Pick 24 - Hawthorn
Pick 25 - Carlton
Pick 26 - Hawthorn
Pick 27 - Collingwood
Pick 28 - Bulldogs
Pick 29 - Adelaide
Pick 30 - GWS
 
If Richmond bid on Walker at Cochrane in that order, and both match using points and picks, and other NGAs F/sns match I think the top 30 looks roughly like the following, as an example:-

Pick 1 - Carlton (lose pick 3 and 18).
Pick 2 - Port (lose pick 5 and 23)
Pick 3 - Richmond
Pick 4 - Essendon
Pick 5 - West Coast
Pick 6 - GWS
Pick 7 - Norf
Pick 8 - StKilda
Pick 9 - Bulldogs Match El Souki, lose picks 10 and 30
Pick 10 - Collingwood
------------
Pick 11 - Adelaide
Pick 12 - Fremantle (match Robinson, lose picks 17 and a pick after 30)
Pick 13 - Melbourne
Pick 14 - Melbourne
Pick 15 - Geelong
Pick 16 - Brisbane
Pick 17 - Hawthorn
2nd round
Pick 18 - Richmond
Pick 19 - Richmond (Priority top 5 compo)
Pick 20 - Essendon
Pick 21 - Essendon (Priority top 5 compo)
Pick 22 - West Coast
Pick 22 - West Coast (Priority top 5 compo - match bid on Kehn lose 25).
Pick 23 - Essendon - take Justice.
Pick 24 Carlton
Pick 25 - Port Adelaide
Pick 26 - West Coast
Pick 27 - Carlton
Pick 28 - Hawthorn
Pick 29 - Collingwood
Pick 30 - Bulldogs

Richmonds picks before bid matching:-
1, 19, 37, 55, 73

Richmonds after matching:-
3, 18, 19 (with last three staying relatively the same).

I think the points and picks are accurate, including discounts and loading.

Didn't include bids and matching for McCartney as he hasn't decided on Syd or Nth IIRC.
 
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I honestly think people forget how good Dougie is. He’s the clear number 1 pick, elite both feet, 196cm, can play KPF, KPD and midfielder with speed and agility.

If Richmond bid on Walker at Cochrane in that order, and both match using points and picks, and other NGAs F/sns match I think the top 30 looks roughly like the following, as an example:-

Pick 1 - Carlton (lose pick 3 and 25).
Pick 2 - Port (lose pick 5 and 23)
Pick 3 - Richmond
Pick 4 - Essendon
Pick 5 - West Coast
Pick 6 - GWS
Pick 7 - Norf
Pick 8 - StKilda
Pick 9 - Bulldogs Match El Souki, lose picks 10 and 30
Pick 10 - Collingwood
------------
Pick 11 - Adelaide
Pick 12 - Fremantle (match Robinson, lose picks 17 and a pick after 30)
Pick 13 - Melbourne
Pick 14 - Melbourne
Pick 15 - Geelong
Pick 16 - Brisbane
Pick 17 - Hawthorn
Pick 18 - Carlton
Pick 19 - Richmond (Priority top 5 compo)
Pick 20 - Essendon (Priority top 5 compo)
Pick 21 - West Coast (Priority top 5 compo)

RD2
Pick 22 - Richmond
Pick 23- West Coast (match bid on Kehn lose 25).
Pick 24 - Essendon - take Justice.
Pick 25 - Port Adelaide
Pick 26 - West Coast
Pick 27 - Carlton
Pick 28 - Hawthorn
Pick 29 - Collingwood
Pick 30 - Bulldogs

Richmonds picks before bid matching:-
1, 19, 37, 55, 73

Richmonds after matching:-
3, 19, 22, (with last three staying relatively the same).

I think the points and picks are accurate, including discounts and loading.

Didn't include bids and matching for McCartney as he hasn't decided on Syd or Nth IIRC.
Correct me if I'm wrong but doesn't the compo pick come directly after your 2nd rounder?
 
If Richmond bid on Walker at Cochrane in that order, and both match using points and picks, and other NGAs F/sns match I think the top 30 looks roughly like the following, as an example:-

Pick 1 - Carlton (lose pick 3 and 25).
Pick 2 - Port (lose pick 5 and 23)
Pick 3 - Richmond
Pick 4 - Essendon
Pick 5 - West Coast
Pick 6 - GWS
Pick 7 - Norf
Pick 8 - StKilda
Pick 9 - Bulldogs Match El Souki, lose picks 10 and 30
Pick 10 - Collingwood
------------
Pick 11 - Adelaide
Pick 12 - Fremantle (match Robinson, lose picks 17 and a pick after 30)
Pick 13 - Melbourne
Pick 14 - Melbourne
Pick 15 - Geelong
Pick 16 - Brisbane
Pick 17 - Hawthorn
Pick 18 - Carlton
Pick 19 - Richmond (Priority top 5 compo)
Pick 20 - Essendon (Priority top 5 compo)
Pick 21 - West Coast (Priority top 5 compo)

RD2
Pick 22 - Richmond
Pick 23- West Coast (match bid on Kehn lose 25).
Pick 24 - Essendon - take Justice.
Pick 25 - Port Adelaide
Pick 26 - West Coast
Pick 27 - Carlton
Pick 28 - Hawthorn
Pick 29 - Collingwood
Pick 30 - Bulldogs

Richmonds picks before bid matching:-
1, 19, 37, 55, 73

Richmonds after matching:-
3, 19, 22, (with last three staying relatively the same).

I think the points and picks are accurate, including discounts and loading.

Didn't include bids and matching for McCartney as he hasn't decided on Syd or Nth IIRC.
Jesus if you bid on Kenh at 22 you can have him!
 

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