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they’ve moved away from allocating preferences based on the last election due the the increase in vote for the micro parties, I’d say they’re being cautious.

Pete Evans

They’re not attracting greens voters though, greens have stabilised at 10% and they don’t identify with labor, their preferences will still flow to labor on the most part. They might pull some votes from ON, but on the whole it’s the blue collar workers they need to get back, the “Howard’s...

The reason I think Albo should be the leader is that he hates the greens. One problem labor has is that it’s perceived as being in defacto coalition with the greens. If he can break that, then it’s one step towards rehabilitation.

I think they’re going to try and inflate the housing market. APRA have loosened loan requirements on the banks, the reserve bank has signalled that they’re going to lower rates and requested that the government provide stimulus. Housing approval is down 30%, if they don’t encourage investment...

Yea trumps broken with the liberal economic consensus, there are similarities but differences to. Here both majors are onboard with the economic consensus, I think the issue is simpler, household debt at record highs, credit growth at a 25year low and stagnant wages. Basically household...

The greens target demographic is middle class professionals, traditionally this demographic hasn’t identified strongly with labor, they’ve tended to swing around a bit. Labor has moved closer to the greens on issues with the view to absorbing their primary votes, it hasn’t happened they don’t...

Unions and the alp collaborated with business to set in place reforms that ultimately offshored jobs and reduced pay for the remaining factory jobs, it has damaged both of them in respect to workers trusting them.

Unions were damaged by the accords of the 80’s, if their not improving pay and conditions what’s the point.

To workers climate change policy = economic reform, and economic reform = job losses and reduced pay and conditions. Labor lost blue collar workers by the start of the 90’s, the economic reforms of the 80’s benefited factory owners who offshored operations taking advantage of 3rd world wages...

I was pointing out the strategy, weather it works or not, well the proof is in the eating.

Could’ve been worse, like in 87 when James? Fairfax intervened and they pulled their endorsement from print.

Kevin Bonham has commented on this, suspicious of poll herding, he says that with random polling statistically around 1/3 should be outside the margin of error, but there’s been something like 17 consecutive polls within one percent of each other.

John Hewson on the business On Morrison: he’s basically an advertising man, he has plenty of slogans, ask him a question and you’ll get a slogan, don’t bother asking him a follow up question on details because there isn’t any. Seem Keating isn’t the only one with venom

Just an excuse to hit the early openers

Last November wasn’t it?

I’ve been one that advocates scrapping htv cards, Kevin Bonham raised an interesting point that I haven’t considered, htv cards are away of managing the informal vote among those with low literacy

I think htv cards are are no longer required. In the past minor parties had difficulty getting their message across, htv from the majors helped inform which minors were more closely aligned with their positions. Things have changed though, with the internet anyone can research the minors if...

Keating was in melbourne today, his comments today were calculated to hopefully flush Dutton out, if his name is in the news it’s good for the alp in Vic. Morrison was smart enough to see this and brushed questions aside. Dutton on the other hand, to use another Keating line, is the salmon...

Depends on the result, if it’s close I think Morrison will stay on, he’s only been there 5 mins and there would be difficulties getting the moderates and conservatives to agree on another candidate. If it’s a drubbing then all bets are off.

Generally with ON around 52-3% go lnp, Newspoll is assuming a higher rate of 60% based on WA state election

They have ON polling 4% in Vic when they are only running in 5 seats

Well there goes that theory

Too many view the Chinese and even asians in general as homogeneous. I expect box hill to break liberal, high portion from Hong Kong, but the areas of Blackburn south, Burwood east are more from mainland China , and also Vietnamese, and Malay, they broke labor at the state election. Gladys...

No not easy, but I heard that the lib candidate had brought in money but that it’s being spent in Kooyong much to the disappointment of the candidate.

Kooyong will cost them Chisholm, they’ve diverted resources.

It’s a bastardisation of Hawkes 87 pitch

Yep. Trying to manufacture a me too moment via a pot of gold.

It’s related to the Cash allegations that she couldn’t back up.

I should have captioned it “where the bloody hell are you”.