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2006 Brownlow Medal - Armchair Guide

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Jeremias said:
Lonie, what do you think of this multi?

Power-most votes for Lions @ $3.65
Bell-head to head with Pavlich @ $2.00
Josh Carr-most votes for Freo @ $9.00

If i chuck $20 on that, I get ticket value of $1314

Do you think its worth it?
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Well, considering I am strongly going on this Guide, it will seem a wasted $20 considering Brown polled 15 (forward or not) and Power only 6. Bell's a smokey, however he polled 8 to Pavlich 10, and Josh Carr is good value considering he polled the most votes on here.

Personally I wouldn't go on it, with a $20. $5 will win you $300 odd. However, it is just my opinion.
 
Warwick said:
For a four-legged multi, they are terrible odds.

If anyone wins on a multi tonight with over 5 legs (let alone 10) i would be very surprised. TAB etc make an absolute killing on bets like those. The odds of that happening are astronomical.
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From what I have seen on here, $5-$20 are being chucked on, so it won't hurt too much. Well, only 8 hours to go to find out i guess.
 

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Lonie_from_50 said:
The bets put on him during the year were big to make him feel like he had a superior year. He probably had his best season, but others around him did also. He polled still several votes (9 to be exact), but his best games for memory were in losing sides, which were indicative of his votes given.
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2005 Brownlow Medal Armchair Guide Leaderboard
24 - B Cousins (WC)
20 - B Hall (Sy)
18 - S Goodwin (A) M Pavlich (F) S West (WB)
17 - L Hodge (H) W Tredrea (PA) S Tuck (R)
16 - T Johnstone (M)
15 - J Brown (BL) B Harvey (K) K Cornes (PA)
14 - L Ball (St) C Judd* (WC)
13 - M Ricciuto* (A) N Dal Santo (St)
12 - J Akermanis (BL) C Bruce (M) C Cornes (PA) L Hayes (St) D Cox (WC)
11 - P Licuria (Co) G Archer (K) M Richardson (R) A Embley (WC)
10 - S Thompson (A) L Power (BL) S Lucas (E) N Brown (R) J Koschitzke (St) C Fletcher (WC)

Interesting to note that the actual results were Goodwin didnt figure in the Top 10, yet Edwards did who didnt even make this leaderboard. I just think Edwards stands out a lot more than Goodwin. He is easily recognisable if you know what I mean.

For a similar reason I think if I was going to do a multibet Id put Brent Harvey in front of Thompson. Forwards might kick 6 goals and only get 1 vote. Just the way it is.
 
Lonie_from_50 said:
From what I have seen on here, $5-$20 are being chucked on, so it won't hurt too much. Well, only 8 hours to go to find out i guess.
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I know. :p And it is a bit of fun - i'm just about to go down to my local to put my hard-earnt on a few different things.

I just wouldn't be dreaming of a holiday home in Italy on a 10-legged multi, particularly on the opinions of umpires.
 
I made 5 bets
Chris Judd to win
Chris Judd finsh in Top 5
Brad JOhnson finsh Top 5
Cameron Bruce most votes for melb
Matt Richardson most votes for ric

u think they will win
 
Gavin31z said:
I made 5 bets
Chris Judd to win
Chris Judd finsh in Top 5
Brad JOhnson finsh Top 5
Cameron Bruce most votes for melb
Matt Richardson most votes for ric

u think they will win
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Judd a strong chance to win, but Goodes should win it, therefore, there will be some value in Judd winning. Johnson should finish top 5 as will Judd. Bruce and Richo were leading vote getters in this guide for their clubs, however, they each beat a teammate by one vote, and each had two or more teammates within a best on ground effort from them, hence, the discussion on club votes multi-bets, discarding both Richmond and Melbourne bets as they seem much more risky than others, who are more suitable as certainties.
 
Lonie_from_50 said:
What was the market price on each. Then we can tell you ;)

Easy to work out. You got your wagering on the receipt, so you will see the return. If West was at 13:1 you will win $26 etc.
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hey hey i m having dinner tonight
 
Hey guys, just a warning. I had worked out my multi's on the TAB site, just went down then and it wouldn't allow all of them through, so my bets that I put on aren't as attractive in the odds department as quoted on the TAB site.

Is strange as the site allowed them all.
 

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bobby_diggy said:
Do you mean $$ limit, or events limit?

If it is events it is between 2 & 10. Not sure about the $$ limit.
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Nah, you said you couldn't put them all through, so i figured it was less than 10 bets (what I am working on for big money from a minimum bet.)
 
Is it possible to put some money on Goodes winning the brownlow, premiership and the Norm smith medal.
 

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the multi's that dont work are when different categories are combined eg cox to win group d and brown to top brisbane. bets cant exceed $5000 as well.
 
Yeah i did a multi with most club votes as well as H-2-H and didn't let me, so yeah.

Put a multi on Goodwin, Brown, Fevola, Carr, Thompson, Burgoyne and Goodes to top clubs at a 230:1 return.
 
In my eyes, West and Johnson in the same team would've have done them any good. ('Stealing' votes)
And thats the same with Goodwin with Edwards and McLeod also having good years.
To a certain extent, its the same with Cousins and Judd, you can even include Cox, because of his early season form.
So I would probably have to say that Goodes is looking the goods. lol

My smokey would be Dane Swan, as I put money on him at the start of the year lol and Collingwood also did win a fair few games so he should poll some votes.
 
VOTES TOTAL VOTES TOTAL
Adelaide Kangaroos
G S.Goodwin G N.Thompson
S T.Edwards S D.Harris
B A.McLeod B B.Harvey
Brisbane Melbourne
G J.Brown G C.Bruce
S S.Black S T.Johnstone
B L.Power B B.McLean
Carlton Port Adelaide
G B.Fevola G S.Burgoyne
S L.Whitnall S C.Cornes
B H.Scotland B B.Lade
Collingwood Richmond
G N.Buckley G T.Simmonds
S A.Didak S M.Richardson
B B.Johnson B J.Bowden
Essendon St.Kilda
G S.Lucas G N.Dal Santo
S J.Johnson S N.Riewoldt
B J.Hird B L.Hayes
Fremantle Sydney
G P.Bell G A.Goodes
S M.Pavlich S J.Bolton
B J.Carr B R.O'Keefe
Geelong W.C
G P.Chapman G C.Judd
S G.Ablett Jnr S D.Kerr
B J.Corey B B.Cousins
Hawthorn W.B
G S.Mitchell G S.West
S L.Hodge S B.Johnson
B S.Crawford B A.Cooney
TOTAL TOTAL


Thoughts???
 

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2006 Brownlow Medal - Armchair Guide

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