2010 Flag Odds

[SugarShane]

When does the draw for next year come out?

I'll give you a sneak peek, Crows to play St Kilda, Geelong, Collingwood twice, and Richmond and Melbourne once.

 

[birdmanptr]

AFL Season · 2010 - Centrebet

I believe we should be expecting a prelim next year, and with the right draw we could evern finish top 2 at the end of the minor round, making the elusive GF appearance easier

GEELONG 4.00
ST KILDA 4.00
WESTERN BULLDOGS 6.50
ADELAIDE 8.00
HAWTHORN 12.00
CARLTON 14.00
COLLINGWOOD 14.00
BRISBANE 21.00
ESSENDON 26.00
PORT ADELAIDE 34.00
SYDNEY 41.00
WEST COAST 51.00
FREMANTLE 67.00
NORTH MELBOURNE 67.00
RICHMOND 67.00
MELBOURNE 81.00

SEN had some one on their today from Luxbet some people have already had a dip at the Dogs Bookies must love teams like the Dogs.Also had a go at the Saints using the Cats 08 09 theory i would say but some of those odds are tight as.

Freo,Richmond and Melb those odds could double up as odds to make the 8 let alone the flag.

On the other hand the Cats are pretty good odds 4.00 in a field of 6 when you really get into it.

 

[arrowman]

When does the draw for next year come out?

I think last year it was October 24.

 

[arrowman]

Arrowman's gut tells him...

GEELONG 4.00
ST KILDA 4.00
Both pretty much "well, duh" odds at this stage. However I think there's a fair chance that one of those two will drop away just a bit. Would like odds that these two will not be the top 2 in 2010.

WESTERN BULLDOGS 6.50
Too short, IMHO. I like the Doggies but I think they're still short of the mark (even with BBBBH on board) Doggies and Collingwood are IMO vulnerable next year and there's 1 or 2 top 4 spots for the taking (by us)

ADELAIDE 8.00
Fair odds. We should be looking to take a top 4 spot from one of the current incumbents.

HAWTHORN 12.00
Possibly the best value. Along with Adelaide, IMO a challenger for top 4. If they don't (go top 4 or at least close) questions will be asked.

Top 4 will come from Cats, Saints, Crows, Hawks and Dogs.

CARLTON 14.00
Meh. Too many missing pieces. To finish 5-8.

COLLINGWOOD 14.00
Many would wonder why the Pies are so long. I don't. They have some good young talent on the rise and in theory they should improve next year. But - I can't offer a reasoned explanation off the top of my head, I just think their playing list, their coach and their game plan (whatever it is) are overrated. Will finish 5-8.

After this it's all speciulative. Probably not a bad ladder prediction but "Premiership odds" is a case of "fools and their money".

Most years there's a bottom 8 team that rises into the top 8 and even goes deeper into the finals. I just can't see where that team is going to come from in 2010. Oh, apart from Hawthorn. West Coast I suppose, Essendon are vulnerable. North Melbourne my smokey for the 8.

BRISBANE 21.00
ESSENDON 26.00
PORT ADELAIDE 34.00
SYDNEY 41.00
WEST COAST 51.00
FREMANTLE 67.00
NORTH MELBOURNE 67.00
RICHMOND 67.00
MELBOURNE 81.00

 

[juvenile]

I think we could be the dark horse of the competition next year. I love our current midfield group, our forward line is starting to look really potent and NC had us playing terrific footy at the end of last year. Just like the Saints in 2008, we finished the year really strongly but unfortunately weren't able to bring it home in the finals.

To other teams now, i think the Dogs will be about alongside us. I think they have a really quality midfield (Underrated slightly i reckon) which i rate as being almost as good as both the Cats and Saints'. For some reason, my gut is saying that i just can't see the Hawks or Pies really challenging next year (5-7 their range), i rate both teams but i don't think either have any real 23-26 year olds that will break out next year and therefore, i think their minimal improvement will come from new recruits and 19-22 year olds improving slightly.........i just can't see either really making a huge statement.

My really early ladder prediction
1. Saints
2. Dogs
3. Cats
4. Crows

I expect all 4 to be in really tight competition with eachother. I'm guessing we will be slightly behind the top 3 but i really rate our list at the moment

5. Hawks
6. Blues
7. Pies
8. Kangas

Really going for a 'diamond in the rough' team in North Melbourne. I really rate their young talent and they had quite a few injuries this season to key players. They really need a working forward line though, if they don't get that then i predict they'll be bottom 6. Can't see Blues improving too much to be honest, they need to get a stronger back 6 before i really rate them a real top 4 chance. We'll see if the Everitt deal comes through and how he goes.

9. Lions
10. Eagles
11. Swans
12. Bombers

Eagles seem like their on the move but i just can't see them being top 8 next year, 2011 probably. Lions i think will slip, i don't really rate many on their list in the 22-26 age bracket and don't know enough about their 2nd and 3rd year players. Now Swans, i think they have some absolute gem young players that have flown under the radar abit, i think they will really blossom in the next few years but at this stage i don't think they have enough real guns to make a real move. I reckon top 4 in 3 or 4 year for them though. Bombers, i reckon they might be in the wilderness for two years or even three before making a move in 2012/13. with lloyd & Lucas gone and Fletch to go soon, i can't see them up there in the next few years but i do rate their list.

13. Dockers
14. Dees
15. Power
16. Tigers

I rate both Dees and Dockers young prospects but not as much PA or Richmond. I might be a bit bias but i don't see the Power going forward in the next few years. i rate 'some' Tigers young players but i don't think they have the depth of young prospects required to go anywhere in the next few years.

Juvenile

 

[Stiffy_18]

If Carlton end up actually trading Fevola and not getting a key forward in return, they will not make the 8 next year. Bookmark it!

Take Fevola out of that forward line and its shithouse!

 

[juvenile]

If Carlton end up actually trading Fevola and not getting a key forward in return, they will not make the 8 next year. Bookmark it!

Take Fevola out of that forward line and its shithouse!

Agree completely. I think Carlton will want an 'established' or 'semi-established' forward for Fevola rather than youth.....they'll probably want both though.

 

[sbenno]

Agree completely. I think Carlton will want an 'established' or 'semi-established' forward for Fevola rather than youth.....they'll probably want both though.

And as Adelaide fans, we know how difficult they are to get.

 

[birdmanptr]

AFL Season · 2010 - Centrebet

I believe we should be expecting a prelim next year, and with the right draw we could evern finish top 2 at the end of the minor round, making the elusive GF appearance easier

GEELONG 4.00
ST KILDA 4.00
WESTERN BULLDOGS 6.50
ADELAIDE 8.00
HAWTHORN 12.00
CARLTON 14.00
COLLINGWOOD 14.00
BRISBANE 21.00
ESSENDON 26.00
PORT ADELAIDE 34.00
SYDNEY 41.00
WEST COAST 51.00
FREMANTLE 67.00
NORTH MELBOURNE 67.00
RICHMOND 67.00
MELBOURNE 81.00

Carlton still 15.00 with most agencies. Fev aint going no where a bluff at its best.At the end of trade week Carlton will put their hands up and say could not get a trade and Fev gets the lesson of his life

 

[adelaide_40]

If Carlton end up actually trading Fevola and not getting a key forward in return, they will not make the 8 next year. Bookmark it!

Take Fevola out of that forward line and its shithouse!

Agree. Fev is probably there most important player, They will struggle enourmously without him.

 

[relapse]

Carlton still 15.00 with most agencies. Fev aint going no where a bluff at its best.At the end of trade week Carlton will put their hands up and say could not get a trade and Fev gets the lesson of his life

I agree 100 %

Fev will still be at Carlton after trade week.

 

[andon]

Adelaide are a top 4 team no doubt at all, capable of pretty well anything on the day.

The draw and injuries are influental, but from where I sit I would rank them 3rd below Geelong, St Kilda and within striking range of either on the day.

Surprised they got the jitters and lost to Collingwood this year, next year they will be even stronger and more experienced.

Hawthorn and West Coast will be the other two that will make the 8.

Hope we dont have to go to Adelaide again..............96 points...ouch''