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2011 Emirates Melbourne Cup......nominations

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the good maggot said:
Ive been through Racing Victorias Melb Cup conditions doc and yesterdays run does qualify Bauer under the Melb Cup conditions. It puts him into the position in the pecking order where Seth listed him earlier. Still well down the order...
Click to expand...
Yeah, I just found the page then, he passed the first (and really only) ballot clause by placing yesterday.

Still needs a ton of luck to get in the field, but he is eligible now, but I still say the committee will have to use it's discretionary powers to get him in, I can't see him being in the top 30, let alone the top 24 by Tuesday week.
 
VRC changed the discretionary powers for the 150th Cup last year.
They cant elevate a horse out of balloting order so that wont help Bauer unless he's number 25.

seth
 
As it stands right now, Bauer is number 41 in the order of entry.

However, with a number of queries above him, it is still possible that he will attempt to avenge his second placing in 2008 and his late scratching last year.

Here is the current Melbourne Cup picture following the Geelong Cup:

1. Jukebox Jury
2. Americain
3. Descarado
4. Lion Tamer
5. Shamrocker
6. Midas Touch
7. Mighty High
Absolutely (gone for a spell)
8. Manighar – Damien Oliver
Dreamaway (aiming at other races)
9. Glass Harmonium (query)
10. Unusual Suspect
11. Drunken Sailor
12. Dunaden (awaiting penalty)
Linton (unlikely runner)
13. Precedence (query)
14. Mourayan (query)
Alcopop (out for spring)
Herculian Prince (gone for a spell)
15. Red Cadeaux
16. Fox Hunt
17. Lucas Cranach
18. Hawk Island (query)
Pinker Pinker (aimed at other races)
Illustrious Blue (not going well enough)
19. Lost In The Moment
20. Illo
21. Modun
22. At First Sight (query)
Stand to Gain (hasn’t come up and likely to spell)
23. Booming
24. Older Than Time (query)
==============
Tactic
Sahara Sun
Tullamore
The Verminator
December Draw
Praecido
Master O’Reilly
Moyenne Corniche
Bauer


Going on the above from andrewhawkinsracing website, I have a little more hope.
 
John Cena said:
As it stands right now, Bauer is number 41 in the order of entry.

However, with a number of queries above him, it is still possible that he will attempt to avenge his second placing in 2008 and his late scratching last year.

Here is the current Melbourne Cup picture following the Geelong Cup:

1. Jukebox Jury
2. Americain
3. Descarado
4. Lion Tamer
5. Shamrocker
6. Midas Touch
7. Mighty High
Absolutely (gone for a spell)
8. Manighar – Damien Oliver
Dreamaway (aiming at other races)
9. Glass Harmonium (query)
10. Unusual Suspect
11. Drunken Sailor
12. Dunaden (awaiting penalty)
Linton (unlikely runner)
13. Precedence (query)
14. Mourayan (query)
Alcopop (out for spring)
Herculian Prince (gone for a spell)
15. Red Cadeaux
16. Fox Hunt
17. Lucas Cranach
18. Hawk Island (query)
Pinker Pinker (aimed at other races)
Illustrious Blue (not going well enough)
19. Lost In The Moment
20. Illo
21. Modun
22. At First Sight (query)
Stand to Gain (hasn’t come up and likely to spell)
23. Booming
24. Older Than Time (query)
==============
Tactic
Sahara Sun
Tullamore
The Verminator
December Draw
Praecido
Master O’Reilly
Moyenne Corniche
Bauer


Going on the above from andrewhawkinsracing website, I have a little more hope.
Click to expand...
Got .5 of a kilo now to carry 54.5 same as american last year.
 

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Descarado confirmed out.

Master O is retired.

December Draw confirmed out.

Praecido unlikely.

Hawk Island definitely running.

If Lion Tamer of Glass Harmonium struggle in the Cox I'd doubt they'll run.

Will get perilously close to getting in I think but get the feeling it will do a Richmond.
 
Short of a disaster,Lion Tamer is a certainty to run,MC has been his aim from day 1
2nd acceptances are Monday at midday so that will clarify a few doubtfuls

seth
 
Seth.... tell me... do any under the table deals go on at this time of year?? Say a horse e.g. Master O Rielly (no hope) qualifies as the 24th horse... and Bauer is 25th.... do the connections approach and offer $$ for them to withdraw there horse...???
 
If a horse is completely out of form,the VRC may elevate the next in line.

Dont really know but I do remember a few years ago there was talk about connections of a horse who was outside the C Cup 18 buying one of the horses in the field so they could scratch.
Cant remember the horse,may have been Count Chivas who was in the field but really struggling.....didnt happen but offers were apparently made

seth
 
So Americain is back, clear fave & rightly so.
He has acceleration that sets him apart,even with 58kg


A few will meet him better at the weights but theyll need every kilo
Illo was good but he looks one paced.
Tullamore may still need to win the Lexus & couldnt possibly win on that run

seth
 

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John Cena said:
Seth... How does Bauer stand after today's races?? I think he's a big step closer now
Click to expand...

He is still relying on few to drop out, have a feeling MRC will use their discretion powers and promote him.
 
John Cena said:
Seth... How does Bauer stand after today's races?? I think he's a big step closer now
Click to expand...

Only change from today is that Lion Tamer wont be there so every horse moves up 1 spot.
Americain & Illo already in,placing doesnt really help Tullamore although Ive got him 24th & Bauer 28th.

There must be a doubt on Glass Harmonium after today but the Lexus winner will go straight in so Bauer still needs some natural attrition by my count.

Heres the latest OOE updated after Geelong

http://www.racingvictoria.net.au/as...es Melbourne Cup Elimination Order 201011.pdf

seth
 
Godolphin have decided on their MC riders.

Kerrin will ride Modun & William Buick will ride Lost In The Moment so no Frankie this year.
Buick is a young guy who from memory is John Gosden's stable hoop.
Quick look shows at 22 hes already won a St Leger & Arlington Million in the US

No surprise here for me,Modun hasnt run for Godolphin so no prior connection
Buick rode LITM when he just missed in the Goodwood Cup over 3200m

seth
 
More jockey news:

Luke Nolen has jumped off Illo & onto Shamrocker???

De Sousa is staying in the UK so a local jock will ride Fox Hunt
Oh the irony if a local wins on one of Mark Johnstons.

seth
 

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This is how it stands with Bendigo Cup & Lexus still to come:

1. Jukebox Jury
2. Americain
3. Shamrocker
4. Midas Touch
5. Manighar
6. Glass Harmonium (doubt)
7. Unusual Suspect
8. Drunken Sailor
9. Dunaden
10. Linton (doubt)
11. Precedence
12. Mourayan
13.Red Cadeaux
14. Fox Hunt
15.Lucas Cranach
16.Hawk Island
17. Lost In The Moment
18. Illo
19.Modun
20.At First Sight (Bendigo cup wed)
21. Booming
22. Older Than Time
23. Sahara Sun (Bendigo cup wed)
24.Tullamore
==============
The Verminator
Moyenne Corniche
Saptapadi
Bauer
Exceptionally
Shewan
Ironstein
Lamasery
Niwot
Above Average
Hissing Sid
Green Moon
Spechenka
Showcause

seth
 
Green Moon will be in the Lexus,has to win to get in the Cup

The 2 Godolphin horses may be a bit light for Frankie,not sure he rides 53 without a lot of wasting

seth
 

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2011 Emirates Melbourne Cup......nominations

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