AFL 2022 AFL Finals - Week 3

[burge13]

Cats are 1 and 5 from their past 6 prelims under Scott.

Here's hoping to 1 and 6 then. I cannot stand that campaigner

 

[GROTTO]

Cameron 2 - 5 @2.24, 4.70, 15.29, 48

Fun Facts with Grotto

Since the PF vs Cats, these are the goals that CC has scored in games vs the Cats

Charlie Cameron in 2017 PF vs Cats kicked 5.1

5.2
1.2
2.0
2.1
3.3
2.0

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Geelong's record at the MCG this year:

Rd 1 vs Ess Won by 66 points

Rd 3 vs Coll Won by 13 points (down by three goals at 3/4 time)

Rd 5 vs Haw Lost by 12 points (up by two goals at 3/4 time)

Rd 15 vs Rich Won by 3 points (down by 5 points at 3/4 time)

Rd 18 vs Carl Won by 30 points

QF vs Coll Won by 6 points (down by 7 points at 3/4 time)


---

That's 5/6, but in three of those four wins they were down at 3/4 time.

Could just be one of those quirky coincidences, or maybe there is something to this.

---

Brisbane's record at the MCG this year:

Rd 15 vs Melbourne Lost by 64 points

Rd 20 vs Richmond Lost by 7 points (up by 11 points at 3/4 time)

SF vs Mel Won by 13 points (scores level at 3/4 time)

1/3, small sample size but they also seem to either have blowouts or topsy / turvy arm wrestles.

 

[_ASP3X]

B365 Bet Boost:

J Cameron AGS @ $2.00 (my max bet was $40)

T Stewart 20+
J Selwood 20+
M Duncan 20+
Z Tuohy 20+
@ $4

 

[toenail11]

Hawkins 2
Daniher 2
C Cameron 2
J Cameron 2
@9

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Is it just me or are these odds putrid?

 

[NYRB]

Since the introduction of the pre finals bye, the teams who have earned the week off (effectively playing one game in 28 days):

2016:
Geelong lost to Sydney
GWS lost to Bulldogs

2017:
Adelaide beat Geelong
Richmond beat GWS

2018:
Richmond lost to Collingwood
WCE beat Melbourne

2019:
Collingwood lost to GWS
Richmond beat Geelong

2020:
Port lost to Richmond
Brisbane lost to Geelong

2021:
Melbourne beat Geelong
Port lost to Bulldogs


Teams who have earned the SF week off have only won 5/12 matches.

This changes things for me. Geelong and Sydney look good on paper but only once (2017) have both favourites won their PF matchup.

Ive said this before but having the week off is not as big as an advantage as it used to be.


Swans and Cats start favourite but it wont surprise me if either loses this weekend.

Im pretty sure the stats from 1994-2010, it was a pretty strong record for teams with the week off who advanced to the Grand Final.

 

[offtherails9]

SB has Brisbane H2H suspended?

 

[burge13]

Fun Facts with Grotto

Since the PF vs Cats, these are the goals that CC has scored in games vs the Cats

Charlie Cameron in 2017 PF vs Cats kicked 5.1

5.2
1.2
2.0
2.1
3.3
2.0

Surely meant Jeremy?

 

[burge13]

Is it just me or are these odds putrid?

View attachment 1509671


View attachment 1509672

People need to stop betting with them. Its the only way itll improve. Theyre getting worse too

 

[offtherails9]

People need to stop betting with them. Its the only way itll improve. Theyre getting worse too

It won't happen though. It's the same model as places like Uber/Uber Eats. Suck people in with cheaper prices, or in SBs case good odds, let people have a few wins, then that makes them think they'll be able to keep doing that forever when in fact it's so much harder now.

2020 I won a 4 or 5 SGMs paying pretty big odds, usually $20+ at least. This year I have done one every Friday night for the whole year, and never really been close. I find that I'm still looking for those $20+ odds (usually more) but now I have to select absolute crap that won't happen to get those odds.

 

[GROTTO]

Surely meant Jeremy?

Thats Charlie Cameron's goals scored v Cats since 2017.

 

[BloodRet]

Pointsbet have better sgm prices than Sportsbet for nearly every one you try. Usually considerably better, especially the $20+ ones. Sportsbet are scum of the earth

 

[NYRB]

My AFL prelim finals goals multis

Hipwood 2+ Goals, Sam Reid

20

Sam Reid

Age

33

Ht

196cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.3

3star

K

6.3

2star

HB

5.0

4star

M

4.7

4star

T

2.2

4star

G

1.1

4star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

0.0

1star

G

1.0

4star

D

9.4

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.0

3star

M

4.4

4star

T

1.8

4star

G

0.4

3star

2+ Goals @ 8.75 (TopSport Boosted)

Hipwood 3+ Goals, Sam Reid

20

Sam Reid

Age

33

Ht

196cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.3

3star

K

6.3

2star

HB

5.0

4star

M

4.7

4star

T

2.2

4star

G

1.1

4star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

0.0

1star

G

1.0

4star

D

9.4

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.0

3star

M

4.4

4star

T

1.8

4star

G

0.4

3star

3+ Goals @ 55.68

 

[NYRB]

Pointsbet have better sgm prices than Sportsbet for nearly every one you try. Usually considerably better, especially the $20+ ones. Sportsbet are scum of the earth

I found TopSport alright with Goalscorer Same Game multis.

 

[_ASP3X]

C Cameron 2+
Daniher
McCarthy
Rohan
Close
J Cameron
Hawkins
@ $11 (B365)

McCarthy
Close
Rohan
@ $4.25 (B365)

Hawkins
J Cameron
C Cameron
Daniher
@ $2.10 (B365)

 

[_ASP3X]

Hawkins 2
Daniher 2
C Cameron 2
J Cameron 2
@9

Tailed on PB for the $25 free hit at $12

Dangerfield
Neale
C Cameron
@ $7 (SB $50 free hit)

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Is it just me or are these odds putrid?

View attachment 1509671


View attachment 1509672

Line up SBs odds against Lads or TopSport and compare. They're often close to half the price. It's a disgrace.

 

[GROTTO]

Line up SBs odds against Lads or TopSport and compare. They're often close to half the price. It's a disgrace.

TAB is even worse. I dont even bother to check their odds.

 

[GROTTO]

McCarthy 2,3 @4.10, 14

McStay 2,3 @4.70, 17

Close 2,3 @3.80, 12

Stengle 2-5 @1.85, 3.60, 8.50, 23

Cameron 2 - 5 @2.24, 4.70, 15.29, 48

Close, Stengle CC and hopefully Rohan has been getting into more physio this week as Im on him.

 

[bulletride]

C.Cameron 2+
Stengle 2+
Close
Bailey
Rayner
Miers
$71.38 PB free hit

J.Cameron 3+
Hawkins 2+
Daniher 2+
McCarthy
$10.75 SB free hit

Berry 25+/30+ $5.50/$26 TAB - After 22 in a half last week surely he plays 100% midfield again.

 

[GROTTO]

10 MIN WARNING TO GO FOR THE PENULTIMATE ROUND IN 2022.

 

[GROTTO]

Can Delta please sing again?

 

[The Firm]

Charlie Cameron

23

Charlie Cameron

Age

30

Ht

180cm

Wt

76kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.1

3star

K

8.4

3star

HB

3.7

3star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.2

5star

G

1.5

5star

D

9.6

2star

K

7.9

3star

HB

1.7

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.7

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

9.6

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.2

4star

M

1.4

2star

T

3.4

5star

G

1.2

4star

ladder

Rationale:

Week of the Charlie
Charles become king
Carlos Alcaraz wins US open
Charlie award on Sunday
Charlie's Cameron to kck a bag

It the week of Charlie's!

2/3/4/5/6 at SB paying 2.12/4.75/12/31/126

On Pixel 4a using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[dontlimitme]

Can Delta please sing again?

BONNIE THO :O