AFL 2022 AFL Round 12

[mouncey2franklin]

26 for 3+ on TS

When I checked earlier it was much less than that. They're showing me $9.75 now. When did you see $26?

EDIT: Nug meant Amartey, not Darcy

 

[jikost]

Sadly, no, I cannot bet with 365.

From what I have heard though, they limit bets to like a few dollars, sometimes even 50c, lol.

If that's true then I say **** the ****s.

But thank you for the information all the same

Ah, that's a shame. I'm using them a lot more this year now that the SGM 'trick' at sb doesn't offer the massive boost like it did last year.

Yes they limit, but only the big odds.... For example I put a reasonable amount on Darcy to kick 3 and 4 no problems, but they only let me have a couple of bucks on him to kick 5.

 

[jikost]

I still think Petrevski-Seton is value tomorrow. He'll play forward again and had a few disposals inside 50 last week... just need a couple to bounce his way and you never know.

2+ @ $19 365
3+ @ $151

 

[Nuggetz]

When I checked earlier it was much less than that. They're showing me $9.75 now. When did you see $26?

Its 17 now

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Its 17 now

On topsport, under 'multiple goal scorers', under the 'to score 3+' tab, for Sean Darcy, it is showing me $9.75.

It is as though we are looking at different sites, OR topsport give different punters different odds.

Can anybody else check what odds they are getting to confirm this?

EDIT: Nug meant Amartey, not Darcy

 

[Jugada]

On topsport, under 'multiple goal scorers', under the 'to score 3+' tab, for Sean Darcy, it is showing me $9.75.

It is as though we are looking at different sites, OR topsport give different punters different odds.

Can anybody else check what odds they are getting to confirm this?

Amartey not Darcy I think

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I still think Petrevski-Seton is value tomorrow. He'll play forward again and had a few disposals inside 50 last week... just need a couple to bounce his way and you never know.

2+ @ $19 365
3+ @ $151

I'll tail for the hell of it

Petrevski Seton 0.5u on 2+ @ $15 (pb)

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Amartey not Darcy I think

Oh, I see.

 

[Selim]

Kennedy 4,5 @13, 41 (no butts dont think crows will kills eagles like everyone has so could have a kennedy day )

Fogarty 4,5 @11, 36 ( usually plays well against eagles)

 

[freo_leo29]

Kennedy 4,5 @13, 41 (no butts dont think crows will kills eagles like everyone has so could have a kennedy day )

Fogarty 4,5 @11, 36 ( usually plays well against eagles)

I got on Darling for 4 and 5 but then I realised its gonna piss down, so tread lightly with the GS bets

 

[Selim]

I got on Darling for 4 and 5 but then I realised its gonna piss down, so tread lightly with the GS bets

ffs i really should of checked that ever since when does Adelaide rain

 

[Del125763]

Cross Sport Parlay:

Matt Rosas Jr 2+ Goals
Belgium v Netherlands: 2+ Shots on Target Memphis Depay & Lukaku 1+ Shot on Target

Odds: $7.80

using my bonus bet from the refund in Zverev v Nadal returned back to my account this morning.

 

[BloodRet]

Under 146.5
Berry 15+
Walker
Mcadam
Cripps
Kennedy
@10 PB

 

[Del125763]

Melbourne one of the harder teams to predict for AFL Fantasy over the last season and a half. If they score around 80-100 points a game, its genuinely a flip of the coin as to how their players score:



What that low correlation coefficient indicates to me is unlike the Bulldogs last night, its harder to predict their Fantasy scores , based on their scoring output. Not sure if thats a consistency thing with AFL Fantasy, with lower scoring leading to lower AFL Fantasy Dream Time scores? But there is starting to be a bit of a trend. Maybe in dry football, you can collect more marks and cheap disposals, unlike in wet weather would be my thinking.

Melbournes predicted line for tonights game is Under/Over 88.5 points. I think there is a good chance the Dees wont kick more than 80 points tonight, so think there might be a good few lines to take on the Unders on Melbourne in Fantasy. When Melbourne score between 80-100 points, its a flip of the coin, as to what their players can score in AFL Fantasy. Anything outside that range, there is a bit more of a pattern.

Last year Melbourne as a team got a team cumulative of 1489 AFL Fantasy Points, in scoring 67 points against the Swans. Feel like the game follow a similar line to that match last year.

PointsBet AFL Fantasy Lines ($1.87 on Unders/Overs) :
Neal-Bullen 71.5 pts
Oliver 113.5 pts
Petracca 109.5 pts
Langdon 88.5 pts
Viney 91.5 pts
Bowey 63.5 pts
Jordon 69.5 pts
Brayshaw Under 91.5 pts $1.75 v $2 Over 91.5 pts




Petracca, Oliver, Brayshaw went under those lines last year. But having said that Oliver collected 3 Brownlow Votes with a Fantasy score of 102 against the Swans in 2021.

 

[Del125763]

AFL Saturday Multi

Jamie Cripps

15

Jamie Cripps

Age

33

Ht

184cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.7

3star

K

7.9

3star

HB

4.8

3star

M

3.6

4star

T

3.9

5star

G

1.3

5star

D

10.3

3star

K

6.3

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.4

3star

G

0.4

3star

D

6.4

2star

K

4.2

2star

HB

2.2

2star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.4

4star

G

1.4

5star

2+ Goals v Adelaide
Malcolm Rosas 2+ Goals v North Melbourne
Logan McDonald 2+ Goals v Melbourne
Odds: 28.08


also small play on
Malcolm Rosas 3+ Goals v North Melbourne
Logan McDonald 3+ Goals v Melbourne
Odds: 50.87

 

[GROTTO]

ffs i really should of checked that ever since when does Adelaide rain

Here is a clue what its like in Adelaide at 730am.

 

[Del125763]

This might be the week to get on Logan McDonald. No Buddy Franklin means he will be the main focal point in the forward line, and also having no Steven May

1

Steven May

Age

33

Ht

193cm

Wt

101kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.7

4star

K

10.5

4star

HB

4.2

3star

M

5.1

5star

T

1.5

3star

MG

307.3

4star

D

15.5

4star

K

12.1

5star

HB

3.4

2star

M

3.4

3star

T

0.5

1star

MG

378.4

5star

D

12.4

4star

K

8.8

4star

HB

3.6

3star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.8

4star

- the best full back in the comp helps his chances. McDonald plays better away from the SCG is something that I have been noticing with his play. Tomlinson only had 11 games in the last 2 seasons gets him- he will be under pressure knowing he has to perform to keep his spot.

Also a play on Amarety, with the best 2 tall defenders going to the Swans two best forwards , it might leave Amartey as the X-factor up forward.

And Rosas Jr will get enough chances on goal for me being a local NT. Only slight concern is losing Casboult, who was the main focal point , which might lead to less opportunities on ground level.

can get Logan McDonald 3+ Goals, Rosas Jr 3+ Goals at TopSport @ 58 at TopSport

Also plays on Logan to kick 4+ @ 34.50, 5+ @ 127/1

Amartey 4+ @ 90, 5+ @ 357 (bet refund if he gets 4 goals)

 

[Ah12]

If u like Sydney and dont think they will lose by more than 39 u can have $50 on the win @4.15 and $50 on Melbourne 1-39 @$2.03

 

[dontlimitme]

This might be the week to get on Logan McDonald. No Buddy Franklin means he will be the main focal point in the forward line, and also having no Steven May - the best full back in the comp helps his chances. McDonald plays better away from the SCG is something that I have been noticing with his play. Tomlinson only had 11 games in the last 2 seasons gets him- he will be under pressure knowing he has to perform to keep his spot.

Also a play on Amarety, with the best 2 tall defenders going to the Swans two best forwards , it might leave Amartey as the X-factor up forward.

And Rosas Jr will get enough chances on goal for me being a local NT. Only slight concern is losing Casboult, who was the main focal point , which might lead to less opportunities on ground level.

can get Logan McDonald 3+ Goals, Rosas Jr 3+ Goals at TopSport @ 58 at TopSport

Also plays on Logan to kick 4+ @ 34.50, 5+ @ 127/1

Amartey 4+ @ 90, 5+ @ 357 (bet refund if he gets 4 goals)

 

[demon_fanatic]

anyone like the hawks??? two big milestone games and their ins look good... Omeara, Gunston, Hartigan... Pies could be in a prime letdown spot here but do have finals to play for.. I would of liked the line around 12 to 14...9.5 hmmmm... doesnt Mitchell normally go very big in disposals vs pies too?

 

[NonPhixion]

anyone like the hawks??? two big milestone games and their ins look good... Omeara, Gunston, Hartigan... Pies could be in a prime letdown spot here but do have finals to play for.. I would of liked the line around 12 to 14...9.5 hmmmm... doesnt Mitchell normally go very big in disposals vs pies too?

Mitchell 30+ is the bet of the round

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

Mitchell 30+ is the bet of the round

Mitchell 30+/COLL +30.5 $2.00 b365

 

[Westy Bogan]

Mitchell 30+ is the bet of the round

Please attach the appropriate GIF

 

[Westy Bogan]

Here is a clue what its like in Adelaide at 730am.

More information please?

Radar does not look that bad..... is it gonna piss down?

Andrew Gaff needs to know before he puts on his waterproof undies

 

[Del125763]

BetRight Demons v Swans Requests. Do any appeal?




Sydney to win at least 2 quarters at $5 looks a decent play for me, and i would have been happy to have a nibble at that price above 3.75 ish. Its probably a better better than H2H on Swans to win.

Swans won 3 quarters against the Demons at the MCG last year. Genuinely when they have lost this season, they have still been good enough to win a couple of quarters.

When Swans have lost this year, it hasnt been complete floggings or simply waving the white flags.

Demons Under 23.5 in all quarters also seems a bit big. Corresponding game last year, they didnt go any quarter above 23.5 pts.