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AFL 2022 AFL Round 12

Line Winners?


  • Total voters
    11
  • Poll closed .

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Hawks v pies same gamer
Ginivan 2+
Bruest 2+
De Goey 20+
Wingard 15+ @10.25SB

Freo v Bris same gamer
Schultz 2+
Fredrick ATG
McCarthy ATG
Brayshaw 25+
Zorko 20+
Serong 20+
Mundy 20+ @8.50SB

Multi Both games
Bruest 2+
Moore ATG
De goey ATG
De goey 20+
Schultz 2+
Fredrick ATG
McStay ATG
McCarthy ATG @21.95SB

Multi Both games
Hoskin Elliott 2+
Bruest 2+
Schultz 2+
McCarthy 2+ @44.43SB
 
Last edited:
3u - De Goey over 21.5 disposals - $1.80 - Ladbrokes
In terms of numbers this season he has battled a little bit when compared to the big numbers he was putting up at the back end of last season which should him smashing this line. Is getting more CBAs than any other Collingwood player so should be starting to clear this more regularly after getting 24 last week and struggling with fitness for a little bit. Hawks one of the best match ups for opposing mods so should grab his opportunity today.

2u - Nick Daicos over 21.5 disposals - $1.88 - Ladbrokes
Looks like his season low line which comes after a few tricky match ups. Has cleared in 8/11 games this season and gets the Hawks today which should be a good match up for him. Has been getting higher up the ground recently but given the high disposal numbers the Hawks can often give up I like his chances today.

2u - Cox AGS - $2.05 - SB
Has kicked goals in 55/80 career games and had scoring shots in 65/80. Is generally a pretty good set shot at goal. Provided he gets an opportunity at goal I expect him to grab it. Got his season underway with his first goal of the season on the weekend, will be playing an important role for the pies and should rest forward.

2.5u - Jiath 20+ disposals - $2.65 - SB
Loves playing at the MCG, averages 21.6 in 10 career games there. Is 3/4 there this year with the loss being a 19 vs Geelong and went 4/6 there last year. The large ground allows him to use one his best assets (speed) and get involved in handball chains up and through the ground.
 
3u - De Goey over 21.5 disposals - $1.80 - Ladbrokes
In terms of numbers this season he has battled a little bit when compared to the big numbers he was putting up at the back end of last season which should him smashing this line. Is getting more CBAs than any other Collingwood player so should be starting to clear this more regularly after getting 24 last week and struggling with fitness for a little bit. Hawks one of the best match ups for opposing mods so should grab his opportunity today.

2u - Nick Daicos over 21.5 disposals - $1.88 - Ladbrokes
Looks like his season low line which comes after a few tricky match ups. Has cleared in 8/11 games this season and gets the Hawks today which should be a good match up for him. Has been getting higher up the ground recently but given the high disposal numbers the Hawks can often give up I like his chances today.
Wow , the line for De Goey and N Daicos now moved up to 23.5 and 22.5 respectively.
 
On the Koschitzke train today

2+ 3+ 4+

@ $3.20, $9.97 (boosted) , $28.83 PB

Kicked 2+ in 4/7 games so far, 3+ in 2/7 and 4+ once this season

Kicked 3 in this fixture last season

Toot toot
 
The unders at the MCG looks the play to me. Current line is 167.5 pts. I think the line is about 20 pts too high personally. The trend of the scoring this round has been low scoring, and nothing suggests to me this game will change.

Ball will be greasy and think it might follow a similar pattern to last nights game, where metres gained will be more important than playing the chip/uncontested disposal/slowdown way.

1654395741299.png

Also the winds might cause a bit of havoc. A small forward might be worth a play to top goalscorer.

Sprinkle on

Dylan Moore 3+ Goals
Jamie Elliott 3+ Goals
@ $50 (Sportsbet)

Also

Ginnivan 3+ Goals
Dylan Moore 2+ Goals
Jamie Elliott 2+ Goals
@ $28.29 (Ladbrokes Same Game Multi -Bet refund if 1 leg fails)
 
7u Coll vs haw under 167.5
@1.91
I've been monitoring the radar since this morning looks like still a fair bit of rain to come I'll take my chances
 
^^ That forecast was from last night, but the winds will be going in a way that doesnt favour going to the City end or Punt Road end. Its a Northerly wind direction (eg going across the ground)

Forecast is saying winds of up to around 25km/hr to 30 km/hr.

1654397693503.png
 

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Lewis 2+ Breust, Gunston Kozi Moore Wingard 1+ @7

Mihochek 2+ Ginnivan 2+ Henry, WHE, De Goey 1+ @8

not sure who im doing for trains yet
 
McInnes 2,3 @5.50,19 (got on him to early lol his odds went up instead of down but also on him for 4 @101)

Moore 2,3 @3, 8.25

Kozi 3,4,5 @7.25, 21, 91

McCreery 2,3 @4, 12.50
 

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3U Sam Butler AGS @1.85 TAB. Kicked a goal in 2 out of his 3 games and should have had a goal umpires decision overturned (in my bias opinion) in the game where he didn't score
 
1u - Breust 2+ goals - $2 - Dabble
1u - Breust 3+ goals - $4.50 - Dabble
2+ in 6/10 this year and 3+ in 3/10. Last year went 2+ in 12/19 and 3+ in 5/19. Is his 250th game today and is celebrated as a Hawks legend so will potentially be on the end of some cheap goals.

2.5u - Lyons 25+ disposals - $2.10 - Dabble
Prices across the board have been hit on Lyons making this price even more of a value play. Expecting Neale to cop some attention today from a tag. When this happens Lyons is usually the man to step up and win a chunk of the footy.

3.5u - Adams 15+ disposals - $1.70 - TAB
Can take the bet on Dabble through the SGM too. Was flicking through markets and discovered Adams is 7/10 for the season. Great match up for this bet today as Freo are without Taberner which frees him up even more so than a regular Freo game. Freo typically set up with extra men behind the ball and allow opponent defenders to pick up some extra disposals.
 
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