AFL 2022 AFL Round 16

[balmainforever]

POSTING OF BETS AND RESULTS AFTER THE FACT WILL NOT BE TOLERATED ANYMORE!!
ANYONE WHO DOES IT WILL BE GIVEN A HOLIDAY.

CONSIDER THIS EVERYONE'S FINAL WARNING!!!!!!

 

[Its not the coach]

Hahaha what do you need now brother? Had 2 higgins didnt ya?

There ya go mate

 

[BloodRet]

BUTLER THANK YOU MY FRIEND. I CAN HAVE A PUNT TOMORROW

 

[tangolikelama]

**** yeah BloodRet happy for you

 

[tangolikelama]

Hahaha what do you need now brother? Had 2 higgins didnt ya?

Curnow has ruined it

 

[BloodRet]

Sorry to hear that brother, you're one of the best things about this board.

I know I got carried away in 2020 and ended the year down about 3k (although this was across all sports, not just AFL).

That was the year I began tracking things closely on a spreadsheet, which has reeled me in and made me a better punter since then.

You've had some shocking near misses this season, could easily have gone the other way.

I hope you and all of the other regulars here don't let the punt get out of hand, it is mad addictive as we all know.

I've seen good people get sucked into places they don't want to be, it is more potent than most drugs imho.

Good to know you've done that bro, I think I'm going to jump in on the spreadsheet as well, or something to help with a much revised unit management plan. Not necessarily going to lower my units, but going to do less bets each match. Sometimes the volume of bets I put on in a round can cancel out a really nice win in the same week. And agree with everything you said re. the punt, it can be a dark place sometimes, full of ups and downs. Optimistic things will improve for a lot of us.

 

[BloodRet]

Curnow has ruined it

Can't believe he hasn't kicked multiples for you, so many chances

 

[Del125763]

Saints will do well to hang on to this.

Players doing down everywhere, Howard, Marshall, Butler, Hunter Clark

11

Hunter Clark

Age

26

Ht

186cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.5

4star

K

9.5

4star

HB

8.0

5star

M

3.6

4star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.3

3star

D

16.0

4star

K

9.6

4star

HB

6.4

4star

M

3.1

3star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.9

4star

D

13.2

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.2

3star

T

2.0

4star

CL

0.0

1star

 

[Ohh Ok]

Membrey!!!!

 

[mouncey2franklin]

what was membrey paying for 4?

 

[Selim]

Watch membery play like tony lockett tonight after doing nothing for 3 months dude loves Carlton

HA HA HA fyck me

 

[Del125763]

what was membrey paying for 4?

$17 For 4 Goals for Membrey

 

[Ohh Ok]

what was membrey paying for 4?

I had $17 at TAB

 

[Selim]

carlton small forwards are such drop kicks i swear useless bunch

 

[Del125763]

Id imagine alot of people would have had :

Charlie Curnow

35

Charlie Curnow

Age

28

Ht

194cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.3

3star

K

9.7

4star

HB

3.6

3star

M

5.3

5star

T

2.2

4star

G

1.3

5star

No current season stats available

D

10.8

3star

K

6.4

3star

HB

4.4

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.6

4star

G

0.8

4star

for 2+ Goals, possibility Cripps as anytime goalscorer and MacKay to do a bit better than 2 Goals tonight in their Same Game Multis.

Guys like Hewett 20 metres out shooting for goal and absolutely spraying it.............reckon an AFL footballer under the roof should be an 85% of banging a goal from dead in front.

Thats a game Carlton dominated with possession but didnt put on the scoreboard. And well done to MinhBui31101991 for opposing Nathan Browns SGM. All of his 3 legs didnt come through.You could seriously make some seriously good coin opposing Nathan Brown

22

Nathan Brown

Age

37

Ht

196cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.8

2star

K

3.9

2star

HB

4.9

4star

M

2.7

3star

T

1.8

4star

No current season stats available

D

6.4

2star

K

3.2

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.8

5star

alone.

​

 

[Its not the coach]

carlton small forwards are such drop kicks i swear useless bunch

Durdin can't kick over a jam tin, Motlop 3+ @21 would of been ok though

 

[Selim]

man Sydney and Essendon are teams i dont like for trains who tf to do? who yall going with ?

 

[Del125763]

Sportsbet need to take a leaf out of their sister site , FanDuel Sportsbook in America and offer $51 for 3+ Goals for their Goalscorer markets. They currently have the 3+ Goals on certain goalscorers capped at $34. (They have it capped at that price for most of the year) I know at times, you can apply the Sportsbook trick on their Goalscorers and can get better odds but as Fixed odds still think it would be nice to have better odds on it. (who knows they may increase it, if someone from Sportsbet sneaks at this thread) . This is their market for Essendon v Sydney tomorrow:




+5000 is American odds equivalent of $51.00 in Decimal odds conversion.

Do we all agree on that?

For me there is a big difference between winning on a $34 shot and winning on a $51 shot on the long-term.

 

[jikost]

+5000 is American odds equivalent of $51.00 in Decimal odds conversion.

Me when I see non-decimal odds...

 

[Del125763]

Me when I see non-decimal odds...

a little trick to convert American Odds to Decimal. (There are also calcualtors out there if you search on Google that can do the conversion for you)

For odds above evens:

American Odds/100 +1 = Decimal Odds

i just like to compare stuff from the US based sites and social media feeds from time-to-time.

 

[BloodRet]

franklin mcdonald hayward reid parker papley heeney wright stringer @11

mcdonald 3 papley 2 stringer 2 @25

franklin 5 heeney 2 mcdonald 2 reid @36 all pb

 

[Red Dog Styles]

man Sydney and Essendon are teams i dont like for trains who tf to do? who yall going with ?

Any player that spent 25% + in forward half last weekend

On SM-A226B using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[dontlimitme]

what the **** curnow kick straight

 

[GROTTO]

Good to know you've done that bro, I think I'm going to jump in on the spreadsheet as well, or something to help with a much revised unit management plan. Not necessarily going to lower my units, but going to do less bets each match. Sometimes the volume of bets I put on in a round can cancel out a really nice win in the same week. And agree with everything you said re. the punt, it can be a dark place sometimes, full of ups and downs. Optimistic things will improve for a lot of us.

Every punter goes through this, ie a line in the sand moment. Its great advice mouncey2franklin gave you.

You must hold yourself accountable with your spreadsheet so in any point in time you know EXACTLY with pinpoint accuracy where you stand. during each game and before and after each round.

For me this happened after the Crows won the 2017 Flag, I had them at tasty odds of $5 a few weeks before the GF and smashed them.

I mean I literally pounded the Crows like Oraz.

 

[dontlimitme]

Gary the ****ing heartbreaker for all bettors out there Rohan comes back into the side, named back pocket but that's prob just team sheet shenanigans like jeremy cameron

5

Jeremy Cameron

Age

32

Ht

196cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.5

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

5.4

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.6

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

2.9

2star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

8.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.4

4star

G

2.0

5star

named in the middle. Only played two games this entire season for 1.1 and 0.1 against the dogs and port. had 8 with 2+ last year, 2 with 3+ and 1 where he kicked 5

now comes up against north, -66.5 favourites. if mckay is down back he should take hawkins you'd think and he's a great defender, their 2nd best to jezza so hopefully rohan gets one of their worse defenders. Hawk + jez also love to roam up the field as well.

As much as rohan can absolutely burn your ****ing money week in week out, his odds vs a team like north seem kinda huge to me, shades of ricardi vs north a few weeks ago where he kicked 3 in the first half then cucked us in the 2nd half. Danger is 2.2/5.2/14/41 which seems like what rohans should be imo

2/3/4/5 @ 3.4/9.75/31/101 all on SB

but beware its ****ing gary rohan

23

Gary Rohan

Age

34

Ht

189cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.6

2star

K

6.6

3star

HB

3.0

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.5

4star

G

1.0

4star

D

8.8

2star

K

6.0

2star

HB

2.8

2star

M

3.4

3star

T

2.3

3star

G

1.0

4star

D

9.8

3star

K

6.8

3star

HB

3.0

3star

M

2.2

3star

T

4.2

5star

G

1.2

4star

and he might not do anything, but seems like a good spot

 

[fpm84]

Mitch Duncan not listed as AGS in his 250th game on SB or PB. Anyone know if he’s listed elsewhere?