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AFL 2022 AFL Round 18

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Why?

Cotchin, Balta, Vlastuin and Gibcus are all expected to come back in at this stage, and Nankervis is considered a chance to remain in the team too.

Cotchin has been ruled out and Balta is unlikely from what I’ve read. No Lynch, no Dusty and Nankervis ‘doubtful’ according to the club.

I expect Richmond will win given there’s so much on the line for them, but I’m expecting NM to be as competitive as they were v Pies.
 

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Where'd you get that from?

View attachment 1444972
Only seeing stuff on Twitter and Richmond board that he's expected to play.

Thought I read on the Richmond board that he was ruled out and their injury report this week doesn’t seem too optimistic to me but maybe I’m wrong. Regardless, Dusty and Lynch are ruled out and Nankervis sounds extremely unlikely. I assume Thomas will return for the Roos too. As I said, expect Richmond to win, but think North at the line +40 is a decent bet.
 
Does Blicavs play defence with Stewart still out against a forward line as potent as curnow and mckay? Noticed he’s been drifting forward the last few weeks but may be needed down back this game as Sam de koning is the only legit tall defender who will match up on one of the two. Wasn’t a real problem against Melbourne as ben brown was the only 190cm and above with the cats already having suitors for Fritsch etc
 
Does Blicavs play defence with Stewart still out against a forward line as potent as curnow and mckay? Noticed he’s been drifting forward the last few weeks but may be needed down back this game as Sam de koning is the only legit tall defender who will match up on one of the two. Wasn’t a real problem against Melbourne as ben brown was the only 190cm and above with the cats already having suitors for Fritsch etc

Jack Henry says hello. SDK and Henry will take Curnow/McKay.

Blitz seems locked into a ruck/mid role which has been working well I don’t see him going down back at all. Kolodjashnij (yuck) is back this week as well
 
Jack Henry says hello. SDK and Henry will take Curnow/McKay.

Blitz seems locked into a ruck/mid role which has been working well I don’t see him going down back at all. Kolodjashnij (yuck) is back this week as well
Just had a lil stab at Blicavs 2, 3 @8, 34 at 365. 1.1, 1.0, 0.1 in the last few games.

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Still can't believe McInerney missed those two goals right in front in the second half.

'He never misses these'...
Your Amartey bet was solid too, two early goals, he was well placed for 4+.

But yes Big O had two shots at goal, one a set shot and one from the goal square. That hurts. Like really hurts.
 

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2.5u - Marshall AGS - $2.05 - 365
When Ryder is playing Marshall goes to 35.2% of CBAs vs 72.2% when he misses. Stretching the undersized Bulldogs defence that concede a high number of marks inside their defensive 50 will be key for the Saints if they look to win this one. With Ryder playing, Marshall is able to head forward more often.

2u - Dunkley AGS - $2.05 - 365
Has kicked goals in 8/16 games this year, but with Bailey Smith expected back this week Dunkley’s role is likely to change a little. With Smith in the side Dunkley is forced to play forward a touch more which is evidenced by his 13 scoring shots when the two have shared the field.


2u - McCreery AGS - $1.90 - Ladbrokes
Has kicked goals in 8/12 games this year and as a young player should be looking to get on on the board today in his home state. Will only play forward so should find himself an opportunity.


1.5u - Clarke AGS - $2.65 - Ladbrokes
Is being implemented as a forward tagger which has resulted in him kicking 3 goals in his last two games.


3u - Dylan Moore 20+ disposals - $1.80 - TAB
1u - Dylan Moore 25+ disposals - $4.33 - Dabble
Play Moore as a SGM with 20+. Played a big slate of midfield minutes on the weekend which equated to Moore getting 29 disposals. Should get another crack at it as was one of Hawthorn’s best on.


2.5u - Powell-Pepper AGS - $1.87 - 365
Is probably in the top 3 for Port’s BnF this season, has been playing a crucial forward pressure role week in, week out. Has goals in 11/16 games this season.


2.5u - Shiel 25+ disposals - $2.20 - 365/SB
Has shown significant improvement since the bye going 25+ in 4/5. During this patch Parish has missed or been subbed out of all but one game, the one Shiel went under in. With Parish out again, I’m keen to get at Shiel.



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Fresh off the back of 2.0 last week, Thilthorpe looks a bet coming up against the Pies backline - Moore is expected to play but Howe or Murphy will have to fill in as the second tall.

2+ @ $3.80 SB
3+ @ $12
4+ @ $41
5+ @ $152 (trick)

Fog and Texan are also options but not nearly as much juice in the price.
 

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AFL 2022 AFL Round 18

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