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AFL 2022 AFL Round 8
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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jesus that would of been nice ahah i totally forgot that site existed tbh
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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D
Del125763
Guest
Fremantle v North Melbourne Stat Multiplier spreads for this round (Kicksx Handballs x Goals):
Using a $1 staking system these are my advisable tips and some reasoning behind each:
Walters UNDER 93 (even if he kicks his 2 goals , not sure he can cover that line)
Serong UNDER 75 (the weight of numbers from the table suggest this line is a bit too high for him)
Schultz UNDER 86 (probably won't cop a loss if he kicks 2 goals, 3 goals probably be prepared to cop a small whack)
O'Driscoll OVER 26 (can kick a goal, has got the fitness to play all over the ground. At a low line, its worth a nibble and don't be surprised if he got 2 goals +)
Tarryn Thomas OVER 44 (at that line its a play and has a high ceiling)
Simpkin NO PLAY (it did cross my mind to add him but even at $5.50 to score a goal, id probably give a miss in this match)
Zurhaar OVER 49 (i think with Larkey gone, it might actually allow him more space in the forward line and this should enable him to get a bit more of the ball. Might also create a bit of havoc for the taller Freo defenders on ground level)
Goldstein OVER 26 (Do fancy a goal from him here and will spend a bit of time in forward)
Stephenson OVER 44 (this guy loves Perth Stadium. Polled 3 votes against the Eagles last here and for some reason I think he plays better here than he does at the Docklands. Good get for a guy that can potentially score high)
Coleman-Jones OVER 28 (going back to last years record at Perth Stadium, surprised to see him bag goals in both of the games in Perth. I already have him in goalscorer bets but at a low line in the multiplier, im happy to take him on board as well)
All other players with no picks= NO PLAY for the time being
If someone can give me some reason to back Simpkin on the OVERS overnight I may add him to my staple. Feel like a few of those Freo players lines are too high.
Using a $1 staking system these are my advisable tips and some reasoning behind each:
Walters UNDER 93 (even if he kicks his 2 goals , not sure he can cover that line)
Serong UNDER 75 (the weight of numbers from the table suggest this line is a bit too high for him)
Schultz UNDER 86 (probably won't cop a loss if he kicks 2 goals, 3 goals probably be prepared to cop a small whack)
O'Driscoll OVER 26 (can kick a goal, has got the fitness to play all over the ground. At a low line, its worth a nibble and don't be surprised if he got 2 goals +)
Tarryn Thomas OVER 44 (at that line its a play and has a high ceiling)
Simpkin NO PLAY (it did cross my mind to add him but even at $5.50 to score a goal, id probably give a miss in this match)
Zurhaar OVER 49 (i think with Larkey gone, it might actually allow him more space in the forward line and this should enable him to get a bit more of the ball. Might also create a bit of havoc for the taller Freo defenders on ground level)
Goldstein OVER 26 (Do fancy a goal from him here and will spend a bit of time in forward)
Stephenson OVER 44 (this guy loves Perth Stadium. Polled 3 votes against the Eagles last here and for some reason I think he plays better here than he does at the Docklands. Good get for a guy that can potentially score high)
Coleman-Jones OVER 28 (going back to last years record at Perth Stadium, surprised to see him bag goals in both of the games in Perth. I already have him in goalscorer bets but at a low line in the multiplier, im happy to take him on board as well)
All other players with no picks= NO PLAY for the time being
If someone can give me some reason to back Simpkin on the OVERS overnight I may add him to my staple. Feel like a few of those Freo players lines are too high.
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I was allowed a maximum of $0.00 on it .
.40c here. So anyone who’s kicking themselves don’t be to upset. You wouldn’t have been able to put much on anyway
Crock Hunter
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Todd Goldstein 20+ @$9s TAB
Had 18 last week. Is back to play no.1 ruck - love this spot
Had 18 last week. Is back to play no.1 ruck - love this spot
D
Del125763
Guest
PointsBet Stat Multiplier spread for Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs (Kicks x Handballs x Goals):
My tips using the $1 stake system and some reasoning behind the bets. The standout bet for me is Ollie Wines to cover his line. His last season scores against this opposition were: 345, 280 and 220. Last week he racked up a score of 182 in a low scoring slog fest. With the rain in Adelaide its thrown me off from a few too many bets on this match. Never been to that ground before and not really sure how good the drainage system over there.
Wines OVER 64 (has form and has a good record against this team. )
Butters OVER 68 (just when tabulating the data tonight, he has relatively even amount of possessions. In 2021-22 , his average kicks was 10.63 and average handball 9.52 per match. 1 goal should be able to cover this very reasonable line. 2 or more would be a bonus)
Farrell OVER 25 (cheap get for a player that has kicked goals in his comeback. )
All other players = NO PLAY (the Western Bulldogs players seemed to have set spreads set about right. I actually think the Power win this game without players not backing up from their last season match in the Finals: Bontempelli, Tim English, Hunter, Easton Wood, Mitch Hannan, JJ, Schache. Those players combined provided 7 goals last year, and it will no doubt be a closer scoreline here)
This match won't be my super focus this weekend.
My tips using the $1 stake system and some reasoning behind the bets. The standout bet for me is Ollie Wines to cover his line. His last season scores against this opposition were: 345, 280 and 220. Last week he racked up a score of 182 in a low scoring slog fest. With the rain in Adelaide its thrown me off from a few too many bets on this match. Never been to that ground before and not really sure how good the drainage system over there.
Wines OVER 64 (has form and has a good record against this team. )
Butters OVER 68 (just when tabulating the data tonight, he has relatively even amount of possessions. In 2021-22 , his average kicks was 10.63 and average handball 9.52 per match. 1 goal should be able to cover this very reasonable line. 2 or more would be a bonus)
Farrell OVER 25 (cheap get for a player that has kicked goals in his comeback. )
All other players = NO PLAY (the Western Bulldogs players seemed to have set spreads set about right. I actually think the Power win this game without players not backing up from their last season match in the Finals: Bontempelli, Tim English, Hunter, Easton Wood, Mitch Hannan, JJ, Schache. Those players combined provided 7 goals last year, and it will no doubt be a closer scoreline here)
This match won't be my super focus this weekend.
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Nick Bryan in for Essendon, which means Sam Draper will spend more time forward when Bryan takes the ruck... I'm guessing a 50/50 or 60/40 split between the two. Draper has hit the scoreboard 4 weeks in a row now (1.2 last week). No Stringer or Baldwin either, so Draper/Bryan will both be required to help out Wright. Bryan's odds aren't great, but I like Draper's
Draper 2+ @ $13 pb
Draper 3+ @ $67
Draper 2+ @ $13 pb
Draper 3+ @ $67
D
Del125763
Guest
wowsers I actually thought Baldwin looked alright last week.
Anyway having had bets on him earlier in the week, It will just be a refund for now.
I dont mind that and have tailed as well.
D
Del125763
Guest
Taken a bit of a nibble on Draper 4+, 5+ @ 201, 1801 (SB Trick as well)
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Tailed this, lets go Buku!!!
pendlebury_10
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Nice to see TAB introducing their own same game trick.
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Holy moly
Interesting. If he gets 25+ let us know if they pay out with no issues.
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Wowsers
pendlebury_10
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They've taken the market down, so I wouldn't be surprised if they void the bets and limit me but it was too good to pass up.
Interestingly enough the Narkle market was the only one that was throwing out these sort of numbers.
- Jun 16, 2018
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When this board finds stellar odds.
The person walking away is sportsbet et al.
The person walking away is sportsbet et al.
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So is there a lot of rain for the doggies/Port game?
D
Del125763
Guest
I wouldnt say alot 1-3 mm is the predicted rainfall. Alot of the rain should be in the early morning.
Weather during the game:
D
Del125763
Guest
1-3 mm of daily rain, shouldn't interfere too much with a footy match.
Would be more worried if it around 15mm+ of rain daily predicted.
Would be more worried if it around 15mm+ of rain daily predicted.
- Jun 16, 2018
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I missed the Buku and Anderson Gold Express tickets but good luck to those who got on 
After last weekend, the bookies are due for a bit of a touch up, let's be honest.
After last weekend, the bookies are due for a bit of a touch up, let's be honest.
- Jun 16, 2018
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Coniglio's heatmap looked very goaltrainish last week and he kicked three through the sticks.
I like the $4.25 for 2+ and $15 for 3+ on TAB.
I like the $4.25 for 2+ and $15 for 3+ on TAB.
