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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 3

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**** me dead Sportsbet are a pack of absolutely useless campaigners. I have $800 in my account which I suddenly can't withdraw because it doesn't match my name. Have deposited thousands and withdrawn thousands and suddenly they pull this shit. Furious.
 
tangolikelama said:
* me dead Sportsbet are a pack of absolutely useless campaigners. I have $800 in my account which I suddenly can't withdraw because it doesn't match my name. Have deposited thousands and withdrawn thousands and suddenly they pull this s**t. Furious.
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I somehow have 2 accounts with them. One hasnt been touched for 10 odd years, one has turnover on it weekly. Every now and then the app ****s itself and i need to ring to fix it. They ALWAYS assume the dead account is my account and nothing can be done. Escalate, some new person miraculously finds "i have 2 accounts", gets reset and move on. They've never deleted the dead account as requested 20x. Dont get me started on withdrawal issues this has had over the years 😂
 

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Small sprinkle on Ashcroft 30+ at 6.50

Had 31 last week and 26 in the pre season match. R1 an anomaly

Pb. Priced $3-4 at other books
 
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jikost said:
Another player who might benefit from Simpkins's suspension is Cameron Zurhaar. Had 26 disposals on the weekend (13 in the centre square) attending 40% of the CB's. This percentage should only go up against Hawthorn. Currently $2.15 for 20+ on sb.
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Great call. He is $15 for 25 @ pointsbet and $5.50 for 20. Get on quick if keen
 

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Old man [PLAYERCARD]Trent Cotchin[/PLAYERCARD] 20+ @ $2.2 sb - [PLAYERCARD]Jacob Hopper[/PLAYERCARD] looks certain to miss which leaves a thin Tigers midfield.... Think they'll throw him back in this week.
 
Surely Nick Daicos goes big on disposals. Not only has he been on fire to open up but Richmond leaks disposals to defenders. Loves getting a cheap touch and Collingwood actively look for him. Copped a light tag from Lachie Jones on Saturday for the first half and it did virtually nothing as he still finished on 32. I understand the value isn't quite there but feels like a good bet to me and happy to have a go.

30+ $1.90
35+ $4.50
40+ $14 (obviously this is unlikely but had 40 against Adelaide last year)
 
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Quite like Jye Menzie 3+ at $11 at PB.

Has kicked 2.1 and 2.0 in his two games. Think the Saints v Bombers game will be high scoring if conditions are good.
 
This is a real hail Mary, but the Dockers threw [PLAYERCARD]Brennan Cox[/PLAYERCARD] forward in the last quarter against North where he kicked a goal. They look so impotent up front do they dare mix things up and start him forward against the Eagles? He did kick 4 goals in a game once back in 2018. Might be money in the bin, but you never know.

2+ @ $34 365
3+ @ $251
4+ @ $1000
 
jikost said:
This is a real hail Mary, but the Dockers threw Brennan Cox forward in the last quarter against North where he kicked a goal. They look so impotent up front do they dare mix things up and start him forward against the Eagles? He did kick 4 goals in a game once back in 2018. Might be money in the bin, but you never know.

2+ @ $34 365
3+ @ $251
4+ @ $1000
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Eagles are conceding lots of shots to key forwards (Larkey 6.0, Hogan 3.4), so any Freo train looks decent value IMO, even the out of form Taberner and Jackson.
 
Good stuff to the posters who got on Clark & Zurhaar - very nifty finds. Fingers crossed. I missed out.

Do like [PLAYERCARD]Rowan Marshall[/PLAYERCARD] 20 & 25
$2.50 & $10 PB. Bounced back well with 20 this week, got Draper and Phillips who will compete but won’t have the ability to keep up. No Steele means he will get in and under too following up the ruck contest.

Bont 30+ $4.25
Ashcroft 25 & 30+

Quietly like the Dogs this Thursday. They love the “backs against the wall” narrative. It’s the only thing Beveridge has shown he is good at since 2016 - motivating them with that “no one thinks we’re good” type attitude.

Mindset isn’t enough for a season but it sure can win you a game.

Probably go at the line reasonably hard (+13.5) and then dabble on 1-39 win.

Will get on Larkey 3-6 now. Not sure I see anything else just yet I like.

Games I’m definitely staying away from (in terms of ML/line):
North v Hawks - Hawks atrocious but it’s hard to see North being 3-0.

Saints v Essendon - only way this match could be a worse 2-0 v 2-0 match up is if North were in it too. Paper over crack sides so far.
 
[PLAYERCARD]josh bruce[/PLAYERCARD] 15/71/750 for 2/3/4 on 365 gonna keep throwing my money away at him SURELY THEY CHUCK HIM ****ING FORWARD EVENTUALLY THEIR FORWARDS ARE A SHAMBLE AND THE BIG GALAH HAS KICKED 10 BEFORE
 

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