AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 5

[balmainforever]

 

[Del125763]

Above at TAB, has a bet refund if legs fall short, in case your after the bonus bet back.

 

[Atavistic]

Leg 1 - Nic Martin (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 2 - Jayden Laverde

25

Jayden Laverde

Age

29

Ht

193cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.8

3star

K

6.3

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

3.9

4star

T

2.8

4star

MG

152.8

2star

D

8.8

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.8

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.5

3star

MG

116.5

2star

D

11.2

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

5.8

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

3.6

5star

MG

141.2

3star

(ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 3 - Ed Richards

20

Ed Richards

Age

26

Ht

188cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.4

3star

K

7.2

3star

HB

5.2

4star

M

2.5

3star

T

2.4

4star

CL

0.7

3star

D

11.3

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

5.3

3star

M

1.5

2star

T

2.5

3star

CL

1.1

3star

D

14.6

4star

K

9.8

4star

HB

4.8

4star

M

4.8

5star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.2

2star

(WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 4 - Oskar Baker

13

Oskar Baker

Age

27

Ht

184cm

Wt

87kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.8

4star

K

8.8

3star

HB

5.0

4star

M

4.4

4star

T

1.7

4star

MG

277.8

4star

No current season stats available

D

16.0

4star

K

10.8

4star

HB

5.2

4star

M

5.2

5star

T

2.0

4star

MG

333.6

5star

(WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 5 - Jake Kelly

29

Jake Kelly

Age

30

Ht

190cm

Wt

90kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.5

4star

K

8.3

3star

HB

6.3

4star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.6

4star

MG

157.8

2star

D

8.1

2star

K

6.3

3star

HB

1.9

1star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.6

4star

MG

104.1

2star

D

14.8

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

5.8

4star

M

6.0

5star

T

4.2

5star

MG

107.0

2star

(ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 6 - Lachlan Bramble (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 7 - Sam Darcy (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 8 - Harrison Jones (ESS) 8+ Marks

• Bet Amount$10.00
• Odds251.00
• Potential Collect$2,510.00 (TAB)

Peak degeneracy.

 

[Del125763]

I will tail the first but put H Jones 6+ instead of Stringer 6+. Stringer sucks at marking.

I have his line under/over 3 marks. I may have underestimated his marking ability in football. Does average 4.27 marks a game at the Marvel. TAB have him $2.00 for 6+ Marks. From memory he does tend to play his best footy under a closed roof. H Jones probably takes the 3rd best Dogs defender.

Does this bet a bit of sense?

Harrison Jones 2+ Goals
Harrison Jones 6+ Marks
Redman 8+ Marks
Ben McKay 8+ Marks

Odds: $41

 

[Mags98]

taranto sent for scans, dusty for 24+, 29+, and 34+ @ 2, 4.25, 11 TAB

 

[Atavistic]

Does this bet a bit of sense?

Well, the sentence doesn't, but the multi looks fine.

 

[GROTTO]

Well, the sentence doesn't, but the multi looks fine.

Degens only have a rudimentary knowledge of English and grammar. Even Math is not our forte, its only knowledge of trains.

 

[_ASP3X]

Alwyn Davey Jnr looks a nice price for tackles tonight. His role in the side will be purely to bring pressure as he doesn't offer a whole lot offensively at this stage. Averages 4.7 tackles per game in the VFL including games of 8 and 9. Named on field so he'll start but is a bit of a risk of being subbed off but hopefully he can at least have cleared 4 by then.

4+ $4 TAB
6+ $17 TAB
8+ $91 TAB SGM trick

Tailed the 4+ for 1u @ $4

 

[pacemaker]

Leg 1 - Nic Martin (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 2 - Jayden Laverde (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 3 - Ed Richards (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 4 - Oskar Baker (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 5 - Jake Kelly (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 6 - Lachlan Bramble (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 7 - Sam Darcy (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 8 - Harrison Jones (ESS) 8+ Marks

• Bet Amount$10.00
• Odds251.00
• Potential Collect$2,510.00 (TAB)

Peak degeneracy.

Not quite degeneracy as yours. I'm going with

Harrison Jones 6 marks
Oskar Baker 6 marks
Nick Martin 8 marks
Mason Redman 8 marks
Ben McKay 8 Marks
Xavier Duursma 4 tackles

$151 multiplied TAB

 

[Del125763]

Leg 1 - Nic Martin (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 2 - Jayden Laverde (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 3 - Ed Richards (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 4 - Oskar Baker (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 5 - Jake Kelly (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 6 - Lachlan Bramble (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 7 - Sam Darcy (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 8 - Harrison Jones (ESS) 8+ Marks

• Bet Amount$10.00
• Odds251.00
• Potential Collect$2,510.00 (TAB)

Peak degeneracy.

I didnt realise Harrison Jones got 10 and 9 marks from 2 of his 3 games this season. Could very well get his hattrick of 8+ Marks tonight.

 

[Del125763]

Not quite degeneracy as yours. I'm going with

Harrison Jones 6 marks
Oskar Baker 6 marks
Nick Martin 8 marks
Mason Redman 8 marks
Ben McKay 8 Marks
Xavier Duursma 4 tackles

$151 multiplied TAB

Tailed but at $81

 

[Suncraze]

Dogs -14.5 MAX bet for me
Tiges -19.5
Dogs/Tiges ML

Chopping out WCE +20.5 $1.90 Lads
Adding Tiges -16.5 $1.90 TAB

 

[Fizza]

Degens only have a rudimentary knowledge of English and grammar. Even Math is not our forte, its only knowledge of trains.

2Shay GROTTO

 

[Fizza]

tangolikelama where is the great man???

 

[McCluggages Luggage]

Degens only have a rudimentary knowledge of English and grammar. Even Math is not our forte, its only knowledge of trains.

Sir, I resemble that remark.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Lol 2 weeks when pb usually do instant withdrawals (like 2 hours max)

Credit where its due, pointsbet withdrawals seem to turn up in my account instantly, I don't know how it is possible for them to do this when the other bookies apparently cannot.

 

[LeCoqHead]

Leg 1 - Nic Martin (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 2 - Jayden Laverde (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 3 - Ed Richards (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 4 - Oskar Baker (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 5 - Jake Kelly (ESS) 6+ Marks
Leg 6 - Lachlan Bramble (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 7 - Sam Darcy (WB) 6+ Marks
Leg 8 - Harrison Jones (ESS) 8+ Marks

• Bet Amount$10.00
• Odds251.00
• Potential Collect$2,510.00 (TAB)

Peak degeneracy.

This is beautiful. I'm emotional.

 

[Atavistic]

This is beautiful. I'm emotional.

Steady on there, it hasn't got up yet.

 

[Play On Advantage]

Marks Lotto for Friday Night

0.375 u
Nic Martin 10+ Marks
Ben McKay 8+ Marks
Mason Redman 8+ Marks
Jake Stringer 6+ Marks

Odds: $126

1u
Jake Kelly 8+ Marks
Ben McKay 8+ Marks
Mason Redman 8+ Marks

Odds: $43.87 (Boosted)

No research involved, just gut based feels. Bulldogs arent a good matchup for Essendon. Have won 9 of past 10 and sense Bombers may be a tad cautious moving ball from defence to forward.

1u
Jake Kelly 8+ Marks
Laverde 8+ Marks
McGrath 8+ Marks
Odds: $51 (above bet did come through in the last fixture)

1u
Martin 8+ Marks
McGrath 8+ Marks
McKay 8+ Marks
Redman 8+ Marks
Odds: $81

Would love a shoot-out on Friday night Prime Time but Ill have something in case it becomes a dour contest a bit like last year when Essendon stat padded in the backline.

which book offers marks?

 

[Del125763]

which book offers marks?

TAB .

They also offering that promo as mentioned above
4+ legs, 1 fails= Bonus Bet back
6+ legs, 2 fail= Bonus Bet Back
8+ Legs, 3 fail= Bonus Bet back

For all Thursday and Friday Night games.

 

[freo_leo29]

Anyone had tab payout promos to WA residents lately? I remember it used to not work but then I think sometime it started working

That SGM promo looks decent

 

[Del125763]

Bombers Fantasy/Disposals multi

Redman Over 21.5 Disposals
Heppell Over 21.5 Disposals
Redman 80+ AFL Fantasy Points
Heppell 80+ AFL Fantasy Points

Odds: 13.80 Boosted

Heppell has cleared those lines in 39 of his past 67 games. And im banking and adding that onto Redman marking game tonight. I see the Bombers looking to slow down the game to their pace. Last week against Port Adelaide, the ball lived in the Power forward line and they had trouble getting it out of there.

 

[Del125763]

Tim English should be a bit too nimble and more athletic for Goldstein in the ruck.Goldstein works hard but he has lost a yard of pace in 2024.

0.50 u
Tim English Over 18.5 Disposals
English 110+ Fantasy Points
Redman Over 21.5 Disposals
Redman 80+ Fantasy Points
Heppell Over 21.5 Disposals
Heppell 80+ Fantasy Points
Odds: 41.73

0.25u
English anytime goalscorer
Tim English Over 18.5 Disposals
English 110+ Fantasy Points
Redman Over 21.5 Disposals
Redman 80+ Fantasy Points
Heppell Over 21.5 Disposals
Heppell 80+ Fantasy Points
Odds: 84.23

The line for English is 19.5 at Sportsbet. Can see English dominating in ruck and Essendon look to chip it around defence.

 

[pacemaker]

The UNDER the roof bet

Bailey Dale

31

Bailey Dale

Age

29

Ht

188cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.2

3star

K

7.6

3star

HB

5.6

4star

M

3.1

3star

T

1.6

4star

MG

117.4

2star

D

9.0

2star

K

5.1

2star

HB

3.9

3star

M

2.3

2star

T

1.7

3star

MG

117.4

2star

D

8.0

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.0

3star

M

1.4

2star

T

2.0

4star

Under 23.5 Player Disposals
Tom Liberatore Under 28.5 Player Disposals
Tom Liberatore Under 100.5 Player Fantasy
Ryley Sanders Under 80.5 Player Fantasy
Ryley Sanders Under 20.5 Player Disposals
Jason Johannisen

39

Jason Johannisen

Age

33

Ht

181cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

20.2

5star

K

12.9

5star

HB

7.3

5star

M

4.3

4star

T

2.0

4star

MG

418.9

5star

D

16.3

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

6.3

4star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

3star

MG

283.1

4star

D

15.6

4star

K

9.2

4star

HB

6.4

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

1.6

4star

Under 85.5 Player Fantasy
Jason Johannisen

39

Jason Johannisen

Age

33

Ht

181cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

20.2

5star

K

12.9

5star

HB

7.3

5star

M

4.3

4star

T

2.0

4star

MG

418.9

5star

D

16.3

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

6.3

4star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

3star

MG

283.1

4star

D

15.6

4star

K

9.2

4star

HB

6.4

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

1.6

4star

Under 21.5
Sam Darcy Anytime Goalscorer

$136.13 PB

 

[McCluggages Luggage]

TAB .

They also offering that promo as mentioned above
4+ legs, 1 fails= Bonus Bet back
6+ legs, 2 fail= Bonus Bet Back
8+ Legs, 3 fail= Bonus Bet back

For all Thursday and Friday Night games.

If you haven't been restricted or booted off there Ladbrokes does that each week with 3 leg SGM's. 1 per day for the first bet placed.

Same promo with non SGM multis from 4-8 legs, same deal first bet placed, 1 per day. Max $50 on each.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Sellers (the leading goal scorer in the VFL), is $1.50 for 1+, $3.50 for 2+ everywhere.

Doesn't seem like value for someone unproven in a team that's a 60 point underdog.

Maybe those odds have been smashed in a bit and some people got on at longer odds.