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AFL 2026 - AFL ROUND 4

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Don’t know how the Blues, Port and Hawks are all favorites.
If I was a betting man is go Hawks 1 to 39 because $1.58 is too short and it will be under 39 either way.

Xerri a loss for North but odds should be closer, how will Carlton respond after Sunday? really is a hard one too pick.

Port get smashed by North and beat by West Coast. Richmond coming home from Perth. It would be a nasty start too Josh Carr's coaching career if they got rolled by Richmond. I'd love for it to happen though.

Yeah odds should be closer in those games.
 
I like Lachie Neale to get 100+ fantasy points at 2.38, might put me whole weeks pay on it, lost last weeks at the pokies.

Missus is threatening to leave but I keep tellin her I'll win big one day.
 
Does anyone else consistently get their odds shortened when trying to place a bet on Sportsbet?

It’s almost like a bot from Sportsbet.

Last 10 bets I’ve tried to make, from the 5 seconds from clicking on the market to placing my stake, 7 have been shortened - it says “odds reduced” and I have to review it.

Surely betting on niche back pocket & forwards disposals isn’t enough of a market to move in that time? Is clicking on a market but not betting it seriously enough for them to shorten the odds? Is this just me with a long coincidence or is it actual dog campaigner stuff from Sportsbet?
 
Just did it again with Oscar Allen goals

Odds better on B365 anyway

Train
3+ $3.90
4+ $10
5+ $29
6+ $101
 

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I’m guessing the betting companies think Walsh is gonna cop the tag today given he’s averaging 31 touches yet paying $3.30 for 30+ disposals on Sportsbet and $3.10 on Pointsbet.

Anyone think North tag Jagger instead? I don’t think Walsh is as damaging, could be some value there.
 

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Geez theres been some tight finishes this year. Watson getting the 50 and kicking his AGS after the siren, the last disposal of that game being Brayshaw's 25th.

I had Watson 2-5 round 1 v Essendon and he kicked his 3rd with 1.29 to go on the clock.

Essendon had a last possession free kick on the wing with 16 seconds to go, Roberts turned it over going inboard, and Watson got his 4th after the siren! He’s my favourite player this year.
 
Lachie Jones 2+ @41 Bet365.

Went forward last week when Luko went back and kicked a nice long range goal.

Hoping for the swap to happen sometime today as we are quite short in def.
 
Amartey & McDonald 3-6 each.

With McDonald I multi’d his 6 with 151.5+ match points & Sydney to win to get the 25% boost on B365 to get $151 odds for essentially McDonald 6
 

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