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AFL - first week of finals
- Thread starter IDIG
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Norm Smith Medallist
- Jul 30, 2009
- 9,366
- 15,283
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
I'd love to know the sharp plays. Unfortunately my mummy wont let me play with sharp things.
- Banned
- #53
Generally speaking I only get involved in H-H bets or line bets, the exotics is not what I am interested in at all.
With that said, about 6 weeks ago I did place a bet for pies/judd/franklin paying about ~$8 so Im just waiting for that to pan out hopefully.
With that said, about 6 weeks ago I did place a bet for pies/judd/franklin paying about ~$8 so Im just waiting for that to pan out hopefully.
- Banned
- #55
lol, only 1.5 U nothing to get overly excited about.
With that said though the year should end nicely fingers crossed.
this time though in the off - season I will be betting only 0.5 units each week just for practice in the EPL and cricket.
got on the same multi a few months back and also did one with Riewoldt instead of Buddy to sort of hedge my bets as they were neck and neck at the time. Got about $25 for the buddy multi. Good luck for it!
i take dem dogs errday coz im sharp yo
Strahany
Premiership Player
What are your thoughts on the following Multi's?
- Geelong -39.5
- Collingwood +15.5
- St Kilda - 39.5
- Carlton +39.5
- Hawthorn -39.5
- Collingwood +15.5
- St Kilda -39.5
- Carlton +39.5
Geelong/Collingwood/Either < 39.5/Carlton @ 3.82
Fairly sure he has his + and - the wrong way around I think it's gee and haw under 40 and Coll over 16 etc...
not sure if it has been mentioned already, but the pies over 39.5 is the one that jumps off the page at me.
to me, west coast are overrated, and will be completely outclassed by a pies side that got the reality last week that they needed.
better than an even money chance in my book, so the 2.35 odds look great.
without being biased, i also think that carlton over 39.5 is worth a look as well. a bit more speculative than the previous bet, as the 3.40 quote suggests, but I can see us coming out with a hard-edged approach with the memories of the last 2 years in the back of our minds.
There is no way Juddy will allow us to go 0-3, and once the frontrunners at Essendon wilt I wouldn't be surprised if we blow them out as we did in our last h&a meeting.
Third and final leg I like is st kilda vs sydney to score 150 points or less. at odds of 2.10 and looks a formality. will be a low scoring arm wrestle.
combined odds of those 3 is 16.78. ambitious, but definitely a chance
to me, west coast are overrated, and will be completely outclassed by a pies side that got the reality last week that they needed.
better than an even money chance in my book, so the 2.35 odds look great.
without being biased, i also think that carlton over 39.5 is worth a look as well. a bit more speculative than the previous bet, as the 3.40 quote suggests, but I can see us coming out with a hard-edged approach with the memories of the last 2 years in the back of our minds.
There is no way Juddy will allow us to go 0-3, and once the frontrunners at Essendon wilt I wouldn't be surprised if we blow them out as we did in our last h&a meeting.
Third and final leg I like is st kilda vs sydney to score 150 points or less. at odds of 2.10 and looks a formality. will be a low scoring arm wrestle.
combined odds of those 3 is 16.78. ambitious, but definitely a chance
Strahany
Premiership Player
Ughh *facepalm* that's embarassing.
I'm new to this, I assumed - meant under and + meant over.
I'll have to fix it up next time I'm on a computer (typing from an ancient iPhone is frustrating enough, let alone editing posts) otherwise if a mod sees this can you please do it?
Now that that's sorted, what do you guys think of the suggestions?
There is no point in taking two seperate multi's. Ill give you an example on sportingbet, lets call your multi's above A & B and you plan to outlay $20.
Multi A is $19.95 x 10 = $199.95
Multi B is $24.48 x 10 = $244.89
What I would suggest doing is taking Either team under 39.5 in the first game therefore only having one multi consisting of :
Gee/Haw Either team under 39.5
Col over 15.5
Stk under 39.5
Carl over 39.5
@11.24 x 20 = $224.93
Strahany
Premiership Player
Wow you know your stuff, I didn't think about that.
I hadn't seen that Gee/Haw under 39 bet before you mentioned it. Is that just at the TAB? I don't do that online betting.
- Banned
- #68
This has to be one of the most fascinating weekends from a betting perspective. The H-H values are low and yet arguably each game appears on the surface to be potentially 50-50.
If your looking value, the realistically all the outsiders are value this weekend.
Given recent past history/venue/injures/form, I see the Pies/Cats/Blues winning with a question mark over the Saints getting over the line.
There is thoughts in here about Pies +39.5, which I must say IMO is not a bad bet. Given the venue and their domination for 99.9% of the year. This is September, experience and hard bodies matter the most.
I heard an interesting review on Foxtel about the top three teams.
You had the Pies that played their team but rested during a game, you had the Hawks that rested players but went in hard during the game and finally you had the Cats that didnt rest and went in hard during the game.
The winners of this weekend will surely come under immense scrutiny post match analysis for their lead up to these games.
Has anyone done any analysis about performance post bye about a team winning as this will apply to Dons and partially to hawks to a smaller extent ?
If your looking value, the realistically all the outsiders are value this weekend.
Given recent past history/venue/injures/form, I see the Pies/Cats/Blues winning with a question mark over the Saints getting over the line.
There is thoughts in here about Pies +39.5, which I must say IMO is not a bad bet. Given the venue and their domination for 99.9% of the year. This is September, experience and hard bodies matter the most.
I heard an interesting review on Foxtel about the top three teams.
You had the Pies that played their team but rested during a game, you had the Hawks that rested players but went in hard during the game and finally you had the Cats that didnt rest and went in hard during the game.
The winners of this weekend will surely come under immense scrutiny post match analysis for their lead up to these games.
Has anyone done any analysis about performance post bye about a team winning as this will apply to Dons and partially to hawks to a smaller extent ?
Nah I dont think its an option at the TAB...
Your terminology is incorrect here. +39.5 means the Pies with a 39.5 point head start. You need to say Pies -39.5, 39.5+ or >39.5.
- Banned
- #71
lol, your 100% correct 39.5+ is what I meant to say!
http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showthread.php?t=818768&page=4
but the guy who was doing the maths got banned
The_Doctor
Club Legend
- Jul 23, 2009
- 2,393
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- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
Back again soho?
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