AFL Round 16

[bombers21]

Rumours or SJ, Bartel, Selwood.

Doubt all 3 will miss but most probably 1 maybe 2.

Think it will be Bartel

 

[Zealbee]

Need to get my bonus bet winnings out of Luxbet. Think Sydney can cover a - 5.5 line?

 

[stewie griffen]

So all 3 stud's are in for Geelong, Simpson and Kelly out

 

[Spads]

Why have sportsbet refunded my liberatore vs McRae dream team bet?

 

[stewie griffen]

Why have sportsbet refunded my liberatore vs McRae dream team bet?

Presumably he is the sub?

 

[banana_bus]

Bad DT betting week...

 

[alex mcanulty]

come on geelong kick a few more goals

 

[STANDBYHIRD12]

Bartel unders gone...

 

[Spads]

Presumably he is the sub?

Yeah.

So bartel has 14 tackles to three quarter time. That doesn't help the dream team unders.

 

[foxy_dal]

2 units Greenwood over Harvey DT @ $1.80
4 units Shiels Over 92.5 DT @ $1.87
2 units Swallow Over 90.5 DT @ $1.87
2 units Smith over Burgoyne SC @ $1.80
2 units Cotchin Under 110.5 DT @ $1.87
2 units Rockliff over Cotchin DT @ $1.72
2 units Thompson Over Sloane DT @ $1.88
2 units Sloane over Douglas DT @ $1.70
2 units O'Meara over Bennell DT @ $1.88
2 units Beams over Sidebottom SC @ $1.75
2 units Goddard Under 109.5 DT @ $1.87
2 units Murphy under 105.5 DT @ 1.87
2 units Gibbs over Murphy DT @ $1.75
1 unit Montagna over 99.5 DT @ 1.87
2 units Jack over 100.5 DT @ 1.87
2 units Parker over McVeigh DT @ 1.70
2 units Kennedy over Priddis DT @ 1.85
2 units Boyd over Bartel DT @ $1.75
3 units Bartel Under 107.5 DT @ $1.87

Round 16: 10-9 -3.93 units

YTD: 137-1-66 +104.25

Shocking Poor Friday, Fantastic Saturday and Shocking Sunday. Think it's getting to that stage where it is much harder to win on these markets now that the books have more data to base their markets off. Most of my wins only just got up and had a few losses that were by heaps so will probably cut back next week.

 

[ricardogp]

Having a long one today:

Carlton > 24.5
Swans < 39.5
Geelong > 24.5
0.5u @ $4.11

Underwhelming 4th quarter. Almost took Dogs at +27.5, but decided to let it ride.

 

[Small Moves]

(2.5U) Geelong v Western Bulldogs Tri Bet Geelong Over 15.5 Points @ 1.27
(1U) Geelong v Western Bulldogs To Score 3 or More Goals Hawkins, Tom @ 1.34
(1U) Carlton v St Kilda Pick Your Own Line Carlton (-22.5) @ 1.47
(1U) Carlton v St Kilda Total Game Points - Over/Under Under (182.5) @ 1.88
(1U) West Coast v Sydney Line Sydney (-17.5) @ 1.92
(1U) West Coast v Sydney Margin Sydney 1-39 @ 2.05
(0.5U) West Coast v Sydney 1st Goal Scorer Lecras, Mark @ 13.00
(1U) West Coast v Sydney Tri Bet Sydney Over 15.5 Points @ 1.81
(1U) West Coast v Sydney Total Game Points - Over/Under Over (160.5) @ 1.88
(1U) DT: Josh Kennedy v Matthew Priddis Head To Head Josh Kennedy @ 1.80

Yesterday's success didn't carry on unfortunately! Tried a few different bets this weekend. Some worked out, some didn't.

 

[tibor]

North/Hawthorn Under 195.5 LOSS
Richmond/Brisbane Under 177.5 WIN
GC/Collingwood Under 185.5 WIN
Melbourne/Fremantle Over 148.5 LOSS
Port Adelaide/Essendon Under 183.5 WIN
Carlton/St Kilda Over 179.5 WIN
West Coast/Sydney Under 172.5 WIN
Geelong/WB Under 183.5 WIN

Decent week.

 

[Keystone agony]

Hawks vs North
0.5U Harvey <27.5 @1.80
0.75U Dalsanto <108.5 SC @1.70
0.5U Dalsanto over Cunnington DT @1.80
1.5U Birchall >77.5 DT @1.87
1U Roughead -3 goals @1.80
1U Shiels > 92.5 DT @1.87

Rich vs Bris
0.5U Bris +36.5 @1.92
0.5U Bris/Rich TML <177.5 @1.91
1U Rockliff over Cotchin DT @1.72
0.5U Hanley >24.5 disp @2.15 (Shouldve gone <29.5)
0.5U Deledio >29.5 disp @3.10

GWS vs Adel
1U T.Walker +2 goals @1.72
0.2U T.Lynch > 2.5 goals @5.20
2U ST over Sloane @1.88
1U Sloane over Douglas @1.70

GC vs Coll
1.5u GC 1-39 @2.80
0.5U Harry Lumumba <76.5 DT @1.87

Melb vs Freo
1U Barlow 26.5+ disp @1.85 (I just realised I was looking at Fyfes numbers for this bet)
1U Barlow <26.5 disp @1.90
1.5U Barlow over Fyfe DT @1.80
2U S.Hill <104.5 SC @1.87 - VOIDED
1U Ballantyne -3 goals @1.60 - MONEY BACK
12.5U Dawes <1.5 goals @2.00
10U Dawes 2 goals or more @2.50

Port vs Dons
2U <184.5 TML @1.90
1U Goddard over Heppell DT @1.85
2U Heppell <28.5 disp @1.90
2U Schulz -3 goals @1.76 - MONEY BACK
0.2U Carlisle > 2.5 goals @6.00
0.4U Carlisle > 1.5 goals @2.10

Carl vs STK
0.5U TML <183.5 @1.91
1.5U Gibbs over Murphy DT @1.75
2U A.Walker >0.5 goals @3.00 (bad bet shouldnt have gone so big)

WCE vs Syd
1U Sydney 1-39 @2.10 (betstar)
0.5U K.Jack >104.5 @1.87
1U K.Jack >100.5 DT @1.87
2U K.Jack over Parker @1.75
1U K.Jack > 29.5 disp @2.90
3U Franklin <3.5 goals @1.76
1U J.J.Kennedy -2 goals @2.00 (Luxbet) - MONEY BACK

Geel vs WBD
1.5U Bartel >96.5 DT @1.87
1.5U Bartel <107.5 DT @1.87
0.5U SJ <110.5 DT @1.87
1.5U Liberatore over Macrae DT @1.88 - VOIDED
1.5U Crameri <1.5 goals @1.76
1U Hawkins >2.5 goals @1.72
1U Hawkins > 2.5 goals @1.83


Multi: 2U Port/Geel/Syd SU @1.98

*More bets to come waiting for rest of lux, Betstar and B365

After being +6.04 Units Going into the last day. I end up -3.275 Units

Shouldve backed myself in with Bartel and also in with NROO to kick +2 goals. Also probably the unders in the dogs game aswell. Put too many eggs in the K.Jack basket.

 

[Zealbee]

Managed to turn my 20U first deposit bonus into 113.4U on bet365.

Went Lions +42.5 then Fremantle - 26.5 and Sydney - 19.5.

 

[Atavistic]

1U Melbourne lowest round score@$3.

Had a nice win on this.

 

[DylanR]

2U Hawks 1-40 LOST
2U Brisbane +43.5 WIN
1U crows -28.5 WIN
2U Collingwood 1-40 LOST
2U Bombers +32.5 WIN
1U Bombers h2h WIN
2U Swans -18.5 WIN
simple line bets not complaining