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AJC Australian Derby

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All Australian
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Sep 21, 2006
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Melbourne
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Orlando Magic
Toorak Toff - R6 Randwick - 1pt win @ 21.00 (TAB Future Fixed Odds All-In)
Ridiculous price for this good 2 year old, the market leaders are backing up and Toorak Toff seems to be the only one with good form out of the rest, take this price quickly. This bet is all-in so you will get the price you get but not get your stake back if is scratched.

That was earlier this morning and sportingbet had it at 23.00 ridiculous now its around 15, expect it to be around 9-10 on race day.

__________________________________________



CorrectWeightRacing

UPDATE FOR OTHER BETS.

Three bets today for us, seeing this is the first week for 'The Advisor' we would like to get off to a good start.

Apennine - R3 Flemington - 1pt each-way @ 10.00 / 2.63 (TAB Fixed Odds)
Seeing as the favourite in Red Flair, coasted to a win last time leading from the front people might think it is a shoe in this race. But last race it was carrying a really low weight of 51kg and even if it has Jordan Mallyon on board with a claim, Red Flair would still be carrying 56kg on her back which is a hefty 5 kilo rise. So in opposing her I have gone with a consistent runner in Apennine, she has come second twice in 0-89 handicaps in the last 2 of 3 races she's raced and last start at Moonee Valley over 1500m was picking up towards the end of the race but had 57kg on her back, where as today she will only have 54kg with Darren Gauci on board. Expect her to get close no matter what so go with the each-way bet on this one.

Rock Classic - R7 Randwick (AJC Derby) - 1pt win @ 5.50 (Betfair)*
Overpriced on Betfair for this Bart Cummings trained horse. Very unlucky not to win the Rosehill Guiness after Zabrasive somehow showed extra to take the win on the line. I can see Rock Classic run the 2400m trip out easily like all other Bart Cummings trained horses but I just can't see some of his other rivals do it. Such as Shoot Out. Zabrasive will probably make the distance but I do vision that Rock Classic will turn the tables on this one. While there might be concerns over distance for most of the runners, one that will definitely run this distance is Extra Zero at bigger odds, so watch out for him.
*centrebet $20 back offer if selection loses but its at 4.60, freebet is on doncaster where Typhoon Tracy will most likely hammer them, basically a free hit

Beaded - R3 Randwick - 2pt win @ 2.00 (TAB Fixed Odds) *Late Addition*
I have changed my mind and added this horse as a late addition, I was waiting to see what Melito's scratching would of reduced the price by and at 2.00 still seems overpriced to me, this horse is a class above these and should win easily and a 2pt bet from me is going to be a rarity but I seriously cannot see this horse being beaten unless something horribly goes wrong.

Already Advised on 7/4/2010
Toorak Toff - R6 Randwick (Sires Produce) - 1pt win @ 21.00 (TAB Fixed Odds All-In Marktet)
Has been smashed into 10.00 now across all bookies hope you guys we're on this guy his a really good chance.



Very Unlucky day with Beaded and Toorak Toff having come close, Stay tuned for Next Week's Doncaster Meeting

For more tips, news, race analysis and info - Correct Weight Racing



 
agree with you with toorak toff,been with him since day one and happy with the $26 and $6 place on tattsbet earlier today.looking forward to him in the champagne, touchwood.
 
Have been following Zabrasive since his maiden win, $3 is shit but can't wait to see him run around again at this trip, he is Maldivian-like.

Happy to back Mic Mac in his first couple of fresh runs.
 
They had a 30 minute AJC Derby program on TVN tonight, was great to see some of the old derbys, from Mahogany vs vandercross, through to the great 4 way battle in Octagonals year.

The AJC derby is by far the best 3YO race we have in this country, can't wait.

Will be on extra zero each way most likely.
 

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Update: Toorak Toff has been hammered in its at 13.00 now.

Chance of showers on Saturday up in Sydney, you would have to go for Wanted in the TJ Smith if its wet. You know his going to run even when wet compared to Hot Danish who is not noted for her wet weather racing, while Mic Mac has only ran on Slow ground once and didn't place. The ground is slow 7 atm and if more rain comes, expect money for Wanted.
 
Another thing if you guys want a free 20 dollar bet when you bet in between noon and 2pm 2moro on the AJC derby and ur horse loses you get a free bet for the doncaster which you can put on typhoon tracy lol so bascially a free shot
 
Cruiser23 said:
Melito is running in the TJ Smith, though is still in the market for Race 3 keeping Beaded's price at $2.50. It's price will plummet once Melito is scratched. Get on now.
Click to expand...

Wouldn't be an all in market so deductions will be applied for beaded
 

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SOme of my favourite horses going around Saturday....

Will be interesting to see how Olonana goes, can absolutley freak it sometimes....maybe worth a couple e/w.

Rock Classic is a lock for me, might be one run too many, but you just can't ignore Bart at the moment...Still spewing about backing it at 26-1 to beat Denman and that and getting my money back because of the storm and not backing it the next week!

Then we've got a couple of blackbookers Yosei, who seems to be lacking that class edge but has fitness on it's side and of course the great money spinner Devil May Care in Melbourne....

Have decided not to take the $7.50 on offer because its one of those horses that people just like to bet around....hopefully it will get out to tens and blow them away.

And the best for the day is Red Flair....Taken the $2.40 and i'll be laughing all the way too the bank...best of luck ;)
 
Some very nice bets in both Sydney and Melbourne tomorrow:

Flemington
R1 Anacheeva: Well bred colt who was far too good on debut, should win again. Currently $2.80.
R2 Briefed: Very smart horse who goes well fresh. Will be getting home hard. $5.50.
R4 Perfect Hostess: Nice filly who showed sharp improvement to win second up. Like her again in this and Jarrod Fry is going well at the moment. Mick Kent's Hearts and Arrows another interesting runner. $6.50.
R5 Storm Brewing: South Australian three year old who ran second in the Adelaide Guienas and third in the Port Adelaide Guineas. Has won at the 1800m and looks a horse with a future. Sound of Nature the only obvious danger. $7.50.
R8 Dr Doute's: Has only won once first up but his form around Raheeb looks very good for this. Should be a bit of speed on with Danzylum, Georgia's Boy and Jungle Ruler all up front and he might be able to storm over the top of them. $9.00.

Sydney:
R6 - Toorak Toff: Agree with the earlier assessments about this bloke. Looks like he will really relish the 1400m and the two favourites might be slightly flat after the Slipper and running in three consecutive weeks. $11.
R7 - Count Encosta: Very nice win last time out and he really has put it all together in his second campaign. Obviously the distance is always a doubt but his last win really impressed me. Zabrasive is of course a significant danger. $17.
R8 - No Wine No Song: Really think he just wins this. His preparation has been outstanding and I think the $7 is an absolutely luxurious price.
 
maxlad said:
race 2 sydney: zingaling ,that is all
Click to expand...

i was going to put that up as one of the website's tips but really concerned about flower child doing the same thing agian to zingaling

*well there you go, they switched field positions from the last time they met and zingaling prevailed this time.
 

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Hi Guys,

Long time reader, first time poster! silly question, I have just opened an account with centrebet and want to place a few each way bets, how do I do this on their website (I know sportingbet has a each way checkbox)

Thanks,
 
Beaded Lost in a photo
Appenine Fifth
Toorak Toff 20/1 into 3/1 - 4th - Very Unlucky got caught outwide earlier in the race. Would've won if placed well more earlier.
 
toffee said:
Hi Guys,

Long time reader, first time poster! silly question, I have just opened an account with centrebet and want to place a few each way bets, how do I do this on their website (I know sportingbet has a each way checkbox)

Thanks,
Click to expand...

last tab in the betting column, w/p then click bet
 

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AJC Australian Derby

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