Australian Election betting thread

[Gavin Excell]

Outright result has
Coalition $2.80
Labor $1.45
Other $67

Most think election will be called March for a May date so a few things may yet happen but $1.45 ALP looks tidy

And "Other" at $67 needs 2 more zeroes at $6700
The dumbest of dumb money playing that

 

[iluvparis]

Let's face it - the ALP would be 1.10 if they weren't Kementari level milk drinkers when it comes to winning elections. At some stage it probably makes sense to have a small trading bet on the Coalition if they get out to 3.50 or something.

 

[Cuzz09]

Surely Albo gets in. Scomo getting trashed left right n centre.

Saying that I didnt know anyone who voted for him last election and thought Labour would romp in..

 

[IKnowtheDog]

Surely Albo gets in. Scomo getting trashed left right n centre.

Saying that I didnt know anyone who voted for him last election and thought Labour would romp in..

Is that you Jane Caro?

 

[54Dogs]

Outright result has
Coalition $2.80
Labor $1.45
Other $67

Most think election will be called March for a May date so a few things may yet happen but $1.45 ALP looks tidy

And "Other" at $67 needs 2 more zeroes at $6700
The dumbest of dumb money playing that

Think Labour were shorter last time weren't they

 

[Gavin Excell]

Think Labour were shorter last time weren't they

Yes may have been
Day before they were considered almost home

 

[ash_1050]

Labor were about $1.30 last election before Shorten managed to pull off one of the all time bed shits.

 

[Reveen]

Think Labour were shorter last time weren't they

Yes may have been
Day before they were considered almost home

Labor were 1.14 on the morning of the election before tallying began.

Liberal odds shorten-ed throughout the day yet pollsters maintained Labor would win until the Wait Awhile vote count started and reality set in.

An epic fail which caused Antony Green to admit on-air the current system of polling was outdated.

 

[The_Steadier]

Libs/Nats will make it rain next month in the budget Oprah style:

They will get a bump in the polls after that.
I'd be jumping on albo post budget.

As much as it was a big upset last time- there was only a whisker in it, I think this year will be similar- close either way.

 

[iluvparis]

Yeah odds on a minority government would actually be interesting - looks a quite likely outcome

 

[Cuzz09]

Is that you Jane Caro?

huh? i dont know who that is

 

[iluvparis]

Labor were 1.14 on the morning of the election before tallying began.

Liberal odds shorten-ed throughout the day yet pollsters maintained Labor would win until the Wait Awhile vote count started and reality set in.

An epic fail which caused Antony Green to admit on-air the current system of polling was outdated.

I remember one of the early seats counted showed like a 15% swing TOWARDS George Christensen...live look in on Antony Green

 

[IKnowtheDog]

huh? i dont know who that is

Just a character on Twitter who said with Liberals back in power she'd be moving to NZ. She's yet to make the move across the ditch

 

[54Dogs]

Have they changed the polling system since then?

I think the argument was that Labour voters were younger, more digitally connected and more likely to appear in polling where as the older conservatives just voted on the day. Is that right?

 

[iluvparis]

Have they changed the polling system since then?

I think the argument was that Labour voters were younger, more digitally connected and more likely to appear in polling where as the older conservatives just voted on the day. Is that right?

That plus the 'silent majority' theory

 

[IKnowtheDog]

Scott Morrison was more preferred PM than Bill Shorten in the polls, even though Labor was ahead on 2PP.

This year Scott Morrison isn't anywhere near Albo for preferred PM.

 

[iluvparis]

Scott Morrison was more preferred PM than Bill Shorten in the polls, even though Labor was ahead on 2PP.

This year Scott Morrison isn't anywhere near Albo for preferred PM.

Newspoll still has him ahead of Albo 43-41 overnight

 

[Cuzz09]

I reckon it would be hilarious if Scomo gets re elected.

People would go insane.

CHAOS

 

[iluvparis]

I reckon it would be hilarious if Scomo gets re elected.

People would go insane.

CHAOS

Let's be honest - it would be a pretty sad indictment on the Australian voter

 

[Cuzz09]

plenty of people who are happy with their position who don't want change

never know but the vibe is bye bye scomo

 

[54Dogs]

I reckon it would be hilarious if Scomo gets re elected.

People would go insane.

CHAOS

Why would the people who re-elected him go insane?

 

[Cuzz09]

Why would the people who re-elected him go insane?

I was referring to the hoardes on social media that are constantly ripping into him

 

[iluvparis]

Why would the people who re-elected him go insane?

Go being the key part of that sentence

 

[54Dogs]

I was referring to the hoardes on social media that are constantly ripping into him

Gotcha, the vocal 5% will decide the election

 

[54Dogs]

Go being the key part of that sentence

Yes obviously "be" makes that sentence more logical