Greetings punters.
After extensive losing punting over a number of years, I have come to the conclusion that my best punting is generally on set weights events.
Unfortunately, weight-for-age racing doesn't come along every day, so most of the races that fit that description are maidens.
In that spirit, I'm going to use this thread to give my thoughts and tips on set weights maidens run at provincial courses around the fair state of Victoria. Please be advised that I am an absolute mug, and am still working (occasionally) for my living, so don't be throwing Molotov cocktails through my window if you go broke.
11 July 2002 - Bendigo - dead track
Four maidens on the card today. The first two are divisions of a two year old maiden. Both of these events have multiple first starters, including several from some highly rated city stables. Far too much unknown in these events to have a bet.
Race 3 - 3YO+ - 2400m
Plenty of camels in this field of twelve, and the chances can be narrowed down to three. 1-Bonoval has enjoyed the longer trips in his latest efforts, finishing third at his past two starts at 2010m and 2200m. His better form is on rain-affected tracks, so the dead might not suit him here. 5-Sir Claude has been placed two of his last three over 2100m and 2200m, although the first placing was at Echuca, and the second was a third place, beaten 8.25 lengths. He's failed three times on the wet, so the dead track is in his favour compared to some of his rivals that would have preferred a bit more slop. Also by Kingston Rule, so he should have no dramas with the trip. My tip is 11-Sanderae Lass, a Scenic mare who has finished on their heels at her last three starts, including a second to Mookta Heights last time. She's obviously relishing the longer journeys, and in this field I'd be very surprised if she couldn't run a place at least.
Tip: 11 each way.
Race 5 - 3YO - 1100m
Another twelve horse field, but a bit wider than the previous. Plenty of first starters, but the two that create interest are 4-Guess Who, from the Tony McEvoy stable and 9-Windy Hero from Russell Cameron's yard. Both have city class jockeys engaged, and need to be treated with caution, although Guess Who is drawn the extreme outside and will need to have some early pace. Of the raced brigade, the two that appeal are 3 & 7. 3-Good Old Days came to town last start after three good runs from a spell. He ran down the track but returns to something like his class here. He's an each way hope. 7-Smytzer's Shuffle has had only one start, a second at Werribee back in December. Has the David/Vin Hall combination and is my tip. 8-Tan Tat has been racing in some good fields of late and should be conceded some sort of chance now he's fully fit. Tough race.
Tip: 7 each way.
After extensive losing punting over a number of years, I have come to the conclusion that my best punting is generally on set weights events.
Unfortunately, weight-for-age racing doesn't come along every day, so most of the races that fit that description are maidens.
In that spirit, I'm going to use this thread to give my thoughts and tips on set weights maidens run at provincial courses around the fair state of Victoria. Please be advised that I am an absolute mug, and am still working (occasionally) for my living, so don't be throwing Molotov cocktails through my window if you go broke.
11 July 2002 - Bendigo - dead track
Four maidens on the card today. The first two are divisions of a two year old maiden. Both of these events have multiple first starters, including several from some highly rated city stables. Far too much unknown in these events to have a bet.
Race 3 - 3YO+ - 2400m
Plenty of camels in this field of twelve, and the chances can be narrowed down to three. 1-Bonoval has enjoyed the longer trips in his latest efforts, finishing third at his past two starts at 2010m and 2200m. His better form is on rain-affected tracks, so the dead might not suit him here. 5-Sir Claude has been placed two of his last three over 2100m and 2200m, although the first placing was at Echuca, and the second was a third place, beaten 8.25 lengths. He's failed three times on the wet, so the dead track is in his favour compared to some of his rivals that would have preferred a bit more slop. Also by Kingston Rule, so he should have no dramas with the trip. My tip is 11-Sanderae Lass, a Scenic mare who has finished on their heels at her last three starts, including a second to Mookta Heights last time. She's obviously relishing the longer journeys, and in this field I'd be very surprised if she couldn't run a place at least.
Tip: 11 each way.
Race 5 - 3YO - 1100m
Another twelve horse field, but a bit wider than the previous. Plenty of first starters, but the two that create interest are 4-Guess Who, from the Tony McEvoy stable and 9-Windy Hero from Russell Cameron's yard. Both have city class jockeys engaged, and need to be treated with caution, although Guess Who is drawn the extreme outside and will need to have some early pace. Of the raced brigade, the two that appeal are 3 & 7. 3-Good Old Days came to town last start after three good runs from a spell. He ran down the track but returns to something like his class here. He's an each way hope. 7-Smytzer's Shuffle has had only one start, a second at Werribee back in December. Has the David/Vin Hall combination and is my tip. 8-Tan Tat has been racing in some good fields of late and should be conceded some sort of chance now he's fully fit. Tough race.
Tip: 7 each way.
