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beartoo

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1620716258814.png VERSUS 1620716547043.png


2021 and we are in a looooooong daaaaaaark tunnel. Is that a faint glimmer of light in the distance?


1620716666776.png
Or is it a mirage? A false hope that things will improve sometime when we emerge from the hell of this darkness?

The kids now showing promise are the hope for the future. The number of them that improve to the point where they can regularly impact games will be proof or otherwise of this pudding. Is it a pudding? Or is it a steaming pile of...



1620716743739.png

Time will tell.
Rebuild time.
No one expects miracles. Only the demented expect us to win a game in the next three weeks. Collingwood at home in Round 12 looks like the next winnable game. But are we better than Collingwood 2021? Or the hapless Kangaroos who we play in Round 23? It is possible that we have had our last victory for this season.

No one but the insane expect many wins while this rebuild takes place. We could question how this once great club arrived at this juncture after contesting a granny in 2017—one we were raging favourites to win and one we should have won. Retrospective angst gets us nowhere. We move on. The here and now is here and now.

WEST COAST EAGLES:
This mob is the club I wish were more like. Well run off the field, successful on it. Has to be one of the favourites for the flag this year. Strength and brilliance across all lines. No glaring weaknesses in this bunch of players that I can detect. Excellent backups when a first 22 player goes down.

MATCHUPS
O’Brien needs to do more than phone in his performance this week. He needs to be at his best to come anywhere near halving the ruck contest in the centre square or around the ground with

1620723587679.png

This bloke is the most valuable ruckman in the comp. Whatever the result of the ruck contest, WC’s bevvy of mids seem to have us covered. Jack Redden, Tim Kelly and Dom Sheed loom as a midfield that will give their rampaging forwards a look at the ball this week as they did last. Luke Shuey and Elliot Yeo may also return. What an embarrassment of riches. Give us a few.

THE ENERGISER BUNNY...
1620724171197.png
  • will be a handful for us this week as he is for every club he plays against. Hardest of hard runners coming off a wing, high-possession winner, deadly kick into the forward line. He’s coming off a 38-possession game against the Hawks with a team-high 10 scoring involvements. Who do we have to run with him to curb his influence? What’s Rob Shirley doing on Sunday?

  • THEIR FORWARD V OUR BACKS?
  • The experiment with one KPD on the field MUST end this week...

  • 1620724967999.png 1620725001913.png
  • ...against our tyro KPDs could be a nightmare on a Sunday evening in SA. I’ll back Butts to hold his own against either one, but who takes the other? The choices are McAsey, who is not yet reaching his potential, Borlase or Murray. The last two named have 4 games between them, all to Murray. This does not auger well for us against two of the best, most experienced and highly-skilled KPFs in the league. Unless our team defence can neuter these two big fellas, then one of them may be leading the Coleman Sunday night.
THEIR BACKS V OUR FORWARDS.
The better of the McGovern brothers is out injured and that is merciful to us. Even so, while their backline lacks experience, the blokes playing there are playing well. Plus their mids run hard to support and to clog up opposition forward lines. Can we get back to our early season practice of lacing out leading forwards? Can we stop the idiocy of bombing long and hit someone up? Can our forwards manage to get a metre of separation on their opponents to give them a chance of taking a low, well-delivered pass? I’d like to see it but I’m not confident I will.

CHANGES:
Two small forwards injured so who comes in? McAdam is playing poorly. Jones is going well off half back in the 2s. Do we bring him in and ask him to play a role he’s failed at in the past? If we do, we may dent his new-found confidence and set him back once more. O’Conner? Newchurch? It’s a lottery and good luck to the selectors whoever they choose.

Himmelberg out of the forward line? Can’t take a mark to save himself. Tex needs a break? Frampton is no answer and Fog doesn’t flourish as a forward. Do we keep Fog as mid experiment going in the 1s? So many questions and I have no answers. Should we bring Worrell in and give him a go? I’d like to see him in our forward line.

STATS
Yeah, there are lies, damned lies and statistics, but we fail to acknowledge them at our peril. Since the start of the 2018 season, we have won 28 and lost 41. Since the start of the 2020 season, we have won 6 and lost 19.

IN 2021 WE ARE:

● Ranked 18th in Kicks Per Game

● Ranked 12th in Handballs Per Game

● Ranked 18th in Disposals Per Game

● Ranked 18th in Marks Per Game

● Ranked 12th in Goal Assists Per Game

● Ranked 13th in Clearances Per Game

● Ranked 15th in Clangers Per Game

● Ranked 14th in least Opponent Points Per Game

● Ranked 17th in least Opponent Tackles Per Game

● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Inside 50s Per Game

● Ranked 17th in least Opponent Goal Assists Per Game

● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Clearances Per Game

● Ranked 12th in least Opponent Clangers Per Game

● Ranked 13th in least Opponent Rebound 50s Per Game

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Kicks Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 13th in Team to Opponent Disposals Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Marks Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Points Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Tackles Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Inside 50s Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 16th in Team to Opponent Goal Assists Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Clearances Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 12th in Team to Opponent Clangers Per Game Diff.

We need to possess the ball more, have more disposals, enter our forward 50 more and restrict the oppos. entries. That’ll do for starters.

For a bit of good news, in 4 out of 8 games our disposal efficiency has been better than our opposition. The last 2 weeks we have been well beaten.

Where are we this weekend? Any result under a ten-goal pumping will be acceptable to me. I fear greatly that it will blow out to more than this.

 

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The first thing I thought of, was how crap our logo is

The second thing, how I’ve already backed the WCE

great write up, better than our team deserves
 
Last edited:

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Young side, injuries mounting, coming off a showdown played in tough conditions, playing against a side who loves to downhill at home. This has all the hallmarks of an absolute belting. I’ll be there on Sunday but might slide off to the Camfield by quarter time 🍻
 

IN 2021 WE ARE:

● Ranked 18th in Kicks Per Game

● Ranked 12th in Handballs Per Game

● Ranked 18th in Disposals Per Game

● Ranked 18th in Marks Per Game

● Ranked 12th in Goal Assists Per Game

● Ranked 13th in Clearances Per Game

● Ranked 15th in Clangers Per Game

● Ranked 14th in least Opponent Points Per Game

● Ranked 17th in least Opponent Tackles Per Game

● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Inside 50s Per Game

● Ranked 17th in least Opponent Goal Assists Per Game

● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Clearances Per Game

● Ranked 12th in least Opponent Clangers Per Game

● Ranked 13th in least Opponent Rebound 50s Per Game

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Kicks Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 13th in Team to Opponent Disposals Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Marks Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Points Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Tackles Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Inside 50s Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 16th in Team to Opponent Goal Assists Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Clearances Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 12th in Team to Opponent Clangers Per Game Diff.

But everything else is going well?
 
Excellent intro, beartoo :thumbsu::thumbsu:

Selection this week is going to be interesting. With our injury list, the selectors are almost forced to play Worrell, Jones and O'Connor, maybe also re-swap Berg/Frampton.
Definitely need another KPD to minimise the carnage likely from the WCE tall forwards, who will get continuous supply from their dominant mids. Crows' backlines will be under siege from a barrage of I50s coming their way.

I foresee only a % boost for the WCE from this game.
 


2021 and we are in a looooooong daaaaaaark tunnel. Is that a faint glimmer of light in the distance?


Or is it a mirage? A false hope that things will improve sometime when we emerge from the hell of this darkness?

The kids now showing promise are the hope for the future. The number of them that improve to the point where they can regularly impact games will be proof or otherwise of this pudding. Is it a pudding? Or is it a steaming pile of...



View attachment 1124560

Time will tell.
Rebuild time.
No one expects miracles. Only the demented expect us to win a game in the next three weeks. Collingwood at home in Round 12 looks like the next winnable game. But are we better than Collingwood 2021? Or the hapless Kangaroos who we play in Round 23? It is possible that we have had our last victory for this season.

No one but the insane expect many wins while this rebuild takes place. We could question how this once great club arrived at this juncture after contesting a granny in 2017—one we were raging favourites to win and one we should have won. Retrospective angst gets us nowhere. We move on. The here and now is here and now.

WEST COAST EAGLES:
This mob is the club I wish were more like. Well run off the field, successful on it. Has to be one of the favourites for the flag this year. Strength and brilliance across all lines. No glaring weaknesses in this bunch of players that I can detect. Excellent backups when a first 22 player goes down.

MATCHUPS
O’Brien needs to do more than phone in his performance this week. He needs to be at his best to come anywhere near halving the ruck contest in the centre square or around the ground with


This bloke is the most valuable ruckman in the comp. Whatever the result of the ruck contest, WC’s bevvy of mids seem to have us covered. Jack Redden, Tim Kelly and Dom Sheed loom as a midfield that will give their rampaging forwards a look at the ball this week as they did last. Luke Shuey and Elliot Yeo may also return. What an embarrassment of riches. Give us a few.

THE ENERGISER BUNNY...
  • will be a handful for us this week as he is for every club he plays against. Hardest of hard runners coming off a wing, high-possession winner, deadly kick into the forward line. He’s coming off a 38-possession game against the Hawks with a team-high 10 scoring involvements. Who do we have to run with him to curb his influence? What’s Rob Shirley doing on Sunday?

  • THEIR FORWARD V OUR BACKS?
  • The experiment with one KPD on the field MUST end this week...

  • ...against our tyro KPDs could be a nightmare on a Sunday evening in SA. I’ll back Butts to hold his own against either one, but who takes the other? The choices are McAsey, who is not yet reaching his potential, Borlase or Murray. The last two named have 4 games between them, all to Murray. This does not auger well for us against two of the best, most experienced and highly-skilled KPFs in the league. Unless our team defence can neuter these two big fellas, then one of them may be leading the Coleman Sunday night.
THEIR BACKS V OUR FORWARDS.
The better of the McGovern brothers is out injured and that is merciful to us. Even so, while their backline lacks experience, the blokes playing there are playing well. Plus their mids run hard to support and to clog up opposition forward lines. Can we get back to our early season practice of lacing out leading forwards? Can we stop the idiocy of bombing long and hit someone up? Can our forwards manage to get a metre of separation on their opponents to give them a chance of taking a low, well-delivered pass? I’d like to see it but I’m not confident I will.

CHANGES:
Two small forwards injured so who comes in? McAdam is playing poorly. Jones is going well off half back in the 2s. Do we bring him in and ask him to play a role he’s failed at in the past? If we do, we may dent his new-found confidence and set him back once more. O’Conner? Newchurch? It’s a lottery and good luck to the selectors whoever they choose.

Himmelberg out of the forward line? Can’t take a mark to save himself. Tex needs a break? Frampton is no answer and Fog doesn’t flourish as a forward. Do we keep Fog as mid experiment going in the 1s? So many questions and I have no answers. Should we bring Worrell in and give him a go? I’d like to see him in our forward line.

STATS
Yeah, there are lies, damned lies and statistics, but we fail to acknowledge them at our peril. Since the start of the 2018 season, we have won 28 and lost 41. Since the start of the 2020 season, we have won 6 and lost 19.

IN 2021 WE ARE:

● Ranked 18th in Kicks Per Game

● Ranked 12th in Handballs Per Game

● Ranked 18th in Disposals Per Game

● Ranked 18th in Marks Per Game

● Ranked 12th in Goal Assists Per Game

● Ranked 13th in Clearances Per Game

● Ranked 15th in Clangers Per Game

● Ranked 14th in least Opponent Points Per Game

● Ranked 17th in least Opponent Tackles Per Game

● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Inside 50s Per Game

● Ranked 17th in least Opponent Goal Assists Per Game

● Ranked 16th in least Opponent Clearances Per Game

● Ranked 12th in least Opponent Clangers Per Game

● Ranked 13th in least Opponent Rebound 50s Per Game

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Kicks Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 13th in Team to Opponent Disposals Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Marks Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Points Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Tackles Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 14th in Team to Opponent Inside 50s Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 16th in Team to Opponent Goal Assists Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 15th in Team to Opponent Clearances Per Game Diff.

● Ranked 12th in Team to Opponent Clangers Per Game Diff.

We need to possess the ball more, have more disposals, enter our forward 50 more and restrict the oppos. entries. That’ll do for starters.

For a bit of good news, in 4 out of 8 games our disposal efficiency has been better than our opposition. The last 2 weeks we have been well beaten.

Where are we this weekend? Any result under a ten-goal pumping will be acceptable to me. I fear greatly that it will blow out to more than this.

McGovern & Barrass sound like they will play, just to make things worse.
 
Young side, injuries mounting, coming off a showdown played in tough conditions, playing against a side who loves to downhill at home. This has all the hallmarks of an absolute belting. I’ll be there on Sunday but might slide off to the Camfield by quarter time 🍻
The odds on this one should be so large that the winnings for a $10 bet for the crows to win by 40+ if it happened should be enough of a win to comfortably retire on:handok:
 

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Better than interest.
Yes - 10% return in a week is better than interest.

20% interest return on a year's investment, the odds would have to be $1.00385 each week ... so even the absolute most ridiculous one way odds are better than interest. The problem comes when the underdog somehow wins and you lose your entire stake :-)
 
We are 15th for tackle differential at -5.0.

There are three clubs worse, Magpies Giants Blues. Of those, Giants and Blues both are top 8 for disposal differential. Can’t tackle if you’ve got the ball.

Adelaide and Collingwood are the two non-competitive teams. Rubbish tackle differential even though we usually don’t have the ball.

And this is after our high energy 3-1 start to the year!

The last two weeks we got comfortably done in disposals and tackles. That usually means the side isn’t really having a crack. The trajectory is not good.

I expect we will lose but hopefully we can at least have a crack for all 4 quarters.
 
Our descent back down the ladder is in progress. We surely can still snag the spoon on the back of this upcoming slaughter. Keep playing kids to find their opportunities for improvements. Our eyes need to be on tomorrow, not today!
 
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The Eagles are a contested marking machine

Their differential is +5.0, the next closest is +2.5.

They take the most (14.9) and concede one of the fewest (9.9)

We are about par.

Their main contested markers are:

1​
8​
2.38​
2​
6​
2.00​
2​
8​
2.00​
4​
7​
1.71​
5​
6​
1.67​
 
Our descent back down the ladder is in progress. We surely can still snag the spoon on the back of this upcoming slaughter. Keep playing kids to find their opportunities for improvements. Our eyes need to be on tomorrow, not today!
Nope... remember North have a 3 game head start on us - we're in the race for 17th (even that might be tough) - North have basically lapped everyone.
 
Nope... remember North have a 3 game head start on us - we're in the race for 17th (even that might be tough) - North have basically lapped everyone.
I’m not wanting us to tank. Realistically we are a long way off from contending again so our best bet is blooding kids and get some more high end talent!
 

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I’m not wanting us to tank. Realistically we are a long way off from contending again so our best bet is blooding kids and get some more high end talent!
Nah, I wasn't implying you did - just that even if the club wanted to, we can't catch North. I don't reckon the club's actively trying to tank given the way we were able to start the year but they probably expected players to tire and injuries mount up that we would end up dropping down (as we're seeing at the moment).
 

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