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Iranian Uprising

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Water shortages are serious shit. Even the idea floated about evacuating Tehran speaks of desperation. The Resources War might be kicking off and it won't be contained to Iran. There could be chain reaction conflicts all around that region.
 
Not surprising as people within these dictatorships get more exposure to the world, they won't keep tolerating it. The Iranian government will fall within the year which is a good thing (shame the yanks banked the shah's regime otherwise the extremists would never have gotten power) and China won't be far behind which is why Xi keeps disappearing so many other Chinese leaders and inventing threats from Peaceful Taiwan and Japan
 

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Baldur said:
Hopefully the present regime can fall without widespread bloodshed, but I am not holding my breath.
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There’s no guarantee a more extreme wing doesn’t end up in control either; there’s elements far more militant than the Supreme Leader.

As the US found out with the last regime change, it doesn’t always end up a positive.

The Iranian people deserve better than what they’ve got, hopefully they achieve it.
 


He has Iran being the big loser. The section on Iran economics is enlightening and frightening.

Highlights

- water poor nation, so they build dams in stupid places that make things worse, for instance a dam build near a salt pan, the lake the dam creates covers the salt pan and now the water is salty.

- Promote water intensive crops like sugar cane and rice

- Failure to invest in improved irrigation, meaning much water wasted

- wells draining so much water from the water table that the ground is sinking

- now water supplies to residential areas being rationed

- Gas and oil producer, with power supply issues

- Unrealistic power prices caps have resulted in overuse and misuse of power while power supply infrastructure is allowed to decay

- now power to residential areas being rationed

- Wages increasing by 20%, Inflation by 50% and Taxes by 62%, in a nation in which people where already struggling

- While increasing defense spending
 
In this article by Dr Mitra Safavi-Naeini, a physicist of Iranian heritage, she writes that any significant changes in Iran will come from within and doubts expatriate Iranians will have a big roll. She is writing out of her professional field, but what she says makes a lot of sense. She's a clever one, having invented a new form of therapy for cancers, 'neutron capture enhanced particle therapy'.


www.aspistrategist.org.au

Iranian regime change, if it happens, will be home-made | The Strategist

If political change comes to Iran, it is unlikely to be led by familiar exile figures or pre-packaged opposition coalitions. Even supporters of exiled crown prince and opposition figure Reza Pahlavi acknowledge, sometimes openly, that ...
www.aspistrategist.org.au www.aspistrategist.org.au
 
Hopefully there are some heroes from within that can save Iran from being a theocracy run by a brutal dictator.


Iran could be the next UAE if someone responsible was running the place.


Who knows, Maduro & Khameni could both end up living in Moscow as guests of Putin.
 
Zidane98 said:
Hopefully there are some heroes from within that can save Iran from being a theocracy run by a brutal dictator.
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Mossad heroes?
Zidane98 said:
Iran could be the next UAE if someone responsible was running the place.


Who knows, Maduro & Khameni could both end up living in Moscow as guests of Putin.
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It's protests over inflation. Caused by sanctions, wonder who put them on
 

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Zidane98 said:


Dangerous times ahead for Iran.


This can go two ways - a reformist government takes over or Khamenei and co get the military to quieten things down with force.
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They have a democratic reformist president. It has resulted in getting rolled by Mossad agents internally and a short war. The regime is unlikely to surrender to US hegemony at this point.

It can go a third way. The regime cracks down on protests and fixes the inflation issue with closer ties with Russia and China. This is most likely imo

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_presidential_election
four candidates contested the first round of the election, in which Masoud Pezeshkian won 44%, Saeed Jalili won 40%, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf won 14% and Mostafa Pourmohammadi won less than 1% of the vote. Pezeshkian was the only reformist candidate on the ballot.[3] As no candidate won a majority in the first round, a run off vote was held on 5 July between Jalili and Pezeshkian,[4] which the latter won with 53.7% of the vote.

Why pretend Iran isn't a democracy?
 
barreness said:
They have a democratic reformist president. It has resulted in getting rolled by Mossad agents internally and a short war. The regime is unlikely to surrender to US hegemony at this point.

It can go a third way. The regime cracks down on protests and fixes the inflation issue with closer ties with Russia and China. This is most likely imo

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_presidential_election
four candidates contested the first round of the election, in which Masoud Pezeshkian won 44%, Saeed Jalili won 40%, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf won 14% and Mostafa Pourmohammadi won less than 1% of the vote. Pezeshkian was the only reformist candidate on the ballot.[3] As no candidate won a majority in the first round, a run off vote was held on 5 July between Jalili and Pezeshkian,[4] which the latter won with 53.7% of the vote.

Why pretend Iran isn't a democracy?
Click to expand...
Let's not post ridiculous nonsense.


Firstly, it is the people of Iran that are revolting against Khamenei. Not Mossad / US - the people of Iran. Absolutely pathetic you try and take away their agency.


Secondly you are well aware in Iran that the supreme leader along with the mullahs has absolute control and that the president does what they tell them. This is what the IRGC is for also.

President is largely a symbolic position in Iran - trying to paint it as a democratic country is downright dishonest.

Not sure how deeper ties with Russia is going to help. Didn't help Assad, didn't help Maduro. Nobody wants deeper ties with Russia apart from despot 3rd world dictators plus Kim Jong / Luka.

China wants nothing from Iran but cheap oil. If anything China and Iran may do a natural gas / oil deal with the pipelines it has built through central asian states to deliberately avoid Russia.

In other words if the Khamenei family business dictatorship survives a likely result is deeper ties with China at the expense of your mate Pedo Putin. They may even send manpower to help Khamenei & co quell uprisings in exchange for cheap Iranian oil / gas.

It must also be pointed out that Orange Mussolini did do a deal with the Khamenei regime in his first presidency, temporarily removing sanctions.

If Trump really wants to crash world oil prices he could simply do a deal now with dictator Khamenei as Trump loves dictators and allow Iran to trade oil freely on world markets.


That would instantly increase supply levels and would also hurt Russia who already suffers massively from low oil prices due to price caps and / or increased production elsewhere.
 

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