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Iraq. Their future?

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Longterm instability with some form of Islamic based Government taking power. Most likely based on the Iranian model.
 
Interesting quandry for the Yanks is whether they actually allow free elections in the sense of anybody can stand.

Let's say they do, and an Islamic fundamentalist Shiite party gets up. It immediately announces an "anschluss" with Iran. What does the US do?

Aside from this, the violence will continue anyway and the place is a basket case.
 

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Dry Rot said:
Interesting quandry for the Yanks is whether they actually allow free elections in the sense of anybody can stand.

Let's say they do, and an Islamic fundamentalist Shiite party gets up. It immediately announces an "anschluss" with Iran. What does the US do?

Aside from this, the violence will continue anyway and the place is a basket case.

For your historical precedent, look at Vietnam, circa 1956.
 
To have their oil sucked dry by the US ,local conmen ,crooks and others and become a third world country. Sad but true.
 

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