New Stat

[Supermercado]

I'd post this on the main board, but frankly I don't care what those peanuts think. Here's a new stat I've come up with (possibly whilst drunk), that I think would be handy next season.

I call it "Attacking Value", and you get the total by calculating the following (take a deep breath, and get ready to throw books at me if you're a mathamagician).

Goals x6
+
Goal Assists x4
+
Behinds x1
+
Marks inside 50 x2
+
Effective kicks in the attacking half x1

MINUS

Clanger kicks x2, and Free Kicks/50m Penalties x2


Sadly goal assists, clangers and 50m penalties against are bastard stats to get online but for example's sakes consider the following,

Round 18 - 2003
David Neitz - 5 kicks, 4 marks, 3.0, 1 free for.
Assuming he didn't set up a goal, and all his possessions were inside 50 that would give him an AV of 31.

Prelim Final - 2000
Jeff Farmer - 13 kicks, 4 marks, 8.1, 1 free against.
Total: 44

Round 20, 1991
Allen Jakovich - 22 kicks, 14 marks, 11.8, 2 frees against.
Total: 120

Round 22, 2007
Juice Newton - 12 kicks, 5 marks (surely some were outside 50, let's just assume not for the sake of this), 2.1, 1 free against.
Total: 30

Add clangers and assists, run a line across every game for the season (but only if you're getting paid to) and apply to all forwards in the competition for an 'average' score.

If any variation of this stat appears on Channel 7 next year I will sue.

And if you think that's complicated and hard to calculate, consider baseball's VORP,

A statistic that demonstrates how much a hitter contributes offensively or how much a pitcher contributes to his team in comparison to a fictitious “replacement player,” who is an average fielder at his position and a below average hitter. A replacement player performs at “replacement level,” which is the level of performance an average team can expect when trying to replace a player at minimal cost, also known as “freely available talent.”

Multiply the league average runs per out by the player’s total outs; this provides the number of runs an average player would have produced given that certain number of outs to work with. Now multiply that number (of runs) by .8, or whatever level your replacement equations give you; this is the number of runs you could expect a “replacement player” to put up for that number of outs. Simply subtract the replacement’s runs created from the player’s actual runs created, then, and you have VORP. A word to the wise, though: while the replacement’s run total will be park-neutral (by definition), the player’s raw numbers won’t be. Before calculating the VORP, run the player stats through park factors, normalizing the numbers. The resultant VORP should give a pretty good estimate of how “valuable” the player in question is

If people can take that stat seriously, they'll take anything seriously.

 

[master bate]

Yes we need more stats in our game, although yours makes too much sense for my liking, and you can't interpret it to mean whatever you like based on which team is winning, which isn't good. I think next year each forward should get a supermerc value for each game and then the winner can get the phil read medal for forward line dominance, or maybe the nick carter lifetime achievement award.

 

[demonfan9]

(possibly whilst drunk)

Well that explains it then.

 

[Tommyneu]

Maybe we should create a new stat called 'Defensive Value' and see how far into the minus territory each Melbourne player will get.

 

[Brock McLean for PM]

I like it Super- maybe something in relation to midfielders to. Centre clearances, successfully read taps (hard to gauge) and inside 50's.

 

[dee-molishon]

super u have WAY WAY too much time on ur hands........lmao............na it has some merit, would have to of course confirm and find these stats out after the match would be so hard for "the chew man" to keep up with during a match............do me a favour super when the season starts ring up triple m and suggest it to them, would be great stuff

 

[eliasd82]

not bad super, with some fine tunning you got yourself a winner....