Pick 8- "The Market"

[cormick]

In sticking with the spring carnival, I thought I'd frame a market for who we'll pick up with our pick 8.
I've taken into account the likelihood that players will be gone before our pick and so some of the percieved better players are bigger odds...

$3.00: Shaun McKernan

$3.75: Jackson Trengove

$5.00: Hamish Hartlett

$5.00: Steele Sidebottom

$10.00: Jack Ziebell

$13.00: Michael Hurley

$18.00: Tyrone Vickery

$21.00: Chris Yarran

$21.00: Lewis Johnstone

$51: Stephen Hill

$101: Sam Blease


Who's your pick at the odds?

 

[JSFish]

For an 11 horse race, increase the odds or no one will put any bets on.

 

[coke_zero]

vickery or sidebottom

 

[cormick]

For an 11 horse race, increase the odds or no one will put any bets on.

I know i'm a dodgy bookie

 

[cormick]

Better?

 

[JSFish]

Slightly. But I'm keeping my money for the Cup.

 

[cormick]

Slightly. But I'm keeping my money for the Cup.

Nom Du Jeu all the way!!!

There we go...surely the $5 for Sidebottom is tempting...?

 

[_RT_]

In sticking with the spring carnival, I thought I'd frame a market for who we'll pick up with our pick 8.
I've taken into account the likelihood that players will be gone before our pick and so some of the percieved better players are bigger odds...

$3.00: Shaun McKernan

$3.75: Jackson Trengove

$5.00: Hamish Hartlett

$5.00: Steele Sidebottom

$10.00: Jack Ziebell

$10.00: Michael Hurley

$14.00: Tyrone Vickery

$20.00: Chris Yarran

$20.00: Lewis Johnstone

$31: Stephen Hill

$51: Sam Blease


Who's your pick at the odds?

With Gourdis getting delisted I reckon you should have Trengove and McKernan both at $2.50 equal fav. Also Ziebell should be closer to the odds of Hartlett & Sidebottom as it will basically be on of those 5 we'll end up taking. Vickery should be the outsider of the field as he will almost certainly be gone before our pick, somewhere near $101 would be about right.

 

[cormick]

With Gourdis getting delisted I reckon you should have Trengove and McKernan both at $2.50 equal fav. Also Ziebell should be closer to the odds of Hartlett & Sidebottom as it will basically be on of those 5 we'll end up taking. Vickery should be the outsider of the field as he will almost certainly be gone before our pick, somewhere near $101 would be about right.

I think I had them shorter, but JS told me to drift them out a bit .

And I think, if Port don't take Vickery, then theirs a chance he could be ours so I'm keeping him safe.
Carlton and Brisbane wouldn't pick him, with Warnock and Leunberger respectively, and even Bombers would be in more desperate need of a mid than a forward. So if Naitanui falls to 4, Vickery might fall to 8th, hence the short price.

And because I rate Ziebell higher, I give him less chance of lasting to our pick, hence the higher price...

 

[RichosGuns]

Vickery if he is there

Otherwise Hartlett or Ziebel. I think we should stick to the proven youngsters unlike:

A) Trengrove, someone who has been injured for the last 12 months and we won't know what to get

or

B) McKernnan, another inbetween player who is niether a foward nor a ruckman. A jack of all trades, master of none. We already have Patto, Polak and Schultz in this catagory

I don't think the delisting of Gourds will affect who we pick up

 

[JSFish]

Nom Du Jeu all the way!!!

There we go...surely the $5 for Sidebottom is tempting...?

Under the advice of IDGAF, I'm leaning towards Mad Rush and Zipping atm, as well as the other one with the funny name that I saw CoggaRules mention. Nom Du Jeu is my fourth if I go that many.

I dunno...he sounds good, but how much would he be if he hadn't pulled out by far his best performance of the season in the biggest match of the season?

 

[cormick]

Under the advice of IDGAF, I'm leaning towards Mad Rush and Zipping atm, as well as the other one with the funny name that I saw CoggaRules mention. Nom Du Jeu is my fourth if I go that many.

I dunno...he sounds good, but how much would he be if he hadn't pulled out by far his best performance of the season in the biggest match of the season?

He's a big game performer

I got 50-1 for Barbaricus during the week, is now into 25-1 after a good 2nd today.

But Septimus, as much as I don't like backing favourites, should win!

 

[Les Grossman]

Vickery would be a great get.

Only saw McKernan in the carnival and he looked like a bit of a gamble to me. Hope we dont pick him.