Return of the algorithm

[Hobbes]

Collingwood +9 v Brisbane
Richmond +17 v North Melbourne
Gold Coast v Carlton +10
GWS +24 v Essendon
St Kilda v Geelong +10
Adelaide +17 v Sydney
Western Bulldogs +67 v West Coast
Melbourne +17 v Hawthorn
Fremantle v Port Adelaide +1

5/9, 141/198

1. Carlton 16.49
2. Brisbane 15.59 (+3)
3. Melbourne 13.11 (+1)
4. Adelaide 12.28 (-1)
5. GWS 11.62 (+5)
6. Collingwood 11.41 (-4)
7. Port Adelaide 10.67 (+1)
8. Sydney 10.04 (+1)
9. Geelong 5.55 (-3)
10. St Kilda 5.43 (+1)
11. Western Bulldogs 2.15 (-4)
12. Gold Coast 1.75
13. Fremantle -4.59
14. Hawthorn -5.83
15. Richmond -7.76
16. Essendon -18.7
17. North Melbourne -25.93
18. West Coast -38.37

With one match to play, the ladder tips are kind of moot.

Essendon v Collingwood +30
Hawthorn +11 v Fremantle
North Melbourne v Gold Coast +24
Brisbane +16 v St Kilda
Geelong +3 v Western Bulldogs
West Coast v Adelaide +39
Port Adelaide +31 v Richmond
Sydney +3 v Melbourne (assuming an umpiring howler that gifts them the win)
Carlton +11 v GWS

If my tips are right, the ladder going into the finals will be

Collingwood 18
Brisbane 17
Port Adelaide 17
Melbourne 15
Carlton 14.5
Sydney 13.5
St Kilda 13
GWS 12
Geelong 11.5
Adelaide 11
Bulldogs 11
Essendon 11
Gold Coast 10
Fremantle 9
Hawthorn 8
West Coast 3
North Melbourne 2

 

[Hobbes]

Essendon v Collingwood +30
Hawthorn +11 v Fremantle
North Melbourne v Gold Coast +24
Brisbane +16 v St Kilda
Geelong +3 v Western Bulldogs
West Coast v Adelaide +39
Port Adelaide +31 v Richmond
Sydney +3 v Melbourne (assuming an umpiring howler that gifts them the win)
Carlton +11 v GWS

4/9. 145/207

I include a phantom week for the break, which tends to neutralize ratings a little.

1. Collingwood 13.88 (+5)
2. GWS 13.48 (+3)
3. Brisbane 13.18 (-1)
4. Melbourne 13.15 (-1)
5. (Adelaide 11.19) (-1)
6. Carlton 10.31 (-5)
7. Port Adelaide 9.73
8. Sydney 6.85
9. (Western Bulldogs 6.19) (+2)
10. St Kilda 4.35

Collingwood +1 v Melbourne
Carlton +9 v Sydney
St Kilda v GWS +3
Brisbane +15 v Port Adelaide

 

[Hobbes]

Collingwood +1 v Melbourne
Carlton +9 v Sydney
St Kilda v GWS +3
Brisbane +15 v Port Adelaide

4/4, 149/211

1. Brisbane 16.79 (+2)
2. GWS 16.21
3. Collingwood 15.2 (-2)
4. Melbourne 13.64
5. (Adelaide 11.19)
6. Carlton 10.76
7. (Sydney 8.18) (+1)
8. Port Adelaide 7.52 (-1)

Melbourne +3 v Carlton
Port Adelaide +3 v GWS

 

[HarryBeef]

Ok

 

[Hobbes]

Melbourne +3 v Carlton
Port Adelaide +3 v GWS

0/2, 149/213. Since the computer didn't think there was much in it, I don't feel badly about this.

1. GWS 19.28 (+1)
2. Brisbane 15.24 (-1)
3. Collingwood 13.7
4. (Melbourne 13.15)
5. Carlton 11.74 (+1)
6. (Adelaide 10.32) (-1)
7. (Sydney 7.69)
8. (Western Bulldogs 5.38) (+1)
9. (Port Adelaide 5.00) (-1)

Collingwood +1 v GWS
Brisbane +10 v Carlton