So.... at the half way mark.

[Double the Fist]

Well, half way. I have 16 trades left and 280k in the bank. Missed Curnow and Tapscott and Heppel. Took Hibbered instead of Heppel At least all of my cows have played. Bewick has earned me 50 k. yay

My problem is now a lack of good downgrade options to make cash.
ranked in top 3% with pretty ho hum team.
Still haning onto Jolly FFS

 

[vjknight]

Well, half way. I have 16 trades left and 280k in the bank. Missed Curnow and Tapscott and Heppel. Took Hibbered instead of Heppel At least all of my cows have played. Bewick has earned me 50 k. yay

My problem is now a lack of good downgrade options to make cash.
ranked in top 3% with pretty ho hum team.
Still haning onto Jolly FFS

same - 16 trades left and $300k banked but not anywhere near top 3% .
pre-season.
went goldstein & sandi, no cox but ok. went fraser instead of smith ouch. got all the good newbies bar curnow, still have them all. wasted a lot on failures like didak, j.reiwoldt, cross - still have them too.

is it my imagination or are injuries killing SC sides this year (half way and many down to 6 trades) ?

am i in a position where 16 trades left will propel me thru the crashing teams into a more respectable position than i hold presently ?

 

[BlueGibbs2011]

same - 16 trades left and $300k banked but not anywhere near top 3% .
pre-season.
went goldstein & sandi, no cox but ok. went fraser instead of smith ouch. got all the good newbies bar curnow, still have them all. wasted a lot on failures like didak, j.reiwoldt, cross - still have them too.

is it my imagination or are injuries killing SC sides this year (half way and many down to 6 trades) ?

am i in a position where 16 trades left will propel me thru the crashing teams into a more respectable position than i hold presently ?

You should make some decent ground late but for mine, when starting a season, holding on to so many trades automatically discounts you from winning. With 300,000 teams entered, 1-5k will trade heavily and out of that 100-500 will miss the bad luck injuries. This 100-500 teams you will not catch meaning you cant ever win saving that amount of trades. Just based on probability.

BUT, saving trades means you can finish hard each year and tell everyone you are a top 1k, top 5k or whatever your goal is.

I prefer to trade reasonably heavily and have a shot at winning. Luck to hang on up the top is def required (just ask last year's winner), but someone who is either very lucky or a heavy trader will win. Hoarders of trades (14+) will not unless they guessed (won the lottery) the best starting mix in round 1.

 

[Double the Fist]

You should make some decent ground late but for mine, when starting a season, holding on to so many trades automatically discounts you from winning. With 300,000 teams entered, 1-5k will trade heavily and out of that 100-500 will miss the bad luck injuries. This 100-500 teams you will not catch meaning you cant ever win saving that amount of trades. Just based on probability.

BUT, saving trades means you can finish hard each year and tell everyone you are a top 1k, top 5k or whatever your goal is.

I prefer to trade reasonably heavily and have a shot at winning. Luck to hang on up the top is def required (just ask last year's winner), but someone who is either very lucky or a heavy trader will win. Hoarders of trades (14+) will not unless they guessed (won the lottery) the best starting mix in round 1.

Depends how good your starting line up is. Mine is OK, but relatively unaffected by injury. If you have a good starting lineup and you still have 16 plus trades at this point, I think you are doing well in whatever you want to do, league win or overall. Me, well, Im just lucky.
Each to their own, I accept your point of view but it is flawed for mine. The more trades early, the more injuries hurt.

 

[Ed D]

Depends how good your starting line up is. Mine is OK, but relatively unaffected by injury. If you have a good starting lineup and you still have 16 plus trades at this point, I think you are doing well in whatever you want to do, league win or overall. Me, well, Im just lucky.
Each to their own, I accept your point of view but it is flawed for mine. The more trades early, the more injuries hurt.

Not sure about that with going for overall, because with 16 trades there's no way you can have a full team of premiums, like what most top teams have, and you're still playing rookies or mid pricers, which is what BlueGibbs2011 is talking about. So unless you're incredibly lucky you're losing out on points each week and you're not going to gain them back from the leaders (as their team is already complete). One of the keys to winning overall is getting your team complete as quickly as possible while having trades up your sleeve to cover injuries, or you need a lot of luck.

 

[Axe]

16 trades left at the half way point reeks of a league strategy.
In fact, I doubt that even then most would be holding that many at this stage.
Unless you have the car already locked in the garage (ie your midpricers are now guns, your rookies are smashing it still and you are in 1st!) I can't see how that is the best way to go for a shot at the title.

 

[Double the Fist]

Not sure about that with going for overall, because with 16 trades there's no way you can have a full team of premiums, like what most top teams have, and you're still playing rookies or mid pricers, which is what BlueGibbs2011 is talking about. So unless you're incredibly lucky you're losing out on points each week and you're not going to gain them back from the leaders (as their team is already complete). One of the keys to winning overall is getting your team complete as quickly as possible while having trades up your sleeve to cover injuries, or you need a lot of luck.

Already said Ive been lucky, top 3%, was going for overall win (need money for the house were building the family) then things went kinda average so strategy has changed (as Axwel has pointed out) still, if there are a few good bargains that I can pick up I can trade in at very minimum another 6 maybe 8 premiums, making the team fat!
Yes, I do understand what you and blueGibbs2011 are saying. It does make sense, and yes, I concede that it is true.

 

[BlueGibbs2011]

Depends how good your starting line up is. Mine is OK, but relatively unaffected by injury. If you have a good starting lineup and you still have 16 plus trades at this point, I think you are doing well in whatever you want to do, league win or overall. Me, well, Im just lucky.
Each to their own, I accept your point of view but it is flawed for mine. The more trades early, the more injuries hurt.

Even if your starting line up is strong, there will be 20000+ teams out there with similar. Out of that group a lot will trade aggressively, e.g. sideways Swan to Ablett/Selwood/Pendles earlier than everyone else. That type of trade even though not required means 100s of points difference between you and them. So to win you need to trade...if you have had a great starting line up, that's great, but players do run out of form, or things change... instead of keeping 16 trades you could have bought all of hodge/broughton/goddard/gibbs/wells/chappy very cheaply. Many other examples.

At least 1000 teams would have done this while avoiding Adcock, Selwood, Mundy etc and still having 10 trades for the run home. 16 is too many for the overall win.

Sorry, just saw your post...typing at same time. Just ignore post.

 

[vjknight]

16 trades left at the half way point reeks of a league strategy.
In fact, I doubt that even then most would be holding that many at this stage.
Unless you have the car already locked in the garage (ie your midpricers are now guns, your rookies are smashing it still and you are in 1st!) I can't see how that is the best way to go for a shot at the title.

good discussion guys thanks.

yes axe you are right.

last year was my best so far - reached inside top 10000 (whoopee i know) but burnt trades doing so, finishing 20000th. so this year, chasing the bragging rights of a league win ive deliberately waited, trying to do enough to simply reach the finals and maybe be the only one trading aggressively. watching for those teams who are now unaffected by the bye (7 at present) and have attractive premiums ripe for the picking.

 

[Double the Fist]

16 trades left at the half way point reeks of a league strategy.
In fact, I doubt that even then most would be holding that many at this stage.
Unless you have the car already locked in the garage (ie your midpricers are now guns, your rookies are smashing it still and you are in 1st!) I can't see how that is the best way to go for a shot at the title.

Reeks a little strong?

Only half way remember

Look at the carnage precipitated by Sandi, Mundi, Selwoodi etc.....

 

[bestin]

B- Deledio, Goddard, Gibbs, Broughton, Heppell, Adcock, Lower
Otten, Jacobs, Howard

M-Pendlebury, Priddis, Murphy, Boyd, Chapman, Selwood
Iles, Mzungu, Hibberd

R-Cox, Ryder
Smith, Derickx

F- Franklin, Riewoldt, Rioli, Higgins, Sylvia, Goodes, Krakouer
Prestia, Smith, Richardson

12 Trades left, $37,900 in the bank

 

[Daniels]

Really like this idea! I just been too lazy to do a write up.

Pre-Rd1 selections:
Sticking with the premium / rookie strategy.
Pretty much nailing all good and obvious cows. Libba, Darling, Pittard etc

Bypassing mid-rangers / cheapies / pre season hype guys like Walker, Dangerfield, Yarran, Higgins etc has been awesome!

Trades regretted:
Broughton > Adcock
Thought was a master stroke when Adcock was churning out 100's and Broughton was doing air. This trade got turned right on it's head!

Bullets dodged:
As mentioned earlier not getting sucked into any pre season hype / dangerous mid rangers.
Almost bringing in Chappy just before his big slide.
Strongly was considering Mundy when he was on fire, phew!

Players you wish you started with that you'd thought about:
M. Murphy was a lock for months until draw was released and didn't wanna be Blues heavy come finals time (leagues wise) (stupid byes!) Spewing! Always next year!

or

Judd. Tossing up between Judd and Selwood for the same reason. Going Selwood of course. That has really bit me in the you know what over the long run so far in overall.

Mitchell. Wish I had of stuck with him from start. Been all class so far this year. 100 a week player and was cheap for his ability.

Curnow. Should of just traded him in when had chance also... too tight at that point with trades! His cash injection would of been handy.